Briefly:
As an Iranian in exile, i'm totally against the Iranian Regime & its proxies. However, based on my analysis about overall consequences & side effects of this plan (Destabilization of Lebanon, South of Syria, etc etc), i have come to some reasonable conclusions as follows.
Based on my analysis, this plan not only do not mitigate & weaken the position of Iran & Hezbollah in both Syria & Lebanon, on the contrary, it would strengthen & empower them in the region. In addition, this plan, in terms of implementation, would cause a huge destruction, large number of collateral damages and hundreds of thousands or probably millions refugees & displaced people around the entire Middle East or maybe more in some parts of Africa as well.
Due to this analysis, i believe as an ordinary human being, this is my responsibility to prevent such a disaster as much as i can. Here below is one of my solutions for preventing such a disaster in the Middle East.
A well- organized & inclusive national rally in the entire Lebanon demanding Hariri's return to the country would to a large extent dismantle the possible plot in Lebanon. This rally should repeatedly continue until S. Hariri would return back to Lebanon & save the country from another useless, bloody & devastating war & civil war.
M. Sirani 12.11.2017
Sunday, November 12, 2017
Saturday, November 11, 2017
Warning: Those, Who Have Planned to Destabilize Lebanon Hoping to Defeat Hezbollah & Undermine Iran's Role in Lebanon, Should Not Once or Twice, But Also Multiple Times Reevaluate Their Plan in This Regard.
Briefly:
Undoubtedly, any attempt in this regard, would cause a broad destruction, couple of hundreds of thousands or probably millions displaced refugees and large numbers of collateral damages. But this attempt not only would not achieve its main objectives i.e. destroying Hezbollah & the influence of Iran; on the contrary would empower & strengthen the position of Iran & Hezbollah at home & abroad. Such an attempt, in addition, would undoubtedly change the face of the Middle East in the benefit of Iran.
Note: A quick review in this blog, clearly shows that I'm among those Iranians in exile, who strongly, reasonably & logically believe that the Iranian regime cannot, will not & shall not accept, tolerate and perform any tangible reform somewhere in the future based on its inherent & structural characteristics. Based on these special inherent & structural characteristics, A simple reform in the Iranian regime would cause the sudden & total collapse of this regime exactly like those "Perestroika & Glasnost" reforms of M. Gorbachev, which led to the total collapse of the Soviet Union & its bloc. As such, in my opinion, this regime should be overthrown without any doubt. But, based on my analysis about various factors with regards to this possible event, i can tell you by high level of certainty that such a plan would end up into a catastrophic fiasco & accordingly, the Iranian regime & its allies would be the final winners of this plot. My suggestion: reevaluate your plan in this regard not once or twice but also multiple times. Because this plan, in terms of implementation, would cost you a lot more than damaging the Iranian regime & its proxies.
M. Sirani 11.11.2017
Undoubtedly, any attempt in this regard, would cause a broad destruction, couple of hundreds of thousands or probably millions displaced refugees and large numbers of collateral damages. But this attempt not only would not achieve its main objectives i.e. destroying Hezbollah & the influence of Iran; on the contrary would empower & strengthen the position of Iran & Hezbollah at home & abroad. Such an attempt, in addition, would undoubtedly change the face of the Middle East in the benefit of Iran.
Note: A quick review in this blog, clearly shows that I'm among those Iranians in exile, who strongly, reasonably & logically believe that the Iranian regime cannot, will not & shall not accept, tolerate and perform any tangible reform somewhere in the future based on its inherent & structural characteristics. Based on these special inherent & structural characteristics, A simple reform in the Iranian regime would cause the sudden & total collapse of this regime exactly like those "Perestroika & Glasnost" reforms of M. Gorbachev, which led to the total collapse of the Soviet Union & its bloc. As such, in my opinion, this regime should be overthrown without any doubt. But, based on my analysis about various factors with regards to this possible event, i can tell you by high level of certainty that such a plan would end up into a catastrophic fiasco & accordingly, the Iranian regime & its allies would be the final winners of this plot. My suggestion: reevaluate your plan in this regard not once or twice but also multiple times. Because this plan, in terms of implementation, would cost you a lot more than damaging the Iranian regime & its proxies.
M. Sirani 11.11.2017
Wednesday, November 8, 2017
Warning: Following the Blockade of Yemen, Houthis Might Paralyze the Ship Routes in the Gulf of Aden or Bab-El-Mandeb Strait By Their Missiles & Rockets.
Briefly:
As I Said in 2015, Yemen is A Quagmire Worse Than Afghanistan or Syria. The country is currently suffering from all kinds of disaster such as famine, lake of food, water, medicine & different types of diseases such as cholera. The recent imposed blockade puts the life of millions innocent people at serious risk. This horrific condition would force the Houthis to react in every possible manner they can. I have said this in 2015 & say it again: The Houthis can paralyze the ship routes in the Gulf of Aden, Bab-El-Mandeb Stait & the Red Sea by their missiles & Rockets. We should bear in mind that Bab-El-Mandeb Strait is nearly 30 km wide and is one of the most strategic routes in the world.
Once again, i repeat my previous statement: Yemen conflict would not be solved by military operation.
M. Sirani 08.11.2017
As I Said in 2015, Yemen is A Quagmire Worse Than Afghanistan or Syria. The country is currently suffering from all kinds of disaster such as famine, lake of food, water, medicine & different types of diseases such as cholera. The recent imposed blockade puts the life of millions innocent people at serious risk. This horrific condition would force the Houthis to react in every possible manner they can. I have said this in 2015 & say it again: The Houthis can paralyze the ship routes in the Gulf of Aden, Bab-El-Mandeb Stait & the Red Sea by their missiles & Rockets. We should bear in mind that Bab-El-Mandeb Strait is nearly 30 km wide and is one of the most strategic routes in the world.
