Monday, September 10, 2018

We Need Urgently A New World System; Before It's Too Late.

Briefly:

There are many weaknesses & loopholes within our current international institutions, laws, regulations & conventions. As a result of these weaknesses, we are unable to deal with many challenges in a proper, sustainable & fundamental manner.
 Needless to prove & explore this statement. Some issues such as influx of refugees & migrants from developing countries toward developed world, widening gap between poor & rich people, large numbers of unsolved & prolonged conflicts & tensions in various parts of the world, global economic down turn, the rise of right wing political systems in many areas, etc are just a few examples, which clearly confirm my statement noted above.

We should also bear in mind that our international institutions, laws, regulations & conventions are not the only actors & factors, which form, shape and determine our world system. There are some powerful actors in our world, who their policies at domestic & foreign affairs would impact our world system in different terms and scales. This process could be negative or positive for some or for many actors around the world.

Considering the brief explanation noted above, our contemporary world system has faced some serious problems as follows. A- Weak & incompetent international institutions, laws, regulations & conventions, B- Lots of problems & conflicts around the world as a result of these weaknesses C- A weak super power with some rising powers. Before the victory of D. Trump in 2016 election, the USA was declining. On the contrary , the EU & China (Plus its bloc) were on the rise in different terms. Both China & the EU were trying to shape the world system towards their own economic & Geo-strategical interests, without causing a major conflict with the USA or even with each other. The victory of D. Trump and his policies have interrupted the plans of China & the EU at regional and global level in different terms. To put it simply, we are currently observing a world system, wherein there are multidimensional conflicts between various actors including the powerful actors and none of these powerful actors is able to impose its hegemony on other ones. The existence of simultaneously weakness & conflict between powerful states, would automatically facilitate an opportunity for some regional actors to try to expand its influence in their neighborhood. This issue would cause some regional tension & conflict in some parts of the world as well. In this respect, Iran & North Korea could be mentioned. Based on this brief explanation, i can say that there are many similarities between our current world and the world between 1930s & 40s. As such, i strongly believe, our world system has reached an extremely critical & dangerous juncture. In order to prevent a major explosion in our current world like those world wars in the past, we should work on two major issues as follows.

A- Imposing some reforms, adjustments (and in some areas totally change) in our international institutions, laws, conventions & regulations.
B- Designing and implementing some new plans & programs for some parts or our world particularly those conflictual areas like the Middle East & Africa.

By performing these issues, not only we would be able to solve many of ongoing problems & conflicts in various parts of the world but also we would create a new world system, which is more peaceful & stable. Should this happen, we would be able to deal with many challenges in an appropriate, sustainable and fundamental manner.


M. Sirani                      10.09.2018
 


For The Record: My Multi-Phase Plan Can Solve Many Conflicts Across the Middle East & Some Parts of Africa & Prevent Further Disaster; If the UN Facilitates A Neutral & Legitimate Platform For Me.

Brief:

Due to miscalculation, misanalysis, wishful thinking & adventurism, the plans of the USA, Israel, Arab States, Iran & Russia with regards to various tensions & conflicts across the entire Middle East will fail without any exception. This includes the multiple efforts of the UN in the region as well. The results would be only more collateral damages, destruction, more refugees, displaced people and broader battlefield; and nothing else.

In this respect, i have designed a Multi-phase plan, which not only can solve some of the ongoing conflicts in the region in a sustainable & proper manner but also would prevent the occurrence of  many horrific events across the Middle East & some parts of Africa in the future. Based on many reasons including technical point of view, my plan should be introduced & implemented by & through a neutral & legitimate platform like the UN.

However, despite multiple warnings & statements in this regard, i haven't received any response from the UN so far.

Note: One might wonder why i don't introduce my plan or at least some parts of my plan openly & publicly in this blog. In response to this question, i should state that there have been many examples in the past that i have introduced a plan for some event; but my overall rights with regards to that plan & its implementation have been ignored & violated by some actor/s.  As a result of this type of unfair practice of some individuals & entities, i don't release any detail about my plan in this blog since 2013.

