Monday, January 2, 2023

Announcement: Are You Interested To Make A Documentary Movie Based on Real Story? Abuse of Power, Orchestrating Fake Accusation and Smear Campaign, Whether By Governmental or Non-Governmental Actors, Should be Stopped.

 

As a fully free & independent Iranian activist in exile for decades, I have always tried to have a low profile, mainly due to preserving my own security and security of some innocent relatives & activists, who lived in Iran and had contact with me & nothing else. 

But, when is the matter of MY DIGNITY & INTEGRITY, I WILL GO FOR NUCLEAR OPTION IN A FULLY LEGAL, LEGITIMATE, LAWFUL & PEACEFUL MANNER TILL MY LAST SECOND OF LIFE.

For this reason, I have decided to come out of the shadow and make a full documentary movie about the entire my life in Norway from day 1 till the final point without absolutely any sensorship from A to Z. 

The result of this documentary movie will expose the scope of either 

full STUPIDITY, LACK OF PROPER QUALIFICATION & 

EXPERTISE OR CORRUOPTION, ILEGAL, ILLIGITIMATE & 

UNLAWFUL ACTIVITIES OR THE COMBINATION OF ALL 

THESE ANOMALIES within some governmental and non-

governmental entities within Norway and beyond (E.g. Twitter; the 

existence of some dirty Twitter accounts in my list of "Who to 

follow-Suggested by Twitter), who above all of them Twitter had 

written, declared "@MSirani follows"; which i didn't. (In the entire 

my activity on Twitter, i had In Total 2 or maybe 3. 

Currently, i have 2 accounts- @MSirani and 

Sorena-P.S. The ID "Sorena" has been deactivated 

since Feb-2023). 

P.S. I closed all my accounts in 2017, based on some security threats 

that i felt from Iranian Regime side around my environment here in 

Norway and some sucpicious events inside Iran. The entire my 

Twitter activities from beginning til now, whether by my Real 

accounts and those fake ones (IDs) have only related to International 

Affairs, Political, social, cultural, economic, environmentral, art, 

music, philosophy & NOTHING ELSE. In the entire my Twitter 

resume there is absolutely not even a "F" (F***) word in my texts. 

Even if i wanted to use the term "Shit" in my texts, i have always 

written SH**. I have repeatedly informed Elon Musk (Once Jack & 

Elon Musk, in the beginning of the time that Musk had decalred he 

wanted to buy Twitter) on Twitter and told him that he & Twitter 

have the full permission to go through the entire my Twitter resume 

and publicly and openly realse every single ilegal, illigitimate and 

wrong activities around my accounts on Twitter or any where else. I 

have emphasized on this matter, because of the details mentioned in 

my previous post uploaded in this blog (See irregularities around my 

Twitter accounts Below).  

I haven’t had any connection whatsoever with any of those dirty IDs 

not on Twitter nor out of Twitter or anyone with such a mentality in 

my real life). Anyone, who is interested to make such a bold 

documentary movie without any sensor, can contact me either by 

leaving a message here or DM me on Twitter (@MSirani). 


P.S. Any one (Except Pro-Iranian Regime people & GOV), can 

participate and invest in making this movie, even some from 

Norwegian or Dutch Governmental Entities & 

Individuals

with only one condition. They should legally, lawfully & clearly 

promise in the written contract that THEY WOULD SHARE 

THE ENTIRE THIS MOVIE WITH PUBLIC WITHOUT A 

SINGLE SECOND SENSOR AT HOME AND ABROAD. I 

challenge many for a truthful battle in an openly, 

publicly, clearly and loudly manner by this proposal & project. 

Do some dare to participate in this FRUITFUL PROJECT? (If 

they are trutfull, in the right side of history, and have no dirty 

stone in their shoes, WHY NOT!

Abuse of power and orchestrating dirty fake accusation & smear campaign, whether by governmental or non-governmental actors should be stopped.


M. Sirani                                                   02.01.2023

 

 

Thursday, December 22, 2022

FOR THE RECORD: Twitter Support Canceled the 2 Step Verification option in my Acount. Now, i have access to my Twitter account ( The List of Irregular (Highly Likely Dirty, Unlawful and Illigitimate) Activities Around My Twitter Accounts Beyond My Control in the past Few Years).

 P.S. In the past couple of months and years (Almost more than 2 years ago onward, i can say), i have had a series of issues regarding my Twitter account and Twitter. Here below are briefly the list of a few of those issues.

A- The existence of dirty (Sex related) Twitter accounts in my list of "Who to Follow- Suggested for you", which above all of them were written "@MSirani Follows"; which i didn't. I had absolutely no connection whatsoever with those dirty accounts in the entire my Twitter life or outside of Twitter. 

