Saturday, January 31, 2015

NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg Says: NATO Members Should Increase Defense Spending.

I suggest Mr. Stoltenberg to have more deeper and comprehensive research about the shaky economic and political situation of the most of the NATO members within the euro-zone and some future events.

Greek will not follow the austerity measures anymore. There is some possibility that Greek will exit from the EU. Such an event, will undoubtedly spread to other European countries such as Italy, Spain, Portugal, which are highly indebted and their citizens are sicking tired of austerity measures, high rate unemployment and the lack of social justice.

To put it simply, the whole EU is on the verge of  a type of economic and political earthquake.

How will these countries with such characteristics be able to increase their military spending???????? In sum, you are barking on the wrong tree (Russia) at the wrong time and wrong place.

M. Sirani                     31.01.2015



Thursday, January 29, 2015

Extending Another Six Months Sanctions on Russia? Expect the Unexpected.

As it appears some of the current politicians within the EU do not have a clear picture about different ongoing events in the international arena and more importantly unexpected events in the near future. If they had, the EU would have tried to find a diplomatic solution for current tension in Ukraine; instead of extending another six months sanctions on Russia.

The current decision makers in the EU should be aware of some unexpected events in the near future and do not try to create unnecessary hassle for themselves. Among these unexpected events, the following could be mentioned.

1- Greece financial problem including some possible consequences such as Greece's default, exiting from the EU, economic crisis, etc.

2- The useless nuclear negotiation with Iran along with increasing scale of tension in different parts of the Middle East.

3- Political turmoil in some EU countries following Greece's default and exiting from the EU. In this respect, CDU party in Germany is the most vulnerable party within the EU.

4- The rise of overall Islamic terror cells in the all EU countries.


My suggestion: ease the useless tension in some other parts, for example in Ukraine and focus on the important issues mentioned above. Otherwise, you will lose more than you think.


Note: you don't win the war in Ukraine. Russia has the upper hand from different angles whether within Ukraine, the Balkan states and other parts of the Middle East through Iran. Thus, do not ruin Ukraine more than this and try to find a diplomatic solution for this conflict. In short, do not bark on the wrong trees; save all your resources for the important issues.


M. Sirani                         29.01.2015

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Support Greece and Greek People in Twitter in the Following Addresse: #SupportGreece.

Greece Can Knock Down Some Political Parties Within the EU Including CDU in Germany; Do Not Underestimate the Heavily Indebted Greece.

Don't push Greece too hard. In case of declaring default or exiting Greece from the EU, some political parties in various parts of the EU including CDU (the party of Angela Merkel) in Germany will lose lots of support among their followers.

To put it simply, a No-Deal with Greece will cause a political earthquake in some of the EU countries; thus, do not underestimate the power of heavily indebted Greece.


M. Sirani                        28.01.2015

Monday, January 26, 2015

Greece Needs Financial Support: A Historical Moment for the New Development Bank (26.011.2015).


Greece Needs Financial Support: A Historical Moment for the New Development Bank (26.011.2015).



Do not push Greece too hard. Greece might declare default and exit from the EU. This is something that neither the EU, nor any other international authority can do anything about it. Should this happen, IMF and the European Central bank would lose a lot. Such a move, in addition, would create a new wave of economic crisis for the EU.
There is something else that the EU, the European Central Bank and IMF should carefully pay attention to it.
If you push Greece too hard, the country might ask the New Development Bank (BRICS group) for bail out and financial help. (I'm pretty sure, Greece will get a much better offer from the New Development Bank).

Note: Thus be logical and reasonable; do not say: Greece cannot get a new hair cut. Try to understand that Greece can get a better new hair cut from some other places. The era of supremacy of the WB and IMF is overrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.


M. Sirani               26.01.2015

Sunday, January 25, 2015

A Possibility: Greece on the Edge of Maturity By Leaving the EU, if the Left Wing Will Win the Coming Election (04.01.2015).

As i predicted nearly three weeks ago.


As it appears, the radical left Syriza party (Anti-Austerity) is going to win the election. This development is going to create a huge dilemma for the EU. One  might wonder how. This is the story. The new left political system in Greece along with the majority of Greek people are really fed up with all austerity measures imposed by the EU, IMF and the WB in the last couple of years. As such, the new left government in Greece will try to arrange a new deal with the EU; simply a deal without those austerity measures.  In this respect, the EU has only two options.

1- The EU agrees with Greece's proposal. (Which i doubt about it). In this respect, Greece will remain within the EU.

2- The EU does not agree with Greece's proposal. In this respect, Greece will undoubtedly declare default and leave the European Union. Should this happen, a new wave of economic crisis will spread the EU and consequently the rest of the world to some degree. Following this event, Greece might ask BRICS group for help. In this respect, the New Development Bank (BRICS Development Bank) will suppport Greece financially, instead of the WB or IMF. This will be an important step for BRICS group and in addition, will crush the supremacy of the WB and IMF in the international arena.

Such a development would be interesting from different angles.



M. Sirani                                    25.01.2015

A Simple Notification For Mr. John Earnest, the Current White House Spokesman.

In addition to many high ranking Iranian officials, Ali Shirazi the special representative of the Supreme Leader Khamenei within the Quds Force says: Ansarollah in Yemen is a copy of Lebanese Hezbollah.

Contrary to this direct Iranian Regime's claim, Josh Earnest the current White House spokesman states:
We don't know whether Iran has any influence on the Houthi Rebels or Iran would try to expand its influence in Yemen.

Note: It seems Mr. Josh Earnest is kidding us in this matter.


M. Sirani                                     25.01.2015    

Saturday, January 24, 2015

Republican Will Highly Likely Win the 2016 Election in the USA.

Whether in the domestic or international arena, everything is ready for the Republican to win the 2016 election in the USA.

Note: Do not ruin your best chance with someone like Sara Palin and alike.


M. Sirani                      24.01.2015

It Seems: The White House and Its Residents Located on Mars, not On Earth.

