Briefly:
Oops: Once again, Iran & Russia surprised you.
I anticipated this event through some notes long time ago. For further info, the readers can visit the following links:
1- You Are Shocking Me General Dempsey.
http://irancare.blogspot.no/2015/01/honestly-you-are-shocking-me-general.html
2- Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar Al-Abadi Asked U.S. For Weapon.
http://irancare.blogspot.no/2015/04/iraqi-prime-minister-haidar-al-abadi.html
3- What Is The Current Strategy of Russia in Syria? Do You Still Think Putin is Simply A Tactician?
http://irancare.blogspot.no/2015/10/briefly-russia-has-begun-its-direct.html
M. Sirani 23.10.2015
Friday, October 23, 2015
Iran (Politically & Militarily), China (Economically Through Development Programs) And Russia (Militarily, Economically) Will Swallow Afghanistan Somewhere in the Future.
Briefly:
Not to mention that the foundation of some of these issues has already started in Afghanistan. Based on many reasons, including geographical position, these countries have the upper hand with regards to the future of Afghanistan.
M. Sirani 23.10.2015
Not to mention that the foundation of some of these issues has already started in Afghanistan. Based on many reasons, including geographical position, these countries have the upper hand with regards to the future of Afghanistan.
M. Sirani 23.10.2015
Wednesday, October 21, 2015
By This Letter, Ayatollah Khamenei Checkmated and At the Same Time Took the International Community, Laws and Conventions As Hostage For An Endless and Limitless Ransom. From Now On, No State Nor Any International Organization Can Do Anything At All With Regards to Illegitimate and Unlawful Activities of Iran; Simply Because, Iran Would Withdraw From the Nuclear Treaty.
Exclusive: In a Letter to Rouhani, Khamenei Endorsed the Nuclear Deal; But Reminded Him to Some Important Conditions (The End of Imposing Any Sanctions Based on Any Reason On Iran).
Briefly: I don't have the time to go through all the details of the letter. I just briefly reveals two points of the letter. (Iran won, all of you in the West lost badly & deeply).
In this letter, Khamenei reminds Rouhani to some important conditions with regards to the nuclear deal with 5+1.
One of them indicates a fact that imposing any sanctions on Iran based on any reason including terrorism or human rights in the next 8 years by any member of 5+1, means a clear violation of the nuclear deal. In such a scenario, Iran would withdraw from the nuclear deal.
Another condition is about the sanctions. According to Khamenei's letter, the fundamental structure of sanctions should totally be removed and the leaders of the USA and EU should confirm this issue through a written note. These two conditions simply are saying to the western countries that: Do not talk about snapshot or reversal of any sanctions in any area against Iran anymore. In other words, the wounded tiger (Iran) is totally out of the cage, and you cannot do anything about it.
There are some other controversial conditions in this letter for example, with regards to Heavy Water Plant in Arak, the closure of Iran's PMD case by the IAEA and the notion that Iran should have 190,000 centrifuges at the end of 15 years.
In short, by this letter, Khamenei has checkmated and also has put the international community in a very critical position and that is that from now on, no state nor any international organization can do anything at all with regards to illegal, inhuman, illegitimate and unlawful activities of Iran in various terms and forms; due to the fact that Iran would withdraw from the treaty. In other words, by this move, Iran has taken the international community, laws and conventions as a hostage for an endless and limitless ransom.
Note to the Western Countries:
As far as:
- You are promoting the Iranian Regime's lobbyists in different terms in your countries;
- You are using the Iranian Regime's lobbyists as Iran expert in your administration;
- You are conducting appeasement and apologist policy towards the Islamic Regime in order to secure your economic and Geo-strategic interests:
- You are ignoring the clear violation of human rights , pain and suffering of the Iranian people;
You deserve to be beaten and humiliated by the Islamic Regime in any battlefield.
Enjoy it and be prepared for full aggressive-offensive activities of Iran in the whole Middle East and a nuclear armed Iran somewhere in the future.