B- There have been times that i wrote a text and when i pushed the enter botton to share it on my Twitter page, the entire my text vanished from the main page of twitter. It seemed my text went go away and published in an unknown and invisible Twitter page somewhere else. I had to type my text again and share it again.

C- It has been a time that when i wanted to log out of Twitter, i received a message from Twitter saying "You are not allowed to log out" (Something like this message) and i had to wait for nearly one minute, in order to log out of my Twitter account.

D- My Twitter account @MSirani was under "visibility Filtering". My friends and relatives couldn't find my account.

E- Based on the numbers of those who read my Tweets, i can say my twitter account was under shadow banning too & STILL MIGHT BE.

F- Recieving "Error Messages" that someone from Bærum (A place in Norway close to Oslo), has logged into my account (Se pic below). P.S. I don't live in Bærum or a place close to Bærum. In the entire my life in Norway, i haven't been in this place; nor did i pass through this place.   

G- And recently, i didn't have access to my account for nearly 20 days. Following the approval of 2 step verification mode, i didn't receive any SMS in my cellphone and accordingly, i couldn't have access to my account until today.


@Jack, @Twitter Support and recently @Elon Musk have received my complaints in these areas multiple times. Through a few tweets, i have asked Twitter Support and Elon Musk to perform a full investigation around my Twitter account and have given him full permission -authority to publicly and openly release any wrong doing around my account on Twitter. 

Whether the new management of Twitter would do such an investigation or not (Which i hope they would do that), is unknown to me. But considering these examples noted above, i'm 100% sure there have been many illegal, illigitimate and unlawful activities behind the scene around my account @MSirani without my knowledge or approval. The main questions are: Who were (are) those actors? and Why my account? 

Here below is the pics of a few of those Twitter accounts, which according to Twitter, pretended that i followed them, which in reality i didn't and login erorr messages i received from Twitter. In the top of the list, you would notice the ID "Liz" (Sex related user account). There have been days that i have counted 6-7 sex related user accounts in my list of "Who to follow". As i said and say it again, i haven't had any connection whatsoever with those types of dirty accounts. In other pics (Erorr messsages), Twitter informed me login from Bærum, which i don't live there, nor have i been there at all. 



 








M. Sirani                                   22.12.2022







Saturday, December 10, 2022

Last Week, i Signed for 2 Step Verification Tool for my Twitter Account @MSirani . Since then, i don't Get Any SMS From Twitter in My Cellphone & Accordingly, I Don't Have Access to My Twitter Account.

I have informed Twitter Support Multiople Times. I have just received automatic feedbacks and nothing else."Choose a different verification method" tool e.g. "send a text message" option does not function for me. 


M. Sirani                       10.12.2022

Thursday, March 17, 2022

Freedom is a scarce commodity & nothing else.

 

Freedom

Burn my body after my death,

And throw my ashes into an ocean;

Wherein, there is no fisherman,

Nor any fishing net or fishing boat.

Let free fishes consume my ashes.

Let my exhausted soul reincarnates,

In the bodies of some rebellious free fishes.

Maybe my wounded soul for once,

Experience the real taste of freedom.

For, I was born, lived and died in captivity.  

 

M. Sirani                 14.06.2017

 

Thursday, November 18, 2021

WARNING: Urgent Research Is Necessary: We Should Not Let Covid-19 and Its Variants Host Maritime Species. Should This Happen, We As the Civilization, Are Done.

 

I have warned about this potential threat multiple times since the beginning of this pandemic. Here below is just one of them.




M. Sirani                    14.11.2021

Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Warning: Highly Likely A Devastating Endemic is Ahead of Us. Design & Develop A Comprehensive Preparedness & Contingency Plan in Advance For the Next Coming Years & Possibly Decade to Come.

 

Here below is my primary evaluation with regards to the current Covid-19 pandemic and the serious threat of a devastating Endemic, which is highly likely ahead of us.

Based on some factors such as:

A- Rapid Mutation of Covid-19: This is a scientifically proven fact that all viruses mutate. So is the case of Covid-19 virus. But different evidences indicate a fact that Covid-19 mutates faster than some other viruses. According to the research of two Chinese Scientists (Published on the beginning of 2020), Covid-19 virus had more than 30 mutations in the bodies of 11 Chinese patients in less than a few weeks (Around 2-3 months).