Our contemporary world is full of surprises; of course, if we follow the news in a neutral and constant manner. One of the new surprises is the recent statement of Josh Earnest the current White House spokesman with regards to the current tension in Yemen; where in, the Shiite Houthi Rebels have seized the power in Sanaa and accordingly has completely dismantled the political system in this country. The funny part of Josh Earnest's statement is, where, he talked about the role of the Iranian Regime in this tension and the influence of Iran on the Houthi Rebels.

In this respect, Josh Earnest claims:
"The United States wants to continue its close counterterrorism cooperation with Yemen and does not see the Houthi rebel takeover of that government as a sign that Iran or al Qaeda are exerting control there (dailymail, 2015).

Moreover, Josh Earnest states:
"He said it was "not clear" that Iran was exerting control or influence over the rebels and noted that the Houthis and al Qaeda were "enemies" (Dailymail, 2015).

As illustrated above, after 36 years and many evidences, which all of them indicates the fact that the Iranian Regime has been supporting the Houthi Rebels and once in a while, Iran has been sending money, weapon and explosive material for the Houthis, the White House and its spokesman Josh Earnest still do not know whether Iran is exerting its control or influence over the Houthi Rebels and Yemen or not. Needless to explain more.


Note: It seems the White House has located on another planet for example Mars and its residents including the White House spokesman have absolutely no idea what is going on on Earth.
I'm wondering why the White House itself would try to commit suicide by such a shallow and baseless statement. Appease the Iranian Regime as much as you want. But i will, shall insure you that Iran will develop its nuclear weapon sooner or later.



M. Sirani                                       24.01.2015





Reference:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/reuters/article-2923887/U-S-pursue-counterterrorism-cooperation-Yemen-White-House.html



Thursday, January 22, 2015

Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah Dead; Watch Out the Move of the Iranian Regime in the Near Future.

The authorities in Saudi Arabia should be prepared for the series of uprising among Shiite groups in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain in the near future. The Iranian Regime will misuse this moment in a best possible way. The recent coup d'etat in Yemen, which in the Houthis seized the power in the capital cmight be understood as the beginning point of the Iranian Regime's move in this matter. The Iranian intelligence service might have had enough information in this matter.



M. Sirani                        23.01.2015

Another Nuclear Negotiation With Iran in Zurich; Another Appeasement Policy; Iran, In Addition to Yemen, Will Swallow Somewhere Else in the Region.

For your own sake, your political career Wake up.


Note: If you want to stay in the hibernation mode; it's okay, that's your choice. Just evacuate your diplomats from Yemen as soon as possible; of course, if you don't want to pay ransom to the Iranian Regime (Paying ransom in this note means: Indirectly try to win the heart and mind of the officials in Tehran by the help of some financial grant).


M. Sirani                           22.01.2015

The Current Political System in Argentine Along With the Iranian Regime Are the Responsible Actors for the Sudden Death of Alberto Nisman.

In a newly published report (289 pages), Alberto Nisman accuses the President of Argentine Cristina De Kirchner and current Argentine Minister of Foreign Affairs Hector Timerman for their illegal involvement in the AMIA Bombing case. According to this report, the current President and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Argentine have tried to ignore and hide the main role of the Iranian Regime in the AMIA Bombing in exchange for some cheap oil from the Islamic Regime of Iran.

The Islamic Regime of Iran and the current President and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Argentine are the main responsible actors for the suspicious death of Alberto Nisman.


Note: The International Criminal Court (ICC) and the International Court of Justice (ICJ) should follow this case; of course, if these institutes are not intentionally in the HIBERNATION MODE based on some economic and geopolitical interests of some powerful actor around the world. (In a hope for a nuclear deal with Iran, some powerful actors might put pressure on these two institutes in order to ignore and hide the main role of the Iranian Regime in this terrorist attack).



M. Sirani                       22.01.2015

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Warning: Prevent A Possible Ethnic Cleansing in Ukraine.

Warning: Prevent A Possible Ethnic Cleansing in Ukraine.



Speaking at DAVOS today, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko accused Russia for its direct intervention and meddling in the country's civil war. In this speech, President Poroshenko stated that Russia has deployed 9000 troops into Ukraine in order to back the Russian separatists.

Regarding this claim, some considerations are in order.
The presence of some Russians in the Ukrainian civil war is a simple fact, which cannot be denied by anyone neither by the officials in the Kremlin. This issue, however, is not the most important part of the story.The important issue in this matter is how and in which way these Russian citizens have joined the civil war in Ukraine. In this respect, we face some questions as follows.

1- Has Moscow deployed its military troops into Ukraine as Presidnet Poroshenko, NATO officials and some Western politicians repeatedly claim?
If this accusation has a strong foundation, either the Ukrainian authority or NATO officials should provide some credible and reliable evidence for the UN and the international community. As far as i know, neither Ukraine, nor NATO, nor some of the Western politicians have not been able to offer a clear and reasonable evidence in this matter. As such, we are left with one possibility, which is that some Russian citizens would voluntarily join the civil war in Ukraine in order to help ethnic Russians in this battle.

In this respect, we cannot point the finger at Kremlin and blame Moscow. Simply because, we are living in an unlawful era that voluntarily joining any intrastate, interstate, extrastate or a civil war for every citizen is allowed. So is the case of those Kurdish people in Turkey, who are joining the fight against ISIS in Syria or Iraq in order to support the Kurdish people in those areas. So is the case of those American or European citizens, which are joining the fight in different parts of the world in order to help a religious or ethnic minority. In any of these cases, we can criticize an authority for its negligence and reluctance in this matter, but we cannot directly accuse that authority for deploying its troop to another state; unless, we would be able to underpin the accusation with some reliable and credible evidence and document.

2- The second question is with regards to the number of 9000 Russian troops claimed by the Ukrainian President. I'm wondering, based on which evidence, document and how the Ukrainian President have come up with such an exact and clear number.

