Friday, September 30, 2016

A Warning For International Community: Any Attempt For Establishing A No-Fly-Zone in Syria Would Lead to A Total War in Many Battlefields Beyond the Syrian Borders.


Those, who have visited my blog, would easily understand how do i think & feel about the Iranian Regime; They would simply understand that as an Iranian dissident in exile, i believe that the Iranian Regime should be overthrown. But when it comes to current situation in Syria, i don't let my logical will and wish with regards to the future of  Iranian Regime close my eyes to the reality on the ground in Syria.
I follow the news about various events in the Middle East including the Syrian civil war carefully on daily bases. I have been noticed that since couple of months ago up until now, many preparations in various parts of the Middle East and Eastern parts of the EU have been done. All these separate preparations ( in terms of timing and geography) like some separate pieces of a puzzle are gradually sticking together and forming a complete picture about a plan for Syria for me. A prepared No-Fly-Zone plan, which is waiting for a suitable moment, to be quickly performed.

This is a totally wrong plan at this stage and in case of implementation, it would lead to a total war and chaos beyond the geographical borders of Syria; beyond the will, power and authority of any state.

Note: Current Syria is not former Yugoslavia in 1994-5, nor is Iraq in 1990-1, nor is Libya in 2011. AVOID MISCALCULATION AND MIRROR IMAGING. 

In terms of power and authority of the central government, some might think that the current Assad's regime is weak and is similar to those political systems in Iraq (1990-91) or Libya(2011). There is no doubt that the civil war has weakened the Regime and Bashar Assad has lost some parts of the country either to ISIS or some rebel groups. But this issue is not the only determinant factor in case of implementation of a No-Fly-Zone. There are many other important factors, which the combination of all of them distinguishes the weak Assad's Regime from those weak political systems.  

M. Sirani              30.09.2016

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

The Islamic Regime of Iran is Warning: Hundreds of Thousands Afghan Refugees Sheltered in Iran Are Trying to Reach the EU (Political Extortion).


As i predicted earlier, the USA & EU policy to give nearly $6 billion dollars to Turkey for sheltering the refugees in that country not only is not an effective policy; on the contrary this policy will encourage other states in the region to demand money from the USA & EU in this regard.
The current statement of the Iranian Regime should be understood in this respect. In short, Iran wants money (Political Extortion); otherwise it will open its borders to the large numbers of Afghan refugees to move towards the EU.

(Enjoy the fruit of your Kindergarten Foreign Policy).

M. Sirani                  20.09.2016

Monday, September 19, 2016

The USA & EU under the imminent Threat of Radical Islamic Terrorists.


Do the USA & EU have any effective and comprehensive strategy whatsoever with regards to radical Islamic terrorism?  The current situation that we all are experiencing, shows not at all; the genius corrupt politicians, policy makers and pundits, who have the power & authority, do not have any plan in this regards after all these years.

M. Sirani                      19.09.2016  

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Any Attempt For Establishing A No-Fly-Zone in North Syria Without A Collective Consensus of Assad's Regime, Iran & Russia Means A Declaration of War; A Total War Across the Middle East and Some Parts of Africa.


Needles to explore the negative consequences of such a move in this short note. Because, this is a simple and basic fact and those genius politicians (Living Copier & Paster) in Obama administration and EU countries should have an appropriate knowledge about it.

The US, UK and Germany ground forces, whether in the form of combat, training or logistic forces, have been deployed into Syria since many couple of months ago as far as i know. In addition to this, the Turkish army has recently started an offensive operation inside Syria since couple of days ago. Many shallow minded & illiterate politicians across the region and some western countries including genius H. Clinton have been proposing a No-Fly-Zone in North Syria. The combination of all these moves and talks indicates a fact that it seems the desperate countries want to commit a suicide in Syria. I have written a short note in this matter one month ago. Those who are interested, can visit the following link.


M. Sirani              11.09.2016