 

B- High Speed of Spreading & High Level of Adaptability of Covid-19 virus to New Environment and New Host:

Up until the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020, generally speaking, Covid-19 viruses were found mostly in the bodies of only bats. As we have observed in the past nearly 1.5 year, Covid-19 virus has expanded its territory and can be found not only in the bodies of humans but also other animals such as apps, lions, dogs, cats, etc. This brief explanation simply indicates a fact that when it comes to its hosts and vectors, Covid-19 has had an extraordinary expansion. So far, I haven’t seen or heard any news regarding the existence of Covid-19 in the bodies of some Maritime Species. If Covid-19 would be able to enter that area and would be able to survive in that environment, the entire world would face a devastating & irreversible catastrophe for decades or maybe for centuries to come. This is a serious matter, which should not be ignored nor underestimated, in my opinion.  

 

C- Limited Duration of Vaccine Immunity: As far as I know, most of the vaccines against Covid-19 can provide immunity for humans for nearly 6 months. We should also bear in mind that the chance that any pharmacological company would be able to develop a permanent vaccine against this virus and its variants in the next coming months, years or even decade is very low. Considering these factors, rapid mutations of this virus and some resistible examples such as South Africa & UK Variants of this virus, we can come to the factual conclusion that current Covid-19 vaccines would not be able to deal with this virus and its mutated cousins in an effective & proper manner in the next coming months & years and this virus has come to stay with us for a long period of time.

 

D- Negligence in Vaccination: Based on many reasons such as the lack of trust to science or governmental institutions or negligence, some people might escape the vaccination or ignore the necessary second shot of their vaccines. All these cases are dangerous specially the latest one. Injecting the first shot but ignoring the second - complementary shot along with rapid mutation characteristic of this virus, would make Covid-19 stronger, more powerful and resistible with regards to many vaccines.

 

Based on what briefly explored above, I strongly believe that we are passing through Pandemic Phase and are going to enter the devastating phase of “Endemic”, when it comes to Covid-19 virus. In this respect, I strongly suggest that all the states would develop and design a comprehensive Preparedness & Contingency plan for the next coming years and beyond in dealing with this virus and its overall negative consequences in every possible term.

 

M. Sirani               27.04.2021      

    

 

Some of My Predictions, Which Have Come True So Far (Between 2012-2020):

 Here below are some of my previous analyses and predictions regarding different events, conflicts and subjects related to various parts of the world since 2012 till 2020. Before starting to read the following 5 pages, I should remind the reader with the followings:

1- Generally speaking, two types of writings have been uploaded on my (Ice Aged) blog. A- Some of my academic essays: Among them A- The Structure of Power in the Islamic Republic of Iran (BS Thesis-Published on TRAC website), B- Iran Should Not Get the Nuclear Bomb (This essay criticizes Kenneth. Waltz’s Defensive Realism by using and focusing the Expansionist Foreign Policy of the Iranian Regime) and C- The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (This essay explores the overall power and activities of IRGC at home and abroad), could be mentioned. B- IMPROMPTU Brief Analyses, Predictive Forecasts, Risk Management related Issues & alike at the framework of sometimes one page, one paragraph, a short note or a single line without even any editing process.

2- As you would visit my blog, you would notice that I haven’t written and uploaded more writing to it since 2020-2021. This simply does not mean my knowledge has hit the rock bottom or there is nothing in the world that I could write something about it. Not at all. The main reason behind this matter is only one thing and that is my concern. My concern in this regard is the notion that my predictions, which most of them have come true SO FAR & will come true somewhere in the future, are only the products of my mindset and brain and no one else. By publishing them openly and publicly, some wrong state/s or non-state actor/s might take advantage from them and use them against any other state or non-state actor in an unfair, unjust, illegitimate, illegal, immoral and unethical manner; that’s the way I’m thinking. For this reason, I have imposed self-sensor on myself since 2020-21 and do not update my blog anymore the way I did in the past. Otherwise, our current chaotic world has numerous important subjects and events to write or talk about them in every possible term.

Here below are some of my brief analyses and predictions with regards to many events in various parts of the world since 2012 till 2020, which almost all of them have come true SO FAR.  

1- Building aircraft Carrier, A pretext for Iran to enrich uranium above 60% (Predicted on 22.03.2014 – Iran has recently started with 60% enriching uranium). Further Prediction: Under the pretext of Medical Research, Iran would use 60% enriched uranium for its submarine and navy ships and thereafter would pave the way towards 90% enrichment for nuclear weapon.

 Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2014/04/the-latest-claim-about-irans-aircraft.html

 

2-The Next President of the USA Will Be A Republican (Predicted on 07 October, 2014).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2014/10/the-next-president-of-usa.html

 

3- Iran would seize the power in Yemen (Predicted on 03 September 2012).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2014/11/iran-should-not-get-nuclear-bomb.html

 

4- Iran would seize the power in Yemen (Predicted on 03 June, 2012- Persian Language article.