This exact number leads my mind to something else. (I hope, my assumption in this matter is wrong).
I think, this 9000 figure is an average number of the Ukrainian rebels, who are fighting against Kiev in the eastern part of Ukraine. By this type of remark, that Russia has sent 9000 troops into Ukraine, Kiev is facilitating the ground and preparing the public opinion for a massive offensive move somewhere in the near future. A huge, broad and massive military offensive move, which in, Kiev would be able to fully seize the control in the eastern part of the country and consequently force the rebels to completely leave Ukraine towards Russia. A type of invisible Ethnic Cleansing.

The chance for occurring such a scenario might not be very high. But the massive negative consequences of such a move in different terms, tell us: we should be aware of intensifying conflict in Ukraine.

Note: It should be mentioned that in case of performing such a plan by Kiev, Moscow will directly involve the battle and consequently occupy the whole country in a very short period of time. In sum, I hope Kiev and its Western allies avoid miscalculation and furthermore understand the negative consequences and side effects of such a wrong move.




M. Sirani                                  21.01.2015      

State of the Union 2015.

your statements about the U.S. foreign policy were similar to some verbal caricatures. Needless to explain more in this matter.



M. Sirani                          21.01.2015              

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Your Appeasement Policy Towards Iran is Completely Counterproductive; Don't You get it?

I'm neither a warmonger type nor proponent of a military strike on Iran; although, i'm reasonably and logically convinced that the Iranian Regime would never accept and tolerate any reform and this clero-totalitarian Regime should be overthrown by the effort of the Iranian people. But i should remind you to a simple fact as follows.
Your appeasement policy towards the Islamic Regime is completely counterproductive. On the contrary, your soft and apologist behavior, would stimulate and encourage Iran to expand its influence and power more than before.

Look at your achievements in Iraq and Syria , for example. You are completely appeasing the Iranian Regime in both Iraq and Syria by creating an international coalition consisted of nearly 60 states against ISIS. What has been the reaction of Tehran? Iran simply removed Nouri- Almaleki and replaced it with another puppet Haidar-Alabadi alongside with many members of Badr Organization a subset of IRGC and Quds Force.

You (the Western Countries) appeased Iran and saved Iran's religious, and geopolitical interests in both Iraq and Syria. Did you get any positive response from Tehran with regards to the nuclear negotiation? Nothing at all.

What about Yemen? Did you get any positive deal with Tehran with regards to Yemen following your appeasement policy?

Yessssssssssssssssss. In response to your appeasement policy, Iran seized the power in Yemen.

Do you still need extra examples with regards to Lebanon, Afghanistan or somewhere else in order to understand the negative outcomes of your appeasement policy towards Tehran?

Note: For your own sake; keep distance from the Iranian Regime's lobbies (who work for your administration as your Iran analyst) for a couple of days; who knows, maybe you understand that you are a SINKING SHIP with regards to the totalitarian and expansionist behavior of Tehran.


M. Sirani                              20.01.2015

Two Simple Questions For the 60 Members Coalition Against ISIS.

1- Do you have any particular plan, tactic and strategy against ISIS?
2- What have you really achieved during the last five months?



Note: Just don't tell me some jargon, for example, we have saved Baghdad or Mosul or Damascus or some bla bla bla.

For God sake: You are a coalition consisted of 60 powerful and rich states and still you haven't managed to defeat a terrorist organization like ISIS.

I suggest you to completely retreat; withdraw your troops from Syria and Iraq; and don't ruin the name of your country, your name and your political and military career among the international community. You are just kidding yourself and wasting the money of tax payers. Even the ISIS knows you are not serious in this matter. 





M. Sirani                             20.01.2015


Yemen is on the Verge of Completely Falling in the Hands of the Iranian Regime.

You are losing Yemen to the Iranian Regime. The Arab countries particularly Saudi Arabia and Israel should be prepared for more aggressive and expansionist behavior of Iran.

The Yemeni President's Chief of Staff Was Abducted in Sanaa By Shiite Rebels Backed By Iran.

By this type of move, the Iranian Regime would firstly try to put extra pressure on the Arab countries particularly Saudi Arabia with regards to the current cheap price of oil, the Saudi's interventionist behavior in different parts of the Middle East and North Africa and secondly show an extra iron fist to the USA and its Western allies in order to get a better deal with regards to the current nuclear negotiation.

Note: The backyard of Saudi Arabia is going to completely fall in the hand of the Iranian Regime. Should this happen, Iran would be one step closer to one of its main goals i.e. having fully control over the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea. Not to mentioned that Iran has begun to increase its influence in Djibouti and Sudan since many years ago. If Iran would manage to do that, the Islamic Regime would be able to impose its demands not only on Saudi Arabia but also on most of the EU countries due to the fact that the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea would play an important role for the EU in terms of economic and geopolitical matters.

Thus: wake up and think carefully what a nuclear-armed Iran can do. 

Those, who are interested to know more about this particular issue (Iran's final plan for the Middle East), can read my essay entitled: "Iran should not get the nuclear bomb". 



M. Sirani                             17.01.2015

State of the Union 2015.

I'm just wondering what will President Obama say when it comes to the U.S. foreign policy.

Looking enthusiastically forward to see how the White House speech writers would try to hide all these fiascoes in the U.S. foreign policy.

Note: I'm going to prepare some popcorn and snack for tonight show.



M. Sirani                    20.01.2015

Monday, January 19, 2015

Don't Be Naive; Try to Be Prepared For the Consequences of A Nuclear-Armed Iran in the Region.

Iran is Strengthening Its Military Capability at Regional and Global Levels.

Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu is traveling to Iran in order to sign a military cooperation agreement between Tehran and Moscow. Such a military agreement, no matter what the details are, would undoubtedly strengthen the position of both Russia and Iran in different terms at regional and global levels.


M. Sirani                       19.01.2015

Reference:
http://itar-tass.com/en/russia/771994

The Result of Dirty Game: The Islamic Regime of Iran 1,,,,,,, Alberto Nisman 0 (the Cause of Death= Invisible Hand of God).

The latest result of Dirty game is as follows:

The Islamic Regime  1                    AMIA Prosecutor Alberto Nisman 0

Note: The cause of death: Invisible hand of god.


M. Sirani                       19.01.2015

AMIA Bombing Special Prosecutor Alberto Nisman Found Dead in His Home.