As an example in this regard, my plan for "Chemical Disarmament" of Syrian government could be mentioned. Two days following the chemical attack in Syria (21.08.2013) i designed this plan and after many efforts, without receiving any positive response, i finally uploaded in my blog.
The title of Plan: 
"
A Plan That Might Save The World From An Additional Disaster" (Irancare).



M. Sirani                         10.09.2018

Sunday, July 29, 2018

The Plans of All Actors Involved in Various Parts of the Middle East Including A Distinguished Pundit Like H. Kissinger Are Doomed to Fail.

Briefly:

Following the World War 2, some pundits or politicians within the USA could design any plan whatsoever and impose it to the rest of the world by using some advantages such as the economic & military leverages of the USA. Those years are over due to many factors including the fact that our world has gone through various changes in different terms and the notion that the current USA cannot use its economic & military power the same as it did in 1960s or 70s; although the current USA is still the most powerful country in our world in these areas. In this respect the Middle East is a good example. According to the media, J. Kushner would get advise from H. Kissinger with regards to many issues in the Middle East including in case of Israeli and Palestinian peace process. The failure of this case does not need any further argument and explanation, when we observe the Palestinian authority does not talk with anyone from Trump administration anymore. So would be the case of Syria & Yemen. When it comes to Syria, in a very best case scenario and extremely optimistic manner, Syria would become something chaotic like current Iraq; if not Afghanistan. IN case of Yemen, the USA & Saudi-Led coalition, will experience a quagmire worse than Afghanistan.

Some claims that the recent rapprochement between Trump and Putin is also Kissinger's plan for curbing & countering China. In this respect, i can say that the essence of this plan is correct. One way to curb China is detaching Russia from China. However, the way that Trump is going to implement this plan is totally wrong from different direction. In short, this plan, the way that Trump wants to implement it, would lead not only to the total failure but also would damage the Western Bloc from various directions.
In addition to this plan mentioned above, i have another plan for curbing & countering China. I don't reveal this plan, because of  its devastating negative consequences in different terms for the entire world including the massive population size of China.

In short, as i have repeatedly said, the plans of all actors involved in various tensions across the Middle East, without any exception, would end up into total failure. The result would be only more collateral damages, further destruction, more refugees and displaced people, broader battlefield and nothing else. As far as i follow the moves & policies of all actors in the Middle East, i can say with high certainty that i am the only one, who can clean up the mess in the entire Middle East & part of Africa by implementing My Master Plan. I hope the responsible entities in this regard including the UN would come to my conclusion as soon as possible; before it's too late.

M. Sirani                                     29.07.2018       

Monday, July 16, 2018

The Press Conference of Trump & Putin Should Be An Alarming Sign For Many; Period. Be Prepared For Many Flip Flops Around the World (The UK Would Be An Interesting Case Study in This Regard).

Trump & Putin Helsinki Summit; A Brief Explanation.

Briefly:

Trump uses "Russia Troll" to milk the EU, Canada & Australia in different terms including getting a good trade deal, selling U.S. weapons, oil & gas to them. By closing to Putin & Russia, Trump would try to create a headache for China as well. In addition to these issues, Trump has a bigger plan in his mind and that is, developing a new world order by the help of Russia. If Trump would be able to convince Putin to become a close ally to the USA, Trump would be able to achieve his goal. Should this happen, Trump would be able to have full control about most part of energy resources around the world (USA+Russia+Arab States). As such, Trump would be able to impose the U.S. hegemony on most part of the world including on China and the EU as two tough economic competitors for the USA. In such a hypothetical scenario, Trump would be able to curb & counter Iran a hostile enemy of Israel in the Middle East, by the help of  Russia as well.

I don't have any doubt about the will & desire of Trump in this regard. Whether Putin would agree to play in this game of Trump or not is the important issue in this regard. The correct answer to this question in an extremely determinant factor in analysis about the new world order and occurrence of many events at regional and global levels in the next coming years.