Link: http://www.iran-chabar.de/article.jsp?essayId=46402


The map above belonged to an Essay Entitled: “Iran Should Not Get the Nuclear Bomb” (M. Sirani-2012).

Should be added that through multiple short notes, in the beginning of 2015, I predicted that Saudi-led coalition would lose the battle in Yemen and in a very optimistic way of thinking Yemen would be divided into two or three pieces mainly between Iran, Saudi Arabia & UAE (Uploaded on my blog & posted on Twitter).  

5- Ukraine: Signing Free Trade with the EU (NATO PACT AS WELL), Might Lead to the

Division of Ukraine into Two Pieces (Predicted on 27 April, 2015). I warned about Crimea annexation somewhere in my blog and Twitter too.

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2015/04/ukraines-signing-free-trade-with-eu.html

Should this happen, Russia will annex some parts of Ukraine and connect Crimea to the land, the way I have described in the map below.



Note: I hope my prediction in this matter does not come true; because the negative consequences would be devastating for different actors particularly for the Ukrainian people.


M. Sirani                                          27.04.2015

6- Hillary Clinton Does Not Have Too Much Chance (In U.S. 2016 Election. Predicted on 12 April, 2015).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2015/04/hillary-clinton-does-not-have-too-much.html

 

7- Improving Cuba & USA Relationship; The Whole World Should Cross The Finger loool

(Predicted on 11 April, 2015).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2015/04/improving-usa-cuba-relationship-is-only.html

8- The Shadow of Imminent Long Period Terror All Over The Europe (Predicted on 26 June, 2015).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2015/06/the-shadow-of-long-period-terror-all.html

9- Influx of Refugees and Migrants Towards USA & the EU (Predicted on 08 June, 2015).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2015/06/the-developed-countries-should-be.html

10- Trump: Warning for the USA & The Rest of the World. Trump Has Started With His “Invisible Coup”. Not Only Democrats, but Also Republicans Will Regret; when it’s too late (Predicted on May 2, 2019).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2019/05/warning-for-usa-rest-of-world-trump-has.html

11- Follow Trump Foreign Policy; All Would Be Beneficial Somehow for Russia, Israel, Saudi Arabia & UAE at the End of the Road (Predicted on 01 May, 2019).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2019/05/follow-trump-foreign-policies-all-his.html

12- Turkey: Just Watch & See How Trump Directly & Indirectly Pushes Turkey Further in the Arms of Russia & By This Creates Chaos for NATO & the EU (Predicted on 01 May, 2019).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2019/05/turkey-just-watch-see-how-trump.html

13- Iran: Warning: A Plan of War or Military Strike Against Iran is on the Table (Predicted on 10 February, 2019).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2019/02/warningthe-plan-of-war-or-some-type-of.html

14- Trump: For the Record: Trump is One-Term President (Predicted on 04 January, 2020).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2020/01/for-record-trump-is-one-term-us.html

15- The USA: The Emergence and Rise of Secessionist, Ultra-Chauvinist and Right-Wing Groups in the USA and Accordingly the Eruption of Some Types of Armed Clashes and Highly Likely Civil War in Some States in the USA (Briefly: My Hypothesis About the Emergence of a New World System etc. Predicted on 16 November, 2018).

Link: https://irancare.blogspot.com/2018/11/my-prediction-about-world-system-in.html  

 

16- The Victory of Trump in 2016 Election: Since January 2016 till final days of October, 2016, I repeatedly predicted Trump would win the election against all odds and polls. I published my predictions in this regard on Twitter.

17- The Emergence of A Global Economic Crisis somewhere at the end of 2019 or max in the beginning of 2020: I repeatedly warned IMF, WB, UN Secretary General, etc about this matter on Twitter, somewhere in 2017 and thereafter repeatedly in 2018-2019. My argument in this regard was based on the combination of some factors such as: A- Stagnation and slow movement in housing market & real estate, B- Trump’s isolationism attitude, his wrong & counterproductive economic policy to create balance of trade (IN A GLOBALIZED WORLD; WHEREIN ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ARE INTERRELATED, INTERWOVEN & INTERCONNECTED BETWEEN MULTIPLE ACTORS) & overall negative consequences of these wrong policies at national, regional and global level,

