Briefly:
As an individual, I can close my eyes to all the negative consequences of the current nuclear deal with Iran and support this deal in a unfair hypocritical and Machiavellian manner by considering two important issues including:
1-The first issue is developing the nuclear weapon. Based on my logical knowledge about the Islamic Regime, its ideological characteristic, its short and long term goal in the Middle East and Africa, i'm pretty sure that the regime will highly likely obtain nuclear weapon somewhere in the future less than 15 years that Obama administration claims. Moreover, due to the fact that Iran has conducted explosive test in 2000, i believe there is high probability that Iran has managed to develop the nuclear bomb at this stage, as i have briefly noted this issue in some of my previous notes. The only thing that Iran needs at this stage in a long range ballistic missile.
2- The history has shown us that no political system would survive and last for ever particularly a clero-totalitarian political system like the Islamic Regime. In other words, sooner or later, maybe in my life time maybe not, the Islamic Regime will finally be overthrown somewhere in the future. Should this happen, my generation or future generation of Iran will seize the political power in a country, i.e. Iran, which is a member of the nuclear armed states club. To put it simply, the current or future generation of Iran will have a solid guarantee to use the nuclear weapon as a defensive/ deterrence factor in a chaotic and volatile region like the Middle East.
If you as the western countries are happy with this deal; by considering the two simple facts noted above, in a Machiavellian manner, i can also fully support the current nuclear deal. But i won't. Because, i know this weak deal will inflame the scope of tension and conflict in the whole Middle East and North Africa in different terms.
M. Sirani 01.09.2015
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