Everybody, who involves in any case against the Iranian Regime, would finally end up to committing suicide, hitting by a car, falling down from a mountain, drowning in a sea and in short "a type of natural death" bla bla bla bla.

Note: Feel free to use the term conspiracy theory for this short note. But before doing that,  i suggest you to read little bit more about the reaction of the Islamic Regime of Iran with regards to its opponents and their final story inside and outside of the country. However, due to the achieving a whatsoever nuclear deal with Iran and appeasing the Islamic Regime, everything, everywhere around the world is possible. So is the case of the natural death of Alberto Nisman.
 



M. Sirani                      19.01.2015

Reference:
http://www.buenosairesherald.com/article/179900/amia-special-prosecutor-alberto-nisman-found-dead-in-his-puerto-madero-home

Saturday, January 17, 2015

The Yemeni President's Chief of Staff Was Abducted in Sanaa By Shiite Rebels Backed By Iran.


The Yemeni President's Chief of Staff Was Abducted in Sanaa By Shiite Rebels Backed By Iran.



By this type of move, the Iranian Regime would firstly try to put extra pressure on the Arab countries particularly Saudi Arabia with regards to the current cheap price of oil, the Saudi's interventionist behavior in different parts of the Middle East and North Africa and secondly show an extra iron fist to the USA and its Western allies in order to get a better deal with regards to the current nuclear negotiation.

Note: The backyard of Saudi Arabia is going to completely fall in the hand of the Iranian Regime. Should this happen, Iran would be one step closer to one of its main goals i.e. having fully control over the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea. Not to mentioned that Iran has begun to increase its influence in Djibouti and Sudan since many years ago. If Iran would manage to do that, the Islamic Regime would be able to impose its demands not only on Saudi Arabia but also on most of the EU countries due to the fact that the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea would play an important role for the EU in terms of economic and geopolitical matters.

Thus: wake up and think carefully what a nuclear-armed Iran can do. 


Those, who are interested to know more about this particular issue (Iran's final plan for the Middle East), can read my essay entitled: "Iran should not get the nuclear bomb". 



M. Sirani                             17.01.2015

You Are Free to Practice Your Faith in a Legally Binded Manner; But You Are not Allowed to Impose it on Me.

Here below is a direct quotation from a well-written article published in Telegraph couple of days ago. 

If you don’t like images of the Prophet Muhammad, fine. Don’t draw them. But don’t tell me I can’t draw them.

If you don’t want to marry someone of the same sex, don’t. But don’t try and tell me who I can and can’t marry.

If you don’t think shops should open on a Sunday, don’t go to the shops. But don’t tell me I have to sit at home and make peace with your god.

This is the line that needs to be drawn. Not around free speech, but around our right to have our own set of beliefs, rather than have them imposed as part of a de-facto theocracy.

This is the deal. Jews, Christians, Hindus, Muslims. Welcome. You are free to practice your faith amongst us. But never forget this. It is your faith, not mine. And if you can’t accept that, then in the immortal words of the mayor of Rotterdam, you can “f––– off”


M. Sirani                                  17.01.2015

Reference:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/law-and-order/11348033/This-isnt-about-free-speech-its-about-the-freedom-to-live-in-a-secular-society.html

Friday, January 16, 2015

All the Western Countries Including Israel Should Be on Alert; the Threat of Terrorists is Imminent.

Don't be naive by assuming that France, Germany, Belgium and Netherlands are the only western countries that are facing terrorist threat at the present time.

The security forces in the West including Israel should bear in mind that in the mindset and heart of Islamic terrorists all the Western countries are the army of infidels and enemies of God and in this matter, they are collaborating with each other.

As such, if the terrorists would not be able to perform a terrorist attack in France, for example, due to massive security force deployment, they would perform the attack in another place within the EU. By performing this type of seek & hide terrorist attack, they demonstrate that: 1- the Western countries are vulnerable in terms of security, 2- Creating the atmosphere of fear and insecurity among citizens and consequently dismantling the whole society in various form, and 3- They show that they have taken their revenge from the enemies of God.



M. Sirani                                16.01.2015

Anti-Terror Operations in France, Belgium and Germany; Good But Not Enough.

I don't want to undermine the credibility of these operations, but with such random, just in few places, not broad and not coordinated moves with other EU countries, the Union would not achieve the proper result in this important matter. The security forces in the EU would have achieved a better result, if they did cooperate, coordinate and operate together in a broad and comprehensive manner in the whole Union.

Such random operations in just few places, would unintentionally give a warning shot to other terror cells across the EU. As a consequent, the active terror cells would go to temporary hibernation mode, by seeking another hiding place in other areas, cities or possibly other countries within the EU. Such a move, would undoubtedly drag the EU security forces into an unlimited and time-money-energy consuming seek & hide game. The freedom of movement within the EU and directly or indirectly networks made by terrorists in the last couple of years would facilitate this opportunity for them in an appropriate manner. As a result, the EU security forces would not achieve the appropriate result as they wish and desire in a comprehensive, sustain and fundamental manner. To put it simply, such random and just in few places operations might be counterproductive in the short as well as long term.



M. Sirani                                 16.01.2015


Thursday, January 15, 2015

Another Massacre in Nigeria; Shame on the UN and the International Community; Blood Oil.

Amnesty International has revealed new satellite images about the destructive level of the latest Boko Haram attacks on two towns of Baqa and Doron in Nigeria. It should be mentioned that during this horrific event, hundreds of innocent people (some claim nearly two thousands) have been massacred; thousands of houses have been burnt or razed and nearly 500,000 people have fled the area.


I'm wondering: Where is the United Nations? What are the reaction and responsibility of the international community? Should we wait for more massacre and destruction in Nigeria in order to understand that Nigeria is on the verge of total collapse in different terms?