C- Hyperactivities (Mostly orchestrated & artificial) around cryptocurrencies, D- Low inflation, in some cases zero-inflation and deflation, E- An increase in Unemployment rates, F- Stagnated and low price of fossil energy (oil & gas), while some exporters such as Iraq, Libya, Nigeria experienced some type of instability, uncertainty, decrease in production; while a country like Iran couldn’t export its oil & gas freely due to some sanctions imposed by the USA; while in the various parts of the Middle East, the Strait of Bab-el-Mandeb, the Red Sea and the Mediterranean Sea (Close to Syria), Iran, Israel and some Arab States (SA, UAE, possibly backed by Trump administration), hit the oil tankers of each other; while Houthis in Yemen backed by Iran targeted some oil facilities inside Saudi Arabia by their missiles or drones,, etc,

G- Huge amount of global debt & corporate debt in comparison with global GDP (Just in 2019 were: Global GDP= Something around $90 trillion dollars, Global Debt= Were double something around $180 trillion dollars), H- Executing Quantitative Easing by some highly developed countries, I- Large number of conflicts in various parts of the world, J- Brexit and its overall chaos, uncertainty, instability, K- Influx of refugees & migrants from Africa & South America towards the USA & the EU,  etc, etc etc. Based on this brief explanation, I predicted we would face a global economic crisis somewhere at the end of 2019 or in the beginning of 2020. This pandemic triggered the crisis.


A simple fair question for the reader of this article:

Have you seen or heard a single person in the entire world alone has predicted some or all i have mentioned above? ( Personally, i haven't seen anyone. But i will be glad to meet or be familiar with my extraordinary twin in this regard). 


M. Sirani                          27.04.2021

Monday, February 15, 2021

Three Major Plans, Which By Their Implementation, We Can Change the Course of This Planet in A Very Positive & Progressive Manner And Accordingly Create A Better World For Millions of People in Various Parts of the World.

In the next 15-20 years and beyond, our world will face massive challenges. Some challenges that will drag the entire world into a total chaos, instability, insecurity and conflict in every possible term. Among these challenges, A- Rapid & extreme climate changes, environmental degradation and occurrence of various natural disasters, B- The full development of new sources of cleaner energy (E.g. Nuclear Fusion Method), and C- The full development and involvement of Automation, 3D Printers and Artificial Intelligence in various job sectors, could be mentioned. 

The combination of these three massive events, their effects and side effects will undoubtedly drag the entire world into a total chaos in every possible social, cultural, environmental, economic and political term at national, regional and global level. To deal with these challenges and to some extent minimize the negative effects of these horrific events, i have worked on some projects throughout the past couple of years. 

The result of my effort are three major plans as follows: A- A Plan for denuclearization of North Korea and Korean Peninsula (A Regional Plan), B- A multi-phase Plan for the Middle East (Expandable to Africa too) and C- An Environmental Plan (At Global Level). These plans along with some necessary changes, reforms, adjustments in some other areas (E.g. in our International Institutions, conventions, laws & regulations) could be understood as the Basic Foundation for A New World System. 

The combination of these plans and their implementation will create a safer, better, cleaner and more secure and stable world and accordingly will change the course of history for hundreds of millions of people (if not billions) in a very profound, positive and sustainable manner. 

Considering many factors, including the victory of President Biden in the recent election, the total chaos in our current world, extraordinary need for many positive changes at national, regional and global level all around the world including in our international institutions and timing factor, i strongly believe this is the best historical moment for taking initiative for these three plans briefly mentioned above. 


As an impartial & fully independent analyst, i'm ready to share my plans and vision with any reliable state, institution, organization or even an individual, who support me in introducing and implementation of any of these projects. In advance, any kind of support and assistance in this regard will be greatly appreciated.  


M. Sirani             15.02.2021

Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Re Foundation "Solution Without Borders".

 Request for Participation-Sponsorship

I would like to invite you to become the sponsor/s (And if you wish, the co-founder/s) of the 

“Solution Without Borders Foundation”. A non-profit & humanitarian Foundation that can 

offer professional, pragmatic, reasonable and fair solution for various types of problems to its 

clients at national, regional and global level. By the combination of your support, 

sponsorship, my extensive experimental - academic knowledge and extraordinary talent in 

problem-solving / conflict resolution, we can cause positive changes for many people around 

the world regardless of gender, race, ethnicity, nationality, age, sexual orientation, religious 

beliefs, thinking style or any other visible or invisible diversity. Your support and 

participation in this humanitarian project would be highly appreciated.


M. Sirani                27.10.2020


P. S. Those, who are interested for further discussion and info regarding this positive 

concept, can leave a message in the comment box below (Comment Box is fixed on "Awaiting Moderation" and messages would not appear for public). 

