Briefly: I'm totally against the Iranian Regime, But:
Any military strikes on Syria, Syrian army or Syrian Regime institutions by any state no matter who powerful, will undoubtedly lead to a total failure of invaders in different terms beyond the geographical territory of Syria across the entire Middle East, some parts of Africa and probably in Ukraine as well.
Such a move:
1- Would create a broad and prolong war and proxy wars in multiple battlefields.
2- Would facilitate the best fertile land for many new Radical Islamic Groups in addition to current ones like ISIS or Al-Qaeda.
3- Would facilitate a best opportunity for various radical Islamic groups to deploy some of their forces into the EU territory.
4- Would probably paralyze the normal transportation route of oil and gas from the Middle East to other areas around the world.
5- Would cause the collateral damage of large numbers of innocent civilians.
6- Would highly likely change not only the balance of power but also some political systems in the entire region in a very drastic, fast and fundamental manner.
7- Such a chaotic environment would undoubtedly drag Israel into direct military confrontation with some state/s and non-state actors.
etc.
The consequences of military strikes on Syrian regime are numerous. I just can say that such a move, exactly like the First World War will automatically drag many states and non-state actors into an endless and broad war in many battlefields; something that nobody, no state or no international body will be able to finish it in a short period of time. Such a move in a very optimistic manner, will be a huge regional suicide for some.
Thus: Don't be stupid; avoid any miscalculation mirror imaging and adventurism; think twice.
M. Sirani 13.10.2016
There are a few lengthy academic essays in this blog. Among them A- The Structure of Power in the Islamic Republic of Iran (Published on TERRORISM RESEARCH & ANALYSIS CONSORTIUM WEBSITE (TRAC), B- Iran Should not Get the Nuclear Bomb (Criticizes K. Waltz's Defensive Realism and Touches FP of Iran in the ME) & C- IRGC could be mentioned (NMBU-2008-2013).The rest are short impromptu analyses and predictive forecasts without any editing. All Rights Reserved.
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