Note: Based on the total lack of effective, appropriate and professional reaction in response to various conflict and problem around the world, I think this is the time that the international community completely dismantle the UN. In this way, at least, the international community do not waste money, time and energy for a huge useless international institute. Those states and non-state actors that have any problem and conflict with each other, can arrange a meeting in a cafe somewhere around the world and discuss their problem, while they are fighting and killing each other. This is the best solution as long as the international community have not understood that: 1- the UN might have functioned during the Cold War era, but not anymore. 2- Because, we have entered in a new era in different terms. 3- Different examples show that the UN is completely disabled to solve most of the conflict in the regional and international level. 4- As such, we need new laws, conventions and institutes, which would be able and have enough power and authority to solve these problems. We should not be genius to understand that the UN as an old international institute does not function properly anymore.    


M. Sirani                                  15.01.2015

Reference:
The Guardian (2015).  http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jan/14/satellite-images-reveal-devastation-boko-haram-massacre-nigeria            

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Once Again the Obama Administration Shot Itself in the Foot, By Not Attending the Secular Solidarity March in Paris.

Do i have to give a basic diplomatic lecture in this matter to the current U.S. administration??????? By such a nonchalant diplomatic behavior, the Obama administration calls itself "the leader of war against terror"!!!!!!!!!
What was the reason behind such a totally wrong diplomatic manner?

 Did the U.S. administration scare because of the possibility of another terrorist attack in Paris during this event? Or the administration wanted to appease the Iranian Regime and the Arab countries once again by not attending this secular solidarity march!!!!

In either cases, the Obama administration shot himself in the foot once again by not attending this secular solidarity march in Paris.


Note: You are really shocking me. In this respect, i would like to applaud the King of Jordan, President Mahmoud Abbas, and Prime Minister Netanyahu for their brave and completely reasonable reaction by attending this solidarity March and NOT HAVING DOUBLE STANDARD policy in this matter.

Regarding this wrong move, the current Secretary of State Mr. John Kerry has said: our friendship with France is not just for one day.!!!!

In response to Mr. Kerry's statement, i should say:

Dear Mr. John Kerry: As a politician or individual you are free to be a apologist with regards to Islam; you are free to appease Iran and the Arab countries by all means, in order to achieve your own political and economic interests. But please do not insult our intelligence with such a shallow argument; because we are neither illiterate, nor retarded, nor blind nor deaf. Moreover, the freedom of speech, thought and expression are not negotiable, no matter, when, where, how or in which subjects and themes.


M. Sirani                                               13.01.2015                            

Monday, January 12, 2015

Are You Waiting that Nigeria Would Totally Become A Chaotic State Like Current Libya, Syria or Iraq, Then Would Try to Find a Solution For That Country???

Everything is going smooth and perfect around the globe including in Nigeria; thus, enjoy your hibernation mode.


M. Sirani                    12.01.2015



A Serious Warning to the Western Authorities.

Briefly: Avoid appeasement, delusion and double standard policy. Instead, deal with radical Islam in a comprehensive, scientific and professional manner as soon as possible; otherwise be prepared for the emergence and rise of various radical right wing, racist and fascist groups from everywhere and consequently a total chaos in your countries. Needless to explain the effective role of global economic crisis, increasing level of unemployment and inequality or austerity measures in this matter. The clock is ticking in this matter very quickly much more than you are thinking. What you are observing currently is just the tip of massive iceberg.



M. Sirani                              12.01.2015

Once Again, the Obama Administration Shot itself in the Foot By Not Attending the Secular Solidarity March in Paris Yesterday.

Do i have to give a basic diplomatic lecture in this matter to the current U.S. administration??????? By such a nonchalant diplomatic behavior, the Obama administration calls itself "the leader of war against terror"!!!!!!!!!
What was the reason behind such a totally wrong diplomatic manner?

 Did the U.S. administration scare because of the possibility of another terrorist attack in Paris during this event? Or the administration wanted to appease the Iranian Regime and the Arab countries once again by not attending this secular solidarity march!!!!

In either cases, the Obama administration shot himself in the foot once again by not attending this secular solidarity march in Paris. 


Note: You are really shocking me. In this respect, i would like to applaud the King of Jordan, President Mahmoud Abbas, and Prime Minister Netanyahu for their brave and completely reasonable reaction by attending this solidarity March and NOT HAVING DOUBLE STANDARD policy in this matter. 

The Obama administration should bear in mind that:
The freedom of speech, thought and expression are not negotiable, no matter, when, where or how.  


M. Sirani                         12.01.2015

None of the U.S. Officials Attended the Yesterday Solidarity March in Paris!!!!!!!! Are You Kidding Me and the Rest of the World??????????

Do i have to give a basic diplomatic lecture in this matter to the current U.S. administration??????? By such a nonchalant diplomatic behavior, you call yourself the leader of war against terror!!!!!!!!!
What was the reason behind such a totally wrong diplomatic manner?

 Did the U.S. administration scare because of the possibility of another terrorist attack in Paris? Or the administration decided once again to appease the Iranian Regime and the Arab countries by not attending this secular solidarity march!!!!

In either cases, the Obama administration shot himself in the foot once again by not attending this secular solidarity march in Paris. 


Note: You are really shocking me.


M. Sirani                         12.01.2015

Sunday, January 11, 2015

The Real Definition for the Term "Moderate Muslim".

There is no Moderate Islam; there is no Moderate Muslim, unless,,,,


Sicking tired of the fabricated terms so-called Moderate Islam or Moderate Muslim; those individuals, institutes and organizations that the western countries support and promote them in different aspects. One might wonder why? Following the terrorist attacks in France like any other tragic terrorist activity, nearly all these so-called Moderate Muslims claim one argument but with different tune and words as follows. 

They say: we condemn the terrorist attack, but journalists, politicians and scholars should understand that Islam and Prophet Mohammad are some holy matters for Muslims; as such, these issues should never be insulted, because these matters would provoke Muslims around the world. 

I'm asking the western authorities: What is the difference in essence between, for example, the Fatwa that Ayatollah Khomeini issued against Salman Rushdie or what someone like Usama Ben Laden said and the arguments of so-called your fabricated Moderate Muslims in this matter? Do you see any difference in essence between these two arguments? Both of these arguments would try to violate our freedom in different terms, one with sword and an eminent attack, another one with a direct threatening argument, which clearly tells you: learn from current terrorist attack; do not touch these issues; otherwise you lose your head in this matter sooner or later. A clear example in this respect, is a so-called moderate Muslim like professor Tariq Ramadan backed by the British authority. 