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Some Religious Reasons for Conflicts in Syria & Yemen; In Addition To Economic & Geo-Strategic Reasons (WARNING: DO NOT OPEN A PANDORA'S BOX FOR A MESSIANIC ESCHATOLOGICAL WAR).

WARNING: DO NOT OPEN A PANDORA'S BOX FOR A MESSIANIC ESCHATOLOGICAL WAR.  

From the Essay entitled "Will the US Attack Iran?"


4- The Mindset of Policy Makers in Iran:
The ideological foundation of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on the Shia branch of Islam. The Shia Muslims in Iran (Mostly Twelver) are the followers of the twelve descendants of the Prophet Mohammad. According to Shia mythology, some three centuries after the death of the Prophet Mohammad, the twelfth Imam (Mahdi) went into an indefinite period of occultation. The fundamental belief of Shia branch is as follows: when the world is full of injustice, inequality, and violence, Imam Mahdi will return and fill the world with justice and prosperity for all people, through the establishment of an Islamic state on Earth. Based on this theological doctrine, the Islamic Regime has been trying to expand its influence and hegemony beyond its own geographical borders, particularly in the Middle East. This religious expansion is a celestial duty for the Islamic Regime and it pursues a sacred goal: the establishment of a Shia Empire in the region. Two of the most important functions of this Shia Empire would be as follows: 1- It would facilitate the advent of Imam Mahdi and 2- It would provide the necessary assistance and support to Imam Mahdi, when he will return from occultation. Iran precisely knows that the achievement of such a divine and important goal without the nuclear weapon is almost impossible. This is the main reason behind Iran’s nuclear activities. However, different evidences indicate the fact that recently despite enormous diplomatic pressure and severe economic sanctions, Iran not only has not reduced its uranium enrichment programmes, instead it has accelerated its nuclear activities, for example at Fordo underground facility near Qom city (Afshari, 2011; Aei, 2012; Sirani, 2012; Eteghad, 2012).

This issue raises a serious question. Why Iran does not halt or reduce its nuclear activity, despite all these diplomatic and economic sanctions? The answer to this question has direct connection with current civil war in Syria and Shia group uprising in Yemen. As we know, from early days of the Islamic Revolution, the policy makers in Iran have been trying to hold a durable, solid, and close tie with Syrian regime. This close relationship between Tehran and Damascus can be understood partly within the concept of a stronger strategic partnership against Israel. However, this is not the whole story; since, there is some other important reason beyond this inseparable strategic partnership. According to different hadiths in Shia branch of Islam, the righteous movement in Yemen and bloody civil war in Syria are amongst five events, which would occur before or during the emergence of Imam Mahdi (Eteghad, 2012; Sirani, 2012).
According to one of these hadiths:

One example of the direct help that Imam Mahdi will receive from Allah s.w.t. will be his defeat of Sufyaani. Sufyaani will be a man from the family of Abu Sufyan, and he will emerge from Damascus and conduct a ruthless campaign of bloodshed and mass killing, during which thousands of innocent people will be slaughtered. He will be supported by the people of the tribe of Kalb.

Sufyaani will dispatch his army to Mecca in order to destroy Imam Mahdi, however Imam Mahdi’s army will easily defeat Sufyaani’s army. Sufyaani will then lead a separate contingent of his remaining army to face Imam Mahdi himself. This army will subsequently be destroyed by an enormous earthquake at Baidaa on the road to Mecca”
(Al-Shia, 2012).

It seems unrealistic for us, but this is the way that the policy makers in Iran perceive the Shia uprising in Yemen and the current civil war in Syria. In fact, the policy makers in Iran have a strong belief that currently, the Sufyaani army (i.e. the Syrian Liberation Army and those states who support them) wants to defeat Syrian regime and after that, this army will move to Mecca in order to kill Imam Mahdi. Therefore, defending Assad’s regime would become a divine duty for policy makers in Iran, which has to be fulfilled at the expense of everything, in order to save Imam Mahdi. In fact, the combination of the current civil war in Syria, Yemen and the Arab spring has portrayed an image in the mind of religious policy makers in Iran that these rallies across the Middle East arise from the chaos of the final war. In other words, according to Shia mythology, we are close to the advent of Imam Mahdi or the Day of Judgment. Thus, based on Shia eschatological philosophy, Iran should defeat its enemies and establish a new world order; a new world without war, injustice and inequality (Williams, 2013; Al-Shia, 2012; Eteghad, 2012).
This is an important matter that most of the scholars and politicians do not pay attention to it.
Based on all explained above, we can deduce that Iran’s eschatological war, across the Middle East including in Syria has begun. In the mind of policy makers in Iran, this is the historical-religious moment that Iran should acquire the nuclear bomb in order to accomplish its divine mission. Therefore, the chance that Iran would stop or reduce its nuclear activities is very low. As a result, we can expect that eventually, these diplomatic negotiations will also reach a dead end somewhere in the future. In this case, there is high probability that the US will attack Iran. The next section shall discuss this issue (Williams, 2013; Sirani, 2012).   

M. Sirani                        2012

Sunday, February 10, 2019

Warning:The Plan of A War or Some Type of Military Strike Against Iran Is Highly Likely On The Table.


Briefly:
Different evidences indicate a fact that the plan of a war or some type of military confrontation against Iran is on the table. These evidences are briefly described as follows:

A- Imposing harsh sanctions on Iran including its oil & gas export, which are the main sources of revenue for the Iranian Regime; in order to weaken Iran's economy.

B- Withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria: This move (in case of full implementation) is highly likely the order of Russia. Putin does not want the devastated Syria specially at this stage that ISIS has been almost defeated, would become a new battlefield between Iran, its proxies and U.S. troops inside Syria.

C- Forcing Houthis in Yemen to withdraw from Hodeidah Port under the agreement of Stockholm Talks. Why is this issue important? In case of a military confrontation with Iran, the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz and part of Arabian Sea would be highly likely closed for any type of maritime transport. Such a hypothetical scenario would be devastating in terms of oil & gas export for many states not only at regional level within the Middle East but also at global level. In such a scenario, the only safe & secure passages would be the Gulf of Aden, the Strait of Bab-el-Mandeb and the Red Sea. If Hodeidah Port would remain in the hands of Houthis, In case of a military confrontation, Iran can paralyze the international community from both sides in the Persian Gulf  and the Red Sea. That's why, some are trying to remove the Houthis from this important Geo-Strategic Port ASAP.

D- As the Time of Israel claims, Mossad, MI6 and CIA have helped an Iranian Nuclear Scientist to escape from Iran, smuggled him to the UK and thereafter transferred him to the USA (False or true, this event is similar to those Iraqi chemical experts, who exposed the existence of WMD in Iraq before 2003 invasion to Iraq. As it appears, in the next coming days & weeks, we might expect some breaking news & revelation about the illegal & secret nuclear activity of Iran by some news agencies).
E- The upcoming Middle East Conference in Poland: This event is a type of mobilization of the international community specially the Europeans, who are the important economic partners of Iran after Russia & China against Iran. This move is similar to the move of G.H. W. Bush (the father), who mobilized the international community in case of Liberation of Kuwait from Iraqi army in 1991(The Gulf War).

F- Morocco has recently suspended its military cooperation with Saudi-led coalition in case of the conflict in Yemen. This issue might be partly due to the fact that Morocco does not want to be involved in a broader & deeper conflict with Iran at this stage based on some reasons; although, Morocco has its own problem with Iran in case of the Western Sahara conflict and the notion that Iran is one of the main supporters of the Polisario Front rebels.
G- Some actors behind this plan, for example, Trump, Netanyahu & Saudi Crown Prince are suffering from some types of problems at domestic, foreign affairs or both issues based on many reasons. They need some distraction to preserve their position. A war with Iran & the propaganda around this issue could be a tool in this regard.

The combination of all these issues mentioned above, indicate a fact that the plan of a war against Iran is highly likely on the table. These issues mentioned above are some type of preparations for such a move. Should this happen and a military confrontation with Iran begins, the overall negative consequences of such a move would be devastating for many people across the Middle East, parts of Africa and possibly beyond these areas. It should be added: As an Iranian in exile, i'm totally against the Iranian Regime. But i believe such a move not only does not solve anything at all with regards to the Iranian Regime and its expansionist activities; on the contrary, it would add more chaos, instability, tension & disaster in different terms for many people across the Middle East, some parts of Africa and possibly beyond these areas. And that is a horrific scenario in different terms that the entire international community cannot handle it. 
M. Sirani           10.02.2019
 

Friday, November 16, 2018

My Hypothesis:(It Will Highly Likely Happen Before the End of This Century & Sooner) A New World System: A World Divided Between Various Regions & REGIONAL POWERS- The Rise of Secessionist Movement/s In the USA.

Briefly:
In the next coming decades, our world system will go through various changes. Based on my calculation & analysis, in the next coming decades, we will not have some super powers in a way that currently we are observing. The world will be divided between various regions & REGIONAL POWERS. The time between now and reaching this hypothetical historical point (A New World System) will take couple of decades and reaching this point will not be a peaceful, soft & easy process. To reach such a point, we will pass through many tensions & conflicts in various parts of the world, mainly in Asia, the Middle East, The Central Asian Countries, Africa & South America.