It should be mentioned that China & Russia are also swallowing Iran. But i don't write such a note to those totalitarian regimes; due to the fact that you (as the Western countries) are always screaming about human rights, liberal values and promoting these values in the world, not China, not Russia.
M. Sirani 21.10.2015
In this letter, Khamenei reminds Rouhani to some important conditions with regards to the nuclear deal with 5+1.
One of them indicates a fact that imposing any sanctions on Iran based on any reason including terrorism or human rights in the next 8 years by any member of 5+1, means a clear violation of the nuclear deal. In such a scenario, Iran would withdraw from the nuclear deal.
Another condition is about the sanctions. According to Khamenei's letter, the fundamental structure of sanctions should totally be removed and the leaders of the USA and EU should confirm this issue through a written note. These two conditions simply are saying to the western countries that: Do not talk about snapshot or reversal of any sanctions in any area against Iran anymore. In other words, the wounded tiger (Iran) is totally out of the cage, and you cannot do anything about it.
There are some other controversial conditions in this letter for example, with regards to Heavy Water Plant in Arak, the closure of Iran's PMD case by the IAEA and the notion that Iran should have 190,000 centrifuges at the end of 15 years.
In short, by this letter, Khamenei has checkmated and also has put the international community in a very critical position and that is that from now on, no state nor any international organization can do anything at all with regards to illegal, inhuman, illegitimate and unlawful activities of Iran in various terms and forms; due to the fact that Iran would withdraw from the treaty. In other words, by this move, Iran has taken the international community, laws and conventions as a hostage for an endless and limitless ransom.
Note to the Western Countries:
As far as:
- You are promoting the Iranian Regime's lobbyists in different terms in your countries;
- You are using the Iranian Regime's lobbyists as Iran expert in your administration;
- You are conducting appeasement and apologist policy towards the Islamic Regime in order to secure your economic and Geo-strategic interests:
- You are ignoring the clear violation of human rights , pain and suffering of the Iranian people;
You deserve to be beaten and humiliated by the Islamic Regime in any battlefield.
Enjoy it and be prepared for full aggressive-offensive activities of Iran in the whole Middle East and a nuclear armed Iran somewhere in the future.
It should be mentioned that China & Russia are also swallowing Iran. But i don't write such a note to those totalitarian regimes; due to the fact that you (as the Western countries) are always screaming about human rights, liberal values and promoting these values in the world, not China, not Russia.
M. Sirani 21.10.2015
Sunday, October 18, 2015
Based on Many Reasons, it Seems The Third Intafada Has Begun.
Briefly:
The whole Middle East is on the verge of explosion, partly due to the weak and shaky nuclear deal with Iran, which is not acceptable for most of the countries in the region. The deal to a large extent change the balance of power in the region in the favor of Iran. As such, most of the countries in the region feel threatened and would try to gain power through offensive reaction with regards to their potential domestic as well as foreign enemies. If the situation continues in this way, we are going to reach the hypothetical world of Thomas Hobbes in the Middle East, i.e. "the war of all against all", due to the fact that there are some Shiite Muslims in all Arab countries.
Note: I repeat again: By some moves, i can change the balance of power in the Middle East against the Iranian Regime. By these moves, i can develop a new equilibrium in the Middle East and ease the tension to a large extent; much better than what we are observing today.
M. Sirani 18.10.2015
The whole Middle East is on the verge of explosion, partly due to the weak and shaky nuclear deal with Iran, which is not acceptable for most of the countries in the region. The deal to a large extent change the balance of power in the region in the favor of Iran. As such, most of the countries in the region feel threatened and would try to gain power through offensive reaction with regards to their potential domestic as well as foreign enemies. If the situation continues in this way, we are going to reach the hypothetical world of Thomas Hobbes in the Middle East, i.e. "the war of all against all", due to the fact that there are some Shiite Muslims in all Arab countries.