To put it simply: Moderate Muslim is the one who completely respect and supports a secular political system (separation of church and state type system), and moreover fully respects, supports and tolerates the unlimited freedom of speech, thoughts and expression about every subjects and themes including God and Prophet Mohammad. Otherwise is a pure charlatanism, delusion and deception.



M. Sirani                               11.01.2015

Saturday, January 10, 2015

The EU Should Collectively, Strongly and Fundamentally Reorganize its Security Measures in Different Terms. The Tragic Terror Event in Paris is just the Tip of the Massive Iceberg.

There are many loopholes and weaknesses within security and intelligence entities of all the EU countries in various scale. The EU countries should bear in mind that sooner or later, they would undoubtedly arrive in a conflictual point with the Iranian Regime as well, mainly based on Iran's adventurous nuclear activity and Iran's expansionist behavior in the Middle East and North Africa. As such, the EU should be prepared on the one hand for terrorist activities of some Sunni fundamentalist groups and some Shiite fundamentalist groups backed by the Iranian Regime in the other hand.

To put it simply, what we are observing currently, is just the tip of a massive hidden iceberg. Needless to say that there is huge differences and conflicts between the followers of Sunni and Shiite religions around the globe in different scale. But, when it comes to a war against a common enemy such as the West, these two different Islamic groups would either directly or indirectly cooperate with each other in a best possible manner. You have experienced this event in many places such as Afghanistan, Palestine, Syria, Iraq, etc in the last couple of years.



M. Sirani                             10.01.2015

Friday, January 9, 2015

You Are Shocking Me General Dempsey.

You Are Shocking Me General Dempsey. 

In an interview which took place Thursday, when the reporter asked General Martin Dempsey about Iran's military operation in Iraq, the Joint Chiefs Chairman responded:

"So far, those operations haven't threatened U.S. troops or their mission" (Yahoo, 2015). 

This statement is honestly shocking me. One might wonder why? This is the story. Everybody knows that the Iranian Regime has completely colonized Iraq since many years ago at least since December 2011, when the U.S. withdrew its troops from Iraq. Since 2013, ISIS has systematically begun to seize the power in Iraq and Syria. To put it simply, ISIS activities in both Iraq and Syria are threatening Iran's interests (in different terms) in both countries. Since August 2014, the USA has formed a coalition (nearly 60 countries as Mr. John Kerry says) and has begun to fight ISIS in Iraq and Syria. I'm wondering: why should the Iranian Regime complain? Why should the Iranian Regime perform any activity against the U.S. troops, when the U.S. troops are fighting ISIS and doing a great favor for the Iranian Regime free of any charge?

Not only Iran but also the Syrian regime are using Buck Passing Strategy and enjoying all the activities that the  USA and its coalition are doing against ISIS in both Iraq and Syria. What else should the Iranian Regime or Assad's Regime wish in this matter General Dempsey?

This is not the end of the story. General Dempsey surprises us with another shocking statement. In this interview, General Dempsey is identifying the Iranian influence in Iraq a positive move, if the Iraqi government remains committed to inclusivity of all different groups inside Iraq. His direct statement is as follows:

"If it is a path that ties the two countries more closely together economically or even politically, as long at the Iraqi government remains committed to inclusivity of all the various groups inside the country, then I think Iranian influence will be positive" (Yahoo, 2015).

This part of General Dempsey's statement is interesting and at the same time shocking from different angles. I'm wondering, do i have to remind the Joint Chiefs of Chairman about the destructive role of the Iranian Regime in Iraq, which directly and indirectly facilitated the best environment for the emergence and presence of ISIS in both Iraq and Syria? Do i have to remind General Dempsey that hegemonic influence of the Shiite regime of Iran led most of the Sunni tribes in Iraq to join ISIS? Or do i have to remind General Dempsey that since 2003 onward, most of the U.S. troops in Iraq were killed by the IRGC, Quds forces and their affiliates such as Mahdi Army or Badr force?


Furthermore, General Dempsey has used the term "inclusivity" as a characteristic of the current Iraqi government, in order to underpin his statement about the positive role of the Iranian Regime in Iraq. I don't want to deeply analyze this part of General Dempsey's statement; although there are many loopholes in this matter as well. But with help of some simple questions, i would try to illustrate my argument.

Dear General Dempsey:

1- Who is the current Iraqi Minister of Transportation? Is Hadi Al- Amiri the current minister or not? Is Hadi Al-Amiri the head of Badr Organization or not? Is the Badr Organization a subset of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) or not?

2- Who is the current Iraqi Interior Minister? Is Mohammed Ghabban  a Shiite politician affiliated to the Badr Organization or not? Needless to say that Interior Ministry is a key security ministry within every political system including current Iraqi government.

3- Who is the current Iraqi Human Rights Minister? Is Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani a Shiite politician affiliated to the Badr Organization or not?

Dear General Dempsey, the Joint Chiefs of Chairman of the strongest country in the world: With just these simple examples, could we identify the current Iraqi government an inclusive political system and furthermore could we identify the overall influence of Iran in Iraq a positive move? Or should we be optimistic about the inclusivity of Iraqi government somewhere in the future?

In sum, i can offer you many other examples and a more deeper academic argument, which the combination of all of them indicates a simple fact that:

The current Iraqi government is not inclusive and never will be a inclusive political system as long as the Islamic Regime governs in Iran.


Note: If you think you can stop Iran's adventurous nuclear activity by handing over Iraq to Iran, you are absolutely and completely in the wrong direction. You will understand my statement, when it's too late. Remember my short note in this matter.


M. Sirani                                   09.01.2015



Reference:
http://news.yahoo.com/dempsey-us-eyes-ways-aid-iraq-forces-182531294--politics.html

Thursday, January 8, 2015

One of the Terrorists Left His ID Card in Their Abandoned Getaway Car. Have little Doubt About It.

As media reveal one of the terrorists, who attacked Charlie Hebdo magazine in Paris, has left his ID card in their abandoned getaway car. As an individual far away from this event, i'm not in a position to confirm or deny the credibility and accuracy of this news. But regarding this particular part of the news, some considerations are in order as follows.


1 - As many security and intelligence experts also claim, these three terrorists were well prepared for this horrific act. They knew exactly, when and how they should perform the assassination and how to get away from the scene, without any serious confrontation.

2 - As the video clips of this tragic event show, the terrorists performed their barbaric act in a very cold-blooded and cool-headed manner. This issue indicates the fact that the terrorists were either very well experienced, trained and prepared assassins as most of the experts also claim or they were used some calming medication in order to tackle their stress and anxiety during this barbaric act or a combination of both issues.

3 - In order to find the terrorists, France has mobilized 88,000 police and army forces. This huge manhunt has so far, failed to arrest the three terrorists.

The combination of all these three issues mentioned above, illustrates a fact that these terrorists are not novice or beginner in their job. This issue should raise an important question for the French authority as follows.

The question: Is there any possibility that such well-experienced and trained terrorists unintentionally leave an ID card in the getaway car? This is something that i doubt about it.

It might, however, be very difficult to find an accurate answer to this question at this stage. But we cannot reject a small possibility that the terrorists might have intentionally left an ID card in the abandoned getaway car in order to delude and deceive the French security forces. Such a delusional and deceptional environment at this stage, would help the terrorists to escape easier. There is a small possibility for such a trick and in my opinion the French authority should not ignore it.

In addition to what the French authority has done so far, France should consider the two following suggestions:

1- France should offer a monetary reward (bounty) for any news about these terrorists as soon as possible. We should bear in mind that sometimes a monetary reward is much cheaper than the security forces, who are trying to find a fugitive. Moreover, sometimes monetary reward functions faster than the effort of the security forces. 

2- The French authority should publicly and openly give a very strong warning to those who possibly would assist and harbor these terrorists in any terms.




M. Sirani                            08.01.2015










  

Terrorist Attacks in Paris! You Ignored What i Had Warned You Nearly Two Years Ago.

Here below is part of my essay entitled: An assessment about the current civil war in Syria. This essay was written on August, 2013. Some viewers might be interested to go through some of my predictions in that time about the consequences of the Syrian civil war; some predictions that we are dealing with them currently in Iraq, Syria itself, Lebanon and lone wolf attacks in the western countries, etc. 



7- Some Consequences of the Syrian Civil War:
Whether we are supporting Bashar Assad or its opponents or are neutral, we should pay attention to some of the consequences of the Syrian civil war. Analyzing these consequences is very important, because some of them might occur beyond the Syrian geographical territory within the country that we live in. Some of these consequences are briefly as follows.
1- The first and important issue is the large number of human casualties and near-total destruction of the country’s infrastructure. We should not be genius to anticipate that this issue would be devastating for Syria, the Syrian people and the neighboring countries for some decades to come.

2- The second issue is about the overall effect of the civil war on the life of the Syrian people. This issue has caused that more than 1.6 million people have fled Syria and taken refuge abroad in some countries such as Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, Egypt, Lebanon and some North African countries. We should bear in mind that we are talking about more than 500,000 Syrian refugees in a country such as Lebanon with a population size of 4.2 million, or nearly 500,000 Syrian refugees in Jordan with a population size of almost 6 million people, etc. The large numbers of the Syrian refugees are the huge burden on the shoulders of all these states, the international organizations as well as NGOs. In the long term, this issue would cause many problems in different arenas including security for all these countries. As an example, asylum seekers and refuges are the most vulnerable groups around the world; because, in most cases they don not have proper access to their basic needs and rights. As such, some members of this vulnerable group would become the easiest preys for different criminal organizations as well as Jihadist groups. This issue is also applicable for some of the Syrian refugees in the Middle East. Given the fact that most of these countries mentioned above do not have a powerful, stable and reliable political system and the Syrian civil war has entered in the new phase of a conflict between the Shiite and Sunni groups, we can anticipate that the presence of large numbers of the Syrian refugees would threaten the peace, stability and security of some countries in the Middle East in the long term.
There is also another important issue with regard to the Syrian refugees. What these refugees would do, if Assad’s regime would manage to survive this civil war? Given the fact that some of these refugees, themselves or their relatives are fighting against Assad’s regime, would they dare to return to Syria in the future? Who / which powerful international entity would be able to provide and maintain their security in Syria under the rule of Bashar Assad? On the contrary, if Assad’s regime would collapse somewhere in the future, who, or which powerful entity would be able to provide and maintain security for those Shiite or Alawites people, who have supported Bashar Assad or neutrally have behaved during this conflict?

3- The overall presence of Hezbollah in this conflict and increasing numbers of conflict between the Shiite and Sunni groups in different countries in the region illustrate the fact that eventually, the Syrian civil war would spread to some other neighboring countries in the Middle East. In this respect, the two countries of Lebanon and Iraq are the most vulnerable states.

4- The Syrian civil war has facilitated the best environment in terms of training, access to different facilities such as money, weapon, and network building for all Jihadists around the world. This chaotic environment functions like an academic institute for all Islamic fundamentalists including novice Jihadists, who enter Syria legally or illegally from different borderlines. After a while, these novice Jihadists would be expert in different military tactics and strategic matters such as using different types of weapons - explosive materials, organizing, surviving in harsh and difficult circumstances, network building, etc. The important and tricky point is the time that these jihadists would decide to return to their countries of origin, whether is somewhere in the Middle East or the EU or some other countries around the world. In this respect, we can anticipate that each of these jihadists would function as an ambassador of terror and would be able to organize and establish a terror cell in his /her country of origin.

5- This is the fact that the Kurdish people has been one of the most marginalized and deprived groups in Syria. The Syrian Kurds live mostly in the northern part of Syria along the southern border of Turkey and partly the northern border of Iraq. During the chaotic atmosphere of the civil war, the Syrian Kurds might decide to establish an either autonomous or a Kurdish self-regulated region in the northern part of Syria. This issue would threaten the sovereignty of Syria, Turkey, and Iraq. As a result, it would create extra instability and tension in the region.

