Briefly: Some of MY Predictions About the Next Couple of Years.

Briefly:

The next couple of years would not be calm & steady for all of us in different terms & scales, due to the fact that we would highly likely face many unpredictable events. Among these events, which occurrence of any of them, would automatically impact other parts of the world: A- Highly likely presidency of D. Trump and the effect of this event in different terms whether at domestic level within the USA or at the global level B- A long term low oil price and its devastating consequences in different terms (social, economic, and political) at national, regional and global levels, C- Highly likely defeating most parts of ISIS in both Syria & Iraq and accordingly spreading some members of ISIS around the world mostly in the Middle East, Africa and EU, D- The sanctions on Iran have been lifted. This issue would empower & strengthen Iran in different terms. As a result, we should observe more offensive & expansionist move from Iran and consequently more hostility between Iran and Israel-Saudi Arabia in the region. E- Due to the fact that Iran & Russia have the upper hands in Syria, the West would try to weaken Russia in Ukraine in retaliation. In case of Presidency of Clinton we would probably witness escalation of tension in Ukraine. In case of no diplomatic solution in Ukraine, the tension might spread to the Baltic States, (etc), could be mentioned.                                        

M. Sirani                     05.05.2016  

The Vision 2030 Reform in Saudi Arabia: A Risky Reform:

The Vision 2030 Plan (Briefly)

Undoubtedly, this is a massive economic plan for Saudi Arabia. Due to some facts such as: A- economic sector in every country including Saudi Arabia is interconnected and interwoven with other social, cultural and political sectors, B- a simple reform in one sector (E.g. economic sector) will undoubtedly impact other sectors (E.g. social, cultural and political sectors), C- the massive scale of this economic reform, we should undoubtedly expect that this huge economic reform will automatically impact (Domino effect) other social, cultural and political sectors (each to some extent) within Saudi Arabia’s society beyond the will and power of Saudi authority or anyone else. As such, in my opinion, the Vision 2030 reform should be accompanied with some social, cultural and political reforms compatible with this huge economic reform, Saudi Arabia#s society and some other external factors at regional ^ global level. Otherwise this reform cannot achieve its main goals in an effective and comprehensive manner or in some cases this economic reform might be counterproductive and create instability within Saudi Arabia. It should be added that analyzing the overall aspect of what i have briefly note above with regards to Vision 2030 and its consequences is beyond the scope of this short & impromptu note.   

However, In order to illustrate a small part of my opinion in this regard, I use the White Revolution Reforms performed by King Pahlavi in Iran as an example. The White Revolution was mainly focused on economic terms not social, cultural and political sectors in Iran. As such, the newly economic reform, its consequences and complications were not compatible with previous social, cultural and political sectors in those years in Iran. The result of this contradiction and incompatibility was one of the main reasons of the disaster in 1979, and what we are observing today. This is a historical fact; we cannot perform a reform in one sector successfully within a society (no matter where) without performing compatible reforms in other sectors as well. It is impossible. According to this plan, for example, the Saudi authority would cut the subsidies and would try to increase the taxes. These reforms would change the Saudi’s society in economic term. But these reforms are not pure economic, due to the fact that their implementation would automatically impact the lives of Saudis people in terms of cutting subsidies & increasing taxes. In other words, these two economic reforms would impact social, cultural and political sectors in Saudi Arabia. As such, along with these economic reforms, some political, social and cultural reforms (E.g. education) should be performed; otherwise these two economic reforms would create social, cultural and political instability and uprising in Saudi Arabia whether in short or long term.   

Regardless of some negative points such as cutting the subsidies and privatization, This is a very huge project and in case of implementation, it would automatically impact various social, cultural and political sectors within Saudi Arabia’s society and even beyond. In order to avoid any complication in this matter in the short and long term, it would be wise that Saudi Arabia authority would re-evaluate this project in terms of policy analysis and risk management particularly at this stage that the whole Middle East (including Saudi Arabia itself to some extent) is experiencing various types of social, cultural, religious, ethnic and political instability & conflict. 

M. Sirani                    25.04.2016  

Warning: The Terrorist Group Abu Sayyaf Has Threaten to Execute Its Hostages on 25 April 2016: The Lives of 2 Canadians, 1 Norwegian and 1 Filipina Are in Serious Danger.

According to the TRAC (Terrorism Research Analysis Consortium) the terrorist group Abu Sayyaf has decided to execute its hostages at 3 pm on 25 April 2016, if the ransom has not been paid until that day.



M. Sirani                         22.04.2016

Saudi Arabia Has The Best Historical Opportunity to Shape the Face of Many Events in the Middle East & Africa in Both Positive and Negative Way.

Contrary to some politicians and pundits, who believe Saudi Arabia is in a very difficult position with regards to many events in the Middle East and Africa, i believe Saudis have some powerful leverages at the present time; some powerful leverages, which can be used in both positive and negative ways and change the course of many events in the region fundamentally. Hope those decision makers and politicians in Saudi Arabia know these potentialities perfectly and use them in a positive manner. Otherwise, they will regret badly in the future.



M. Sirani                          17.04.2016

You Cannot Impose Any Sanction on Iran Neither for Ballistic Missile Nor Anything Else; Iran Can Withdraw From the Nuclear Agreement.

There have been some rumors recently that the USA should/might impose some type of sanctions on Iran amid Iran's ballistic missile test or supporting some terrorist groups like Hezbollah, nor can any foreign entity or personal visit Iran's military facilities, etc. In case of imposing any sanction, Iran has the right to / can withdraw from the nuclear agreement, according to this document.

(AS some examples the readers can focus on Articles NR, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 in the document. This document is a serious disaster. To put it simply, Iran has taken you hostage forever with this document; simply because this document gives Iran full permission & authority to withdraw from nuclear agreement at any moment that one or some western countries would try to impose any sanction on Iran based on any reason whatsoever).     

I have said this before and i say it again. Based on the details of Iran's statement on the United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231, you cannot impose any sanction on Iran based on any reason whatsoever including Iran's ballistic missile.

Here below is the link of the statement in this matter.
http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Islamic-Republic-of-Iran-s-Statement-on-UNSC-Resolution-2231.htm


M. Sirani                      05.04.2016

Norwegian Government is Shooting Itself in the Foot By Implementing A Totally Wrong and Counterproductive Asylum Policy.

The result of Norwegian new asylum policy is disastrous, counterproductive and more costly in different terms for Norway itself. This plan is a huge disgrace to the basic humanitarian values. Those policy makers in Oslo would understand my statement in this matter in the next two or three years; of course, if they would remain in the power up until the next years.

Note: This plan doesn't get a "Z" mark in terms of integration policy,  policy analysis and risk management.  


M. Sirani                         05.04.2016

Breaking: Panama Papers: Leaked Data About Offshore Bank Accounts of High Ranking People Around the World.

The total leaked data is much bigger than released data by Wikileaks 2010 and Snowden 2013.

OBS: Don't be surprised: the current president of Ukraine and the father of current Prime Minister of the UK are among the released list as i quickly checked.

Check your favorite politicians and world leader in the link below.

https://panamapapers.icij.org/the_power_players/?utm_content=buffer2bc31&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer



https://panamapapers.icij.org/the_power_players/?utm_content=buffer2bc31&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer



M. Sirani                        03.04.2016

IMF Should Not Play the Game WIth Greece At This Critical Moment (The Lack of Risk Management & Policy Analysis Expert within IMF).

Briefly:

The Lack of Risk Management & Policy Analysis Expert within IMF.

Undoubtedly, Brexit would cause many problems in different terms for the EU. But playing the game with Greece in terms of debt relief at this critical stage that the country is struggling with many problems mainly weak economy and huge influx of refugees, would cause more harms in different terms particularly security arena to the whole EU. The policy makers in the IMF should look at this case with more attention and understand that we are in the beginning of a long term tough and harsh journey in different terms mainly 1- global economic downturn (Based on my prediction, a global economic crisis is around the corner) and 2- The threat of radical Islamic Terrorism, 3- Huge influx of refugees and 4- The possibility of a Grexit as a result of IMF negligence. Any earthquake in Greece at this critical moment would badly shake the whole EU. 

Note: Who are these IMF officials? Don't they see that just a handful terrorists have paralyzed some powerful countries within the EU? Don't they understand the scale of threat & damage? I'm serious: Do these officials have any basic knowledge about some subjects such as Risk Management or Policy Analysis? Do these officials have enough and appropriate qualification for the job they do? Are these IMF officials familiar with the term "Grexit" (A possibility that exists) and its consequences?
It is really shocking me that such a huge organization cannot calculate such a simple issue and its consequences.  I can prove to those IMF officials that at this critical moment (I emphasize at this critical moment, which would continue for some months or maybe some years to come), a Grexit would cause more damages in different terms to the whole EU than a Brexit. Those IMF officials would understand my statement in this matter, if they would conduct a comparison between a Grexit and Brexit in different social, cultural, political, economical and security arenas. The main problem is that those IMF officials are just focusing on economic part of the story and not the other factors. That is totally wrong. 

M. Sirani                     02.04.2016

Reference: Leaked IMF Letter (Huffington Post).

The EU (Greece & Turkey) Refugees Swap Will Highly Likely Cause Revolt & Instability in Both Greece and Turkey (The Chaotic Environment Might Be Used By ISIS).

Briefly:

We should bear in mind that many of these refugees

A- Have paid couple of thousands dollars to reach the EU i.e. Greece.
B- Many of these refugees have lost some of their family members or relatives in this horrific journey.
C- Many of these refugees were in Turkey and due to the lack of basic shelter, medical help, food, etc left Turkey towards Greece.
D- Many of these refugees do not trust Turkey's government in terms of basic civil & human rights and security.
And many other reasons.

The combination of these issues would undoubtedly encourage the refugees to some types of revolt and protest. Such a chaotic environment might be used by ISIS or any other terrorist groups to perform a terrorist attack somewhere within Turkey, Greece or somewhere else. 

Note: We should not forget that both Turkey & Greece, each from different angles, are suffering from some type of instability and domestic problems.


M. Sirani                02.04.2016

Aung San Suu Kyi: A Wonder Woman For All The Seasons (Ministries) Needs the Second Nobel Peace Prize.

The Nobel Peace Prize laureate Aung San Suu Kyi became the new Minister of Foreign Affairs in Myanmar. This event happens, while Aung San Suu Kyi has so far occupied the position of A- the Minister of President's Office, B- the Minister of Electric Power And Energy, C- The Minister of Education as well.

Note: Due to the fact that Aung San Suu Kyi has SO FAR swallowed four ministries in the beginning of her precious journey towards DEMOCRATIZATION in Myanmar, i suggest the Norwegian government to give her the second Nobel Peace Prize in order to intensify the process of democratization in this country. (What a comic world you have created).
Thanks in advance.


M. Sirani       30.03.2016  

The EU Ruined Its Reputation By Bribing Turkey.

Briefly:

The EU ruined its reputation by bribing Turkey with nearly  €6 billions for a plan that does not work properly. Instead of such a suicidal move, the Union could spend less than $100 million dollars for implementing a plan, which could promote the EU's reputation around the world and could create many job opportunities for various sectors.

Note: There are some opportunities in the middle of every chaotic & catastrophic event. Those policy makers & entrepreneurs, who identify and see those opportunities, hit the jackpot in the middle of every critical event.



M. Sirani                      21.03.2016 


BY implementing a master plan (The answer to the question below) We would be able to:
A- Ease the tension in various parts of the Middle East.
B- Decrease the influx of refugees towards the EU.
C- Promote the reputation of the EU in the international arena.
D- Create lots of job opportunity for various sectors.
E- Highly likely increase the price of oil at global level.


Implementing this master plan is not an easy task; but it is not impossible; it is achievable at this critical moment.

Question:

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

I Removed the Hint; Let Those Genius Hotshots Use Their Brains And Find the Solution.

Briefly:

Question:

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

The Spring.

The Spring

In one of these dark and icy days,

A wild sparrow will land in your garden;

Among those frozen beautiful violas;

Those, we planted them with our love;

Those, we nurtured them with our blood;

And will tell you “don’t worry at all”;

“The promised spring is coming soon”.

M. Sirani            12.03.2016

Those Experts At NUPI, NMBU & PRIO Answer the Following Question And Save Norway from Current Economic Crisis.

Briefly: Further falling the price of oil will undoubtedly threaten the regional & global economy & security particularly at the present time that we are experiencing a type of economic downturn at global level. Adding some other factors such as exporting Iran's oil (falling the price of oil), sanctions imposed on Russia (reducing the economic growth), increasing number of tensions in the Middle East & Africa, etc will inevitably threaten the global economy & security. There is "SO FAR" only one reliable and achievable solution, which can prevent such disasters in many weak & vulnerable states around the world and at the same time ease the tension in the whole Middle East to some extent.  

Question:

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

Note: H. Kissinger might have the answer; because i have seen some signs in his recent articles. 

M. Sirani                                 26.12.2015

Warning: Prevent A New Economic Crisis & Instability in Many Areas in the Next Coming Months.

Briefly: Further falling the price of oil will undoubtedly threaten the regional & global economy & security particularly at the present time that we are experiencing a type of economic downturn at global level. Adding some other factors such as exporting Iran's oil (falling the price of oil), sanctions imposed on Russia (reducing the economic growth), increasing number of tensions in the Middle East & Africa, etc will inevitably threaten the global economy & security. There is "SO FAR" only one reliable and achievable solution, which can prevent such disasters in many weak & vulnerable states around the world and at the same time ease the tension in the whole Middle East to some extent.  

Question:

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

Note: H. Kissinger might have the answer; because i have seen some signs in his recent articles. 

M. Sirani                                 26.12.2015

Share your idea On Twitter: #TwentyMillionDollarsQuiz

The Price of Oil Will Fall Further. This Trend Might Not Destabilize Iran & Russia; But Undoubtedly It Would Destabilize Many Other Countries in the Middle East & Africa. Such An Event Would Inevitably Drag Many Countries Into the Conflict.

Briefly: Have a greater and broader picture about the consequences of various tensions in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia will continue with this trend and the price of oil will fall further. This issue would put pressure on Iran & Russia along with some other oil producer states; but it would not destabilize political systems in Iran & Russia based on many reasons. On the other hand, falling the price of oil further would destabilize many other countries mainly in Africa and the Middle East due to weak and undemocratic political systems. Such an event, would drag most part of the world into a new wave of global economic crisis and consequently would drag many countries into some type of conflict in all those unstable areas. In addition, we should bear in mind that the international community will lift the sanctions on Iran in the next coming week/weeks. This means, Iran can export its oil as well. This event will also decrease the price of oil in the market based on simple demand & supply formula. Such events will undoubtedly threaten the global financial sector to some degree as well. We can prevent such disasters by a master plan without firing a single bullet; The answer to the following question is My Masterpiece in this matter.    

Question:

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

Note: H. Kissinger might have the answer; because i have seen some signs in his recent articles. 

M. Sirani                                 26.12.2015

Share your idea On Twitter: #TwentyMillionDollarsQuiz

Suffering From Low Oil Price And Losing Job in Oil & Gas Sectors in Your Countries? Your Solution Lies in the Answer to This Question.

It Should be added that changing the price of oil & gas is just one positive side effect of my Master Plan; A plan that without firing a single bullet can change the course of many events for good in the whole Middle East. 

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

Note: H. Kissinger might have the answer; because i have seen some signs in his recent articles. 

M. Sirani                                 26.12.2015

Share your idea On Twitter: #TwentyMillionDollarsQuiz

By Implementing A Master Plan, We Can: 1- Ease the Tension in the Whole Middle East, 2- Change the Course of Many Events in the Region, 3- Change the Price of oil, etc.

It Should be added that changing the price of oil & gas is just one positive side effect of my Master Plan; A plan that without firing a single bullet can change the course of many events for good in the whole Middle East. 

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

Note: H. Kissinger might have the answer; because i have seen some signs in his recent articles. 

M. Sirani                                 26.12.2015

Share your idea On Twitter: #TwentyMillionDollarsQuiz

A Question For All Strategists Around the World.

It Should be added that changing the price of oil & gas is just one positive side effect of my Master Plan; A plan that without firing a single bullet can change the course of many events for good in the whole Middle East. 

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

Note: H. Kissinger might have the answer; because i have seen some signs in his recent articles. 

M. Sirani                                 26.12.2015

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The Quiz of 2016: I Can Create A Gold Mine From Current Disastrous & Unstable Middle East By Answering This Question. What About You?

It Should be added that changing the price of oil & gas is just one positive side effect of my Master Plan; A plan that without firing a single bullet can change the course of many events for good in the whole Middle East. 

The Middle East is currently facing multidimensional ethnic, religious, economic, political and Geo-Strategical conflicts between various states and non-states actors. The scale of tension in different parts of the region has recently intensified. As some examples, A- we are currently observing: Russia and Iran have openly, publicly and increasingly involved militarily in the Syrian civil war. B- Turkey has increased its militarily presence in North Iraq and at the same time, Turkish army has once again started the war against the Kurdish separatist organization PKK after nearly two years truce. C- Saudi Arabia and some other Arab countries have invaded Yemen, etc. These examples indicate a fact that some parts of the Middle East are on the verge of a long term cycle of instability. This cycle of instability will undoubtedly worsen and consequently will spread to other areas in the region somewhere in the future, if the UN or the international community will not be able to find a fundamental and tangible solution for at least some of these conflicts in an appropriate period of time. We should bear in mind that finding solution simultaneously for all these conflicts in the Middle East is not an impossible task. But without any doubt is an energy, time and resource consuming job to do specially at this critical juncture based on some reasons particularly: 1- The deep level of tension, mistrust and zero-sum game condition between various actors; e.g. between Iran and Saudi Arabia and 2- The notion that some of these conflicts have a long historical background and cannot be solved in a short period of time without any negative consequences in various terms; e.g. the conflict between Kurdish separatist organization PKK and Turkish authority.  Based on the brief explanation noted above, answer the following questions.     

The Questions:

1- Identify the main cause/causes of the recent intensification in these conflicts in the Middle East.

2- Based on your finding, design a master plan, which would ease the tension in the whole Middle East to a large extent in a way that we would be able to find solution for each conflict in the region one by one in a more stable, appropriate and peaceful atmosphere. 

Note: H. Kissinger might have the answer; because i have seen some signs in his recent articles. 

M. Sirani                                 26.12.2015

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