Note: I repeat again: By some moves, i can change the balance of power in the Middle East against the Iranian Regime. By these moves, i can develop a new equilibrium in the Middle East and ease the tension to a large extent; much better than what we are observing today.
M. Sirani 18.10.2015
Friday, October 16, 2015
Freedom
Freedom
For all the sins
that i could do,
But I didn’t in
the entire my life,
Burn my body
after my death;
And throw my
ashes into an ocean.
Wherein, there
is no fisherman,
Nor any fishing
net or fishing boat.
Let free fishes
consume my ashes;
Let my exhausted
soul reincarnates,
In the bodies of
curious free fishes.
Maybe my wounded
soul for once,
Tastes the real
essence of freedom.
For, i was born, lived and died in captivity.
M. Sirani
16.10.2015
Wednesday, October 14, 2015
Iran's Long Range Ballistic Missiles Facility 500 Meters Underground (Film).
Iran's long range ballistic missiles facility 500 meters underground as the reporter in the film states.
The film, however, shows that Iran has clearly violated the U.N. Security Council Resolution with regards to its missile programs. M. Sirani 15.10.2015
Glorious Disobedience
While, he was
trying to fly high,
Ugly vultures
masked with smiley faces,
Wrapped in the
dark square caps,
Shackled him on
the ground,
With their
filthy invisible wings,
Just because he loudly
said no,
To their dirty
secret game.
The vultures
could cripple his body,
But not his
mind, dignity and pride.
M. Sirani Written on: 15.09.2015
Tuesday, October 13, 2015
Thousands Iranian Ground Forces Have Arrived At Hamim Airport in Syria. The U.S. Has Also Delivered Massive Ammunition to the Syrian Rebels Yesterday.The Syrian Conflict Is Going To Become A Total War, A Type of Endless Multi-Proxy Wars Between Various Actors.
Briefly:
The results of such an event would be devastating for the whole region in different terms accompanied with the influx of massive refugees toward the neighboring countries and the EU & nothing else. The side effect of this event, (if the tension in Syria would intensify more than what we are observing today) undoubtedly would impact the shaky ceasefire in Ukraine and possibly beyond Ukraine in Baltic States as well in various forms.
M. Sirani 13.10.2015
The results of such an event would be devastating for the whole region in different terms accompanied with the influx of massive refugees toward the neighboring countries and the EU & nothing else. The side effect of this event, (if the tension in Syria would intensify more than what we are observing today) undoubtedly would impact the shaky ceasefire in Ukraine and possibly beyond Ukraine in Baltic States as well in various forms.
M. Sirani 13.10.2015
Saturday, October 10, 2015
Still Is Not Confirmed; A Russian Jet Was Shot Down By Turkish Forces After Violating Turkey's Airspace.
Briefly:
If this news is true and correct, we should be prepared for further complications and consequences with regards to current tension in the Middle East.
If this news is true, some of the basic and preliminary consequences would be:
1- The Syrian authority might give a strong warning to US-led coalition that from now on, they cannot conduct airstrike against ISIS positions inside Syria without permission from Assad's Regime. In other words, any violation in this matter would be answered by some Russian S-300 or S-400 anti-aircraft systems.
2- The second possibility would be intensifying tension in Ukraine.
In short, this event would intensify the tension not only in Syria but also in other areas in the region between different actors. Such an incident can drag the whole region into a broad and total war. I hope all the policy makers in this matter remember that the First World War was started with a single bullet.
M. Sirani 10.10.2015
Reference:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/611157/Russia-Turkey-jet-plane-shot-down-airspace-Syria-ISIS-Islamic-State
If this news is true and correct, we should be prepared for further complications and consequences with regards to current tension in the Middle East.
If this news is true, some of the basic and preliminary consequences would be:
1- The Syrian authority might give a strong warning to US-led coalition that from now on, they cannot conduct airstrike against ISