Almost three months ago, when the horrific chemical attack was occurred in Syria, I wrote many short notes repeatedly and claimed: "I have a solution for the Syrian civil war"; "we can use this disastrous inhuman event and turn it into a golden opportunity"; "we can completely change the direction of the Syrian civil war, etc. (See my short notes from 24.08.2013 from over). I didn't publish the whole my plan in my blog due to the fact that I didn't want to see that Iran and its allies use this horrific chemical attack in their benefits. All of you remember that the situation was totally critical. It was a moment that the US and France had decided to launch a military strike on Syria. That critical situation finally forced me to publish the short note titled "A plan that might save the world from an additional disaster" in my blog on 07.09.2013. If we could implement my plan earlier than Russia and Iran, we might have been able to decrease the influence or dismantle the roles of Hezbollah and Iran in Syria; we might have been able to use that opportunity in order to get a upper hand with regards to Iran's nuclear negotiation; we might have been to change the direction of the Syrian civil war in a positive way. Now, the international community has lost the battle in Syria to the group of Asad's regime, Iran, Hezbollah. This event has given Iran an extra upper hand or a winning card with regards to its nuclear activity. As such, the politicians in Tehran think that they are really untouchable in the Middle East; because they have saved Asad's regime against the rest of the world in different critical occasions. Therefore, I believe the chance that Iran would retreat from its nuclear activity at this particular time is very low. As I have mentioned in my earlier short notes, Iran is following the two paths and methods of North Korea and Israel parallel to each other with regards to its nuclear activity. Iran might give up one of these two nuclear projects (Israeli or North Korean model), in order to ease or lift the sanctions. But the chance that Iran would simultaneously give up both these nuclear projects (i.e. Israeli and North Korean Model) is almost impossible. And, this subject is something that Israeli intelligence service is fully aware of that more than any other intelligence services around the world. They know exactly which types of methods Iran is pursuing.
In sum, the international community has missed that historical event with regards to the Syrian civil war. Thus, let us don't miss another historical event once again. In order to avoid another failure, we should force Iran to accept the Additional Protocol. We should remember that any agreement with regards to Iran's nuclear activity without the Additional Protocol (Imposed and monitored by IAEA) is worthless and useless. We should not repeat another Munich Agreement.
M. Sirani 21.11.2013
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