M. Sirani                                16.07.2018  

Thursday, July 12, 2018

An Important Question: Will Trump Pull Out of NATO?

Briefly:

As the president of the USA, Trump has the legitimate & legal authority to withdraw from NATO. Would Trump do that or not, depends on many issues & factors. This is a fact that without a powerful military wing, no super power or a powerful state has been able to either conquer the world or impose its hegemony on most parts of the world. There is no such an example in the entire history. So is the case of the USA under the presidency of Trump. In order to implement and impose his doctrine on most parts of the world, Trump needs a strong army. Would this desirable army be only NATO? For Trump the answer to this question is highly likely no. For Trump, the ends justify the means in an extremely Machiavellian Manner. We should bear in mind that for Trump, the EU & China are the serious threats and strong barrier, not Russia. When it comes to economic expansion, both China & the EU are trying to surpass the USA.

When it comes to military power, China is rising and some EU states are nuclear armed states. In comparison with China & the EU, Russia cannot pose a serious threat for Trump at this stage. Russia is a nuclear armed state and has powerful military apparatus. But, when it comes to economic power & economic expansion, Russia is not a serious threat for the USA and the way that Trump thinks. On the contrary, Russia has fast amount of natural resources, gas and oil, and is one of the main providers of these resources for China & the EU, two main barriers for Trump & his doctrine.

In my opinion, this is the main foundation of Trump's doctrine: Curbing, countering and controlling China & the EU. One of the main tools in order to achieve such a hegemonic position, is Russia. If Trump would be able to be allied with Russia, Trump can easily impose U.S. hegemony on China & the EU and accordingly preserve the U.S. hegemony at global level. In this respect, Trump would also try to use the UK. In addition, a close relationship with Russia at the level of my hypothetical scenario, would give Trump a strong hand with regards to fully curbing & countering Iran in the Middle East. Such an event, would collect enormous support for Trump from various directions from Israel and oil-rich Arab States.

To put it simply, i can say Trump will undoubtedly withdraw from NATO, if he would be able to make a good, certain & comprehensive deal with Putin & Russia. Should this happen, Trump would obtain the main sources of energy around the world (USA, Russia & Arab States), and by this tool, Trump can impose the U.S. hegemony on most parts of the world mainly China & the EU; two tough economic competitors. We should also bear in mind that in this regard, Trump would not be alone. There are many right wings political powers in the entire EU. Some of these states are currently member of NATO. In case of my hypothetical scenario, many of these states will undoubtedly join Trump army in a completely new military framework.  A type of hijacking NATO. 

Whether, Putin & Russia agree with this plan and follow Trump or not depends on many factor, beyond the scope of this brief explanation. The only thing that i can say is that there are many historical potentialities &possibilities for Putin & Russia at the present time, whether we like it or not.

M. Sirani               12.07.2018




Monday, July 9, 2018

The Plans of All State-Actors Involved in the Various Conflicts Across the Entire Middle East, Without Any Exception, Will Hit the Wall Somewhere in the Future. Let Me Use My Expertise & Extraordinary Talent in Conflict Resolution to Ease the Tension, Solve Some of these Conflicts & Prevent Further Disaster.

Brief:

The plans of the USA, Israel, Arab States, Iran & Russia with regards to various tensions & conflicts across the entire Middle East will hit the wall without any exception. This includes the two ongoing peace plans of the UN for Syria and Yemen as well. The only results of these ongoing conflicts would be more death, destruction, more refugees, displaced people and broader battlefield & nothing else.
Hereby this short note, i ask the international community to let me use my expertise and extraordinary talent in Conflict Resolution and ease the tension, solve some of the current conflicts and prevent further death, destruction and disastrous events for the entire Middle East and some parts of Africa. Let me use my EXTRAORDINARY TALENT and save the life of hundreds of thousands innocent people; before it's too late and we have reached the devastating point of no return in this regard.



M. Sirani                   09.07.2018

Sunday, July 1, 2018

The EU Has Enough Potentiality & Capacity to Stabilize Our Chaotic World Partly Resulted From Trump's Wrong Policies. In Doing So, the Union Needs Some Fundamental & Structural Reforms First.

Briefly:

The EU has enough potentiality and capacity to play a major role as an effective super power at  global level. In order to reach such a point, the Union needs to perform some structural and fundamental reforms.

M. Sirani              01.07.2018 

I Repeat My Earlier Statement: When it Comes to North Korea, Trump Has Painted A Frog & Wants to Sell it to You As A Lamborghini.

Briefly:

There are multiple reasons behind this move. Among them:
1- Encouraging the EU and some other states to withdraw from JCPOA & put extra pressure on Iran.
2- Milking many states around the world from Arab States to South Korea and Japan.
3- Using this event as a leverage in curbing, countering China in different terms including trade dispute.
etc etc.

M. Sirani                      01.07.2018

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Friday, June 8, 2018

Warning: D. Trump Wants to Develop A Bipolar World System; Wherein the USA is At its Center in Different Terms. Based on Many Reasons Including Trump's Characteristics, This is A Very Dangerous Move For the Entire International Community.

Briefly:
Part of the reason that Trump wants to reinstate Russia to G7 could be understood in this regard. By using Russia as a tool, Trump wants to A- Curb & counter China (in terms of energy, natural resources and security (Possibly paralyzing Shanghai Treaty), B- Curbing & countering the EU (in terms of energy & security) and C- Curbing & countering Iran. Trump is moving in a very dangerous direction in this regard based on many reasons. The world should stop Trump, before it's too late.

M. Sirani          08.06.2018 


Friday, May 25, 2018

What Did Trump & Pompeo Give (Bribe) North Korea For Releasing Those 3 American Prisoners? (Find the Answer & Shatter Trump's Self-Proclaimed Master Deal Breaker.).

Briefly:
The real story of North Korea negotiation is not what Trump administration claims. Trump might be able to fool some people; but not me.

M. Sirani                 25.05.2018     

Monday, May 21, 2018

Mike Pompeo Speech; the 12 Demands Given To Iran (If You Ask These Demands From A Failed State Like Current Libya, You Will Hear a Negative Response). GOOD LUCK.

Briefly:

I'm totally against the Iranian Regime. But as these demands show, Trump administration does not have a clear knowledge about the Iranian regime & its capabilities. These demands are a type of declaration of war on Iran. 


M. Sirani                     21.05.2018 

Sunday, May 13, 2018

When It Comes to The International Relations & International Politics, D. Trump is An Extremely Poor & Inexperienced Soap Opera Actor (Time Will Prove My Statement (13.05.2018).

New Trick of Trump To Totally Paralyze the JCPOA. Would The EU Fall in Trump's Trap or Not?

Briefly:

If you follow the news, you would probably observe that Trump, his administration and media supporters would enormously exaggerate about various events related to nuclear issue in North Korea. As an example, North Korea has recently decided to dismantle a nuclear test site in the next coming days. Trump praised this move on Twitter. Various media supporters of Trump praised this move and claimed that Trump should get credit, etc.

What is the main story?
North Korea has decided to dismantle the nuclear test site. This move has, in reality, nothing to do with Trump and his approach toward North Korea. This nuclear test site is unusable due to excessive test and is on the verge of total collapse according to many reports including from some Chinese geologists. In addition, we should bear in mind that North Korea developed nuclear weapon to defend itself against a foreign threat like the USA. The country has developed its security weapon. It does not need a nuclear test site. Because, North Korea does not want to compete with the super powers in terms of nuclear weapon; the way that Russia and the USA for example do to be able to compete with each other. But Trump and his supporters would exaggerate about this issue and some other moves in North Korea just for one reason. They want to convince the EU to withdraw from the JCPOA. By these types of exaggerations, Trump team wants to tell the EU that look at North Korea. Due to tough stand and rhetoric of Trump, North Korea has started to dismantle its nuclear facilities. If you (the EU) would withdraw from the JCPOA, we can force Iran to sign a better nuclear deal. This is the main trick of Trump for the EU. Would the EU fall in Trump's trap in this regard or not?