Following some years or maybe decades tensions & conflicts, the world will be divided between various regions & regional powers. This hypothetical era will be a more stable & peaceful time in comparison with our current world system in different terms. As an example, in such an era, the number of tension & conflict between two or more states in one region will decrees. On the contrary, most of the tensions & conflicts will be between regions & regional powers. This hypothetical era will be accompanied with some inevitable changes. Among them the two following issues could be mentioned.

A- Some Changes in our International Institutions, Laws, Conventions & Regulations.Following reaching this point, we will be forced to perform many changes in our international institutions, laws, regulations & conventions in different terms, scales & scopes. We will highly likely dissolve the current United Nations with current framework. And instead will develop two different (But Parallel) International Institutions as follows:A- Some regional institutions (For each region)B- Some Global institutions, which will be used by representatives of various regions for solving the global issues, better coordination & cooperation between various regions, or solving the conflict & tension between two or more regions with each other , etc etc. In this respect, i can say, our international institutions will be smaller with less bureaucracy, less budget, but with more efficiency.One of the most important characteristics of this era will be the fact that The Permanent Members of the United Nations Security Council will lose their veto rights. Based on this characteristics and some other factors, i can say with high certainty that such an era will be a more fair, stable & peaceful era in comparison with our current world system.

B- The Rise of Secessionist-Separatist Movement/s in the USA: In such a hypothetical era, the USA will become a heavily indebted regional power. Following this hypothetical event, some rich states within the USA might come to the conclusion that the overall cost of their remaining within the framework of the United States is more than its benefit in various terms. In such an event, the idea that all migrants, who were migrated to the USA from various parts of the world, should mandatory stay together & remain united in order to be able to defeat the native Indians or some European Colonial rules, does not exist anymore. These issues along with many other social, cultural, economic, environmental & political factors will highly likely convince some rich states to secede from the United States. Due to some issues such as the existence of the Second Amendment, inequality and some other factors, the process of secession and separatism movements in the USA will not happen through a calm, peaceful and diplomatic negotiation.   


Sirani                      16.11.2018 

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

How A Group Like the Muslim Brotherhood By Sacrificing Khashoggi Brought A Rich & Powerful State Like Saudi Arabia to its Knees. An Orchestrated Trap and An Inexperienced Crown Prince.

Briefly:

Khashoggi was either a member of Muslim Brotherhood or a sympathizer to Muslim Brotherhood and at the same time an opponent to current Saudi political system. Considering harsh & tough reaction of Saudi government with regards to its opponents, Khashoggi had decided to leave Saudi Arabia and live in exile; a type of self-exiled person.

Considering this brief details, the death of Khashoggi raises some seqrious questions as follows. Khashoggi knew that his life was in danger; as such he left his motherland Saudi Arabia & lived in exile. At the same time, Khashoggi had enough knowledge and information about how Saudi government deals with its opponents; he knew about arrest, torture and in some case abduction of some dissidents by Saudi authority. Despite all these information, Khashoggi entered Saudi embassy in Turkey to obtain a legal document. Why?
Khashoggi could have given legal & legitimate authority to a third person or a lawyer for example to go to Saudi Embassy and obtain that necessary document in a secure & safe manner. Khashoggi didn't do that and this event led to his death.

From this explanation, we might come to another hypothesis. So this might be the real story.
Khashoggi knew that Saudi authority would try to abduct or either kill him in the Saudi Embassy. Despite this threat & danger, he entered Saudi embassy. Khashoggi was a type of suicide bomber. He didn't carry any bomb with himself inside the embassy; but he knew that either by his abduction or death by Saudi officials in the embassy, he would be able to cause a huge damage to Saudi Arabia in different terms.
Some other evidences underpin my argument in this regard. This horrific event happened inside Saudi embassy in Turkey; a country that openly & publicly supports Muslim Brotherhood. Turkish authority or another third party recorded the voice and obtained some video clip from this event. Turkish authority had all the activities of Saudis under its watch & surveillance. They watched & controlled every single move of Saudis including the arrival of 15 Saudis with two private planes , etc etc etc.

In my opinion, the entire this tragic event was a type of orchestrated trap for Saudi government & Saudi Crown prince. And inexperienced & adventurist Saudi Crown Prince felt badly in this trap. To put it simply, by this suicidal mission, Khashoggi caused a huge explosion and accordingly enormous damages to Saudi Arabia in different terms. If Khashoggi had entered Saudi embassy with 1000 kg TNT and exploded there, he could have not caused such a damage to Saudi Arabia & its political system as he has done now.

M. Sirani               16.10.2018