Once again, i repeat my previous statement: Yemen conflict would not be solved by military operation.
M. Sirani 08.11.2017
Saturday, November 4, 2017
Petro-Yuan Means The Beginning of the End of U.S. Dollar Supremacy.
Brief:
China will introduce Petro-Yuan as early as the end of this year. This issue will undoubtedly hit the U.S. economy in various terms, forms & scales. In this respect, the U.S. stock market might highly likely be the first victim. The second victim might be U.S. based Cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin. These sectors have unrealistically expanded in the past couple of months.The bubble will explode sooner or later.
Note: We are on the verge of a huge development in economic & financial arena at global level; while today, President Trump asks Saudis to list Saudi Aramco on the New York Stock Exchange.
Saudi Arabia might choose Dual Listing. But the idea that Saudi Arabia put all its eggs in the basket of the USA (Only New York Stock Exchange) like before, is far from the reality. Because Saudis know time has changed; they know also that many other factors around the world have changed. In addition, we should bear in mind that China might force Saudi Arabia to trade the oil with Petro-Yuan. Should this happen, the U.S. economy will suffer a lot.
We are in fact, in the transitional phase of rise & fall of empires.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
China will introduce Petro-Yuan as early as the end of this year. This issue will undoubtedly hit the U.S. economy in various terms, forms & scales. In this respect, the U.S. stock market might highly likely be the first victim. The second victim might be U.S. based Cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin. These sectors have unrealistically expanded in the past couple of months.The bubble will explode sooner or later.
Note: We are on the verge of a huge development in economic & financial arena at global level; while today, President Trump asks Saudis to list Saudi Aramco on the New York Stock Exchange.
Saudi Arabia might choose Dual Listing. But the idea that Saudi Arabia put all its eggs in the basket of the USA (Only New York Stock Exchange) like before, is far from the reality. Because Saudis know time has changed; they know also that many other factors around the world have changed. In addition, we should bear in mind that China might force Saudi Arabia to trade the oil with Petro-Yuan. Should this happen, the U.S. economy will suffer a lot.
We are in fact, in the transitional phase of rise & fall of empires.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Yemeni's Defense Ministry states that "attack was conducted using a Yemeni-made long-range ballistic missile called the Burqan 2H".
Briefly:
If this claim is true, it means a lot. It means a major shift in the balance of power & a breakthrough in Yemeni conflict. This development is a serious game changer, if this claim is true.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
If this claim is true, it means a lot. It means a major shift in the balance of power & a breakthrough in Yemeni conflict. This development is a serious game changer, if this claim is true.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Those GENIUSES, Who Thought I Was Joking in 2011, Are Now in 2017, Confused How to Deal With Yemeni Quagmire (I Refresh Your Memories).
For refreshing your memories, i suggest to read the following essay one more time with more precision & caution.
Essay: Iran should not get the nuclear bomb.
Link: https://irancare.blogspot.no/2014/11/iran-should-not-get-nuclear-bomb.html
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
China Unveiled Its Magic Island-Maker (Long Term Plan).
Briefly:
As Russia Today news agency (RT) claims the vessel can "smash underwater rocks and then suck out sand, water, and mud, and transfer the substance up to 15 kilometers away. It can dredge up to 6,000 cubic meters (around two and half Olympic swimming pools) an hour from a depth of up to 35 meters"(Rt, 2017).
This vessel is a revolutionary monster & along with Floating Nuclear Power Plant constructed by China (And Russia as well), show that China has a very long term plan in many fronts including building various artificial islands across the globe. We should not be Einstein to predict some of the consequences & overall side effects of this move in different terms, forms & scales in the future.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Reference: Magic Island-Maker (2017) in: https://www.rt.com/news/408794-island-maker-dredger-china/
As Russia Today news agency (RT) claims the vessel can "smash underwater rocks and then suck out sand, water, and mud, and transfer the substance up to 15 kilometers away. It can dredge up to 6,000 cubic meters (around two and half Olympic swimming pools) an hour from a depth of up to 35 meters"(Rt, 2017).
This vessel is a revolutionary monster & along with Floating Nuclear Power Plant constructed by China (And Russia as well), show that China has a very long term plan in many fronts including building various artificial islands across the globe. We should not be Einstein to predict some of the consequences & overall side effects of this move in different terms, forms & scales in the future.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Reference: Magic Island-Maker (2017) in: https://www.rt.com/news/408794-island-maker-dredger-china/
Friday, November 3, 2017
Does China Want to Build A Naval Base in Rakhine or A New Artificial Island Close to Rakhine Province in Myanmar At the Cost of 1 Million Innocent Rohingya people?
Briefly:
I don't have access to comprehensive & sensitive data. But my logic tells me that expelling couple of hundreds thousands Rohingya people in a very short period of time is a very big responsibility for every state including Myanmar. Myanmar authority has taken the chance to ruin its reputation in exchange for a very big & juicy project. This might be one of the main reasons of this horrific humanitarian disaster, as Chinese UN envoy invites the international community to be patient with regard to the horrific case of nearly 1 million displaced Rohingya people.
M. Sirani 3.11.2017
I don't have access to comprehensive & sensitive data. But my logic tells me that expelling couple of hundreds thousands Rohingya people in a very short period of time is a very big responsibility for every state including Myanmar. Myanmar authority has taken the chance to ruin its reputation in exchange for a very big & juicy project. This might be one of the main reasons of this horrific humanitarian disaster, as Chinese UN envoy invites the international community to be patient with regard to the horrific case of nearly 1 million displaced Rohingya people.
M. Sirani 3.11.2017
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)