M. Sirani           13.05.2018 

Saturday, May 12, 2018

The Possible Final Results of Trump's Approach Toward North Korea; A Trilogy. (Trump is A Soap Opera Actor Addicted to Exaggeration).

Briefly:

Regarding the upcoming USA & North Korea negotiations, three scenarios are possible. These scenarios are as follows:

A- The Scenario 1: North Korea would hand over its nuclear arsenals to China or a legitimate international body such as IAEA and stop further development of any nuclear weapon & ballistic missile. In return, China would provide a nuclear-defensive umbrella for North Korea in case of any foreign aggressor. The USA, in return, would guarantee the security of North Korea and would lift the sanctions, etc through a comprehensive peace treaty.


B- The Scenario 2: Trump is a soap opera actor addicted to unlimited exaggeration. There are numerous examples that Trump has extremely exaggerated in order to project himself as a smarter, richer, more powerful, stronger, etc individuals. Part of the reason that Trump does not reveal his tax return lies in this matter. His tax return would reveal that Trump is not so rich as he claims. Based on such a mentality, Trump might have come to the conclusion that North Korea is a nuclear armed state and he has some limited options. Either a nuclear war with North Korea or accept a nuclear armed North Korea with some superficial changes. In this scenario, North Korea would not further develop any nuclear weapon; it keeps some of its nuclear weapon (Secret from the eyes of the international community); It would superficially and apparently dismantle some parts of its nuclear weapons and nuclear plants, test sites. By these events, North Korea "has apparently given up its nuclear arsenals". The USA, in return, would lift some sanctions and might offer North Korea some type of incentive support. In this scenario, the conflict in Korean Peninsula has been solved peacefully. North Korea would be satisfied. Trump would trumpet that he has solved the conflict in Korean Pennisula and might get a political Oscar (Nobel Peace Prize) for his show. The USA would preserve its reputation at global level, that "it has not allowed that North Korea would remain a nuclear armed state" etc.

C- The Scenario 3: North Korea is buying time for further development of its nuclear arsenals & ballistic missile program or something else.


M. Sirani                 12.05.2018



The New Trick of Trump to Totally Paralyze the JCPOA. Would the EU Fall in Trump's Trap in This Regard? 

Briefly:

If you follow the news, you would probably observe that Trump, his administration and media supporters would enormously exaggerate about various events related to nuclear issue in North Korea. As an example, North Korea has recently decided to dismantle a nuclear test site in the next coming days. Trump praised this move on Twitter. Various media supporters of Trump praised this move and claimed that Trump should get credit, etc.

What is the main story?
North Korea has decided to dismantle the nuclear test site. This move has, in reality, nothing to do with Trump and his approach toward North Korea. This nuclear test site is unusable due to excessive test and is on the verge of total collapse according to many reports including from some Chinese geologists. In addition, we should bear in mind that North Korea developed nuclear weapon to defend itself against a foreign threat like the USA. The country has developed its security weapon. It does not need a nuclear test site. Because, North Korea does not want to compete with the super powers in terms of nuclear weapon; the way that Russia and the USA for example do to be able to compete with each other. But Trump and his supporters would exaggerate about this issue and some other moves in North Korea just for one reason. They want to convince the EU to withdraw from the JCPOA. By these types of exaggerations, Trump team wants to tell the EU that look at North Korea. Due to tough stand and rhetoric of Trump, North Korea has started to dismantle its nuclear facilities. If you (the EU) would withdraw from the JCPOA, we can force Iran to sign a better nuclear deal. This is the main trick of Trump for the EU. Would the EU fall in Trump's trap in this regard or not?


M. Sirani           13.05.2018