6- We should bear in mind that some of these consequences, inevitability, would also affect the Israeli–Palestinian peace process to some degree.
All mentioned above, indicates the fact that the consequences of the Syrian civil war from different angles and to some degrees would be devastating not just for the Syrian people or the country of Syria, but also for all of us, no matter whom we are or where we live.


Note: You "so-called smart guys", ignored what i had warned you nearly two years ago. 

M. Sirani                               08.01.2015

Yesterday and Today Terrorist Attack in France Are Just the Tip of the Iceberg.

All the Western countries should understand and be aware that what we have observed yesterday and today in France is just the tip of the iceberg. The necessary security measures should strongly be taken in all places.


M. Sirani                        08.01.2014

Wednesday, January 7, 2015

Due to the Negligence of French Authority, Once Again, Freedom of Speech and Expression Were Assassinated in the Heart of Paris.

You are appeasing the Islamic groups around the globe; your assumption and knowledge about Islam is so naive and shallow based on either your completely wrong comparison with Christianity or some jargon produced by someone like Tariq Ramadan; you have been giving Islam a type of untouchable privilege because of your economic and geopolitical interests; you are supporting and promoting different Islamic individuals and groups in various terms and forms, in order to achieve your own agenda.

Today's tragic terrorist attack in Paris, in fact, is the result of dirty seed that you have cultivated and nurtured many years ago up until this moment in the Middle East, North Africa and your own countries. The genie is out of the bottle now. The threat is in your own home. You (the western countries) should clean the mess up; before it's too late. This is the time that you should stop supporting all these Islamic groups around the globe. Instead of supporting bunch a jargon producer such as Tariq Ramadan and alike, you should assist, support and promote secular and democratic individuals and groups in the Middle East and North Africa.



M. Sirani                                          07.01.2014  

As Long As You Are in the Mode of Delusion- Appeasement- Hibernation About Islam, You Suffer.

To Western countries:

As an example, Instead of following the ideas of Hassan Al-Banna (the Founder of the Muslim Brotherhood), you are following the jargon of his grandson Professor Tariq Ramadan and delude yourself that you are modernizing and democratizing Islam.

Note: Follow the mode of  Delusion- Appeasement- Hibernation About Islam and deal with its consequences everywhere. In this respect, you are gradually butchering your own citizens in the streets of your own countries. For god sake: wake up.




M. Sirani                                    07.01.2014

Monday, January 5, 2015

There is A Real Solution for the Syrian Civil War.

By performing a plan, we would be able to:

1- Get rid of some terrorist organizations such as ISIS and Al-Nusra in Syria.

2- Create prolonged peace and stability in Syria and consequently easing the tension in other parts of the Middle East.

3- Some other positive outcomes, which i cannot discuss them openly and publicly here in this weblog.



M. Sirani                                05.01.2015

Sunday, January 4, 2015

A Possibility: Greece on the Verge of Maturity By Leaving the EU, if the Left Wing Will Win the Coming Election (04.01.2015).

A Possibility: Greece on the Verge of Maturity By Leaving the EU, if the Left Wing Will Win the Coming Election (04.01.2015).

As it appears, the radical left Syriza party (Anti-Austerity) is going to win the election. This development is going to create a huge dilemma for the EU. One  might wonder how. This is the story. The new left political system in Greece along with the majority of Greek people are really fed up with all austerity measures imposed by the EU, IMF and the WB in the last couple of years. As such, the new left government in Greece will try to arrange a new deal with the EU; simply a deal without those austerity measures.  In this respect, the EU has only two options.

1- The EU agrees with Greece's proposal. (Which i doubt about it). In this respect, Greece will remain within the EU.

2- The EU does not agree with Greece's proposal. In this respect, Greece will undoubtedly declare default and leave the European Union. Should this happen, a new wave of economic crisis will spread the EU and consequently the rest of the world to some degree. Following this event, Greece might ask BRICS group for help. In this respect, the New Development Bank (BRICS Development Bank) will suppport Greece financially, instead of the WB or IMF. This would be an important step for BRICS group.

Such a development would be interesting from different angles.



M. Sirani                                    25.01.2015

Thursday, January 1, 2015

The U.S. Imposed Sanction on Nine Iranian Individuals and Companies; Another Hollywood Style Superficial Move.

The Obama administration has recently imposed sanction on nine Iranian individuals and companies.
By this type of move, the administration would try to win the heart and mind of the allies in the Middle East (Although i fully doubt about this issue based on many events i observe) and  the Republicans in both Senate and the House of Representatives, in order to somehow prevent them to demand more comprehensive sanction on Iran in the next coming months.

Note: Everybody, who has little bit knowledge about Economics and International Relations, knows exactly that this type of superficial move is nothing for the Iranian Regime and would not prevent Iran in its main goal with regards to its adventurous nuclear activity. The Obama administration might be able to delude some Democrats or Republicans in this matter, but not me. If the Obama administration is serious about Iran's nuclear activity, it should do much more than these shallow and superficial acts. As an example, the administration can designate the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and its all subset companies, as terrorist Organizations. By such a move, the U.S. would be able to put a fundamental and comprehensive pressure on Iran. This issue is possible, simply due to the fact that:

1- Iran is one of those states that supports terrorism according to some report introduced by the U.S. Department of State.

2- The U.S. has designated Hezbollah as a terrorist organization in 1997. Given the fact that Hezbollah is a product of the IRGC (The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) and IRGC is the godfather of Hezbollah and some other terrorist organizations around the globe, i'm wondering why the U.S. does not designate IRGC as a global terrorist organization; of course if it is serious about Iran and its nuclear activity?

With such a simple argument, we understand how serious the Obama administration is with regards to the Islamic Regime and its nuclear activity.

In short, you might be able to delude some Americans or some of your allies, but not me. Play the Hollywood style move for them, not me.     



M. Sirani                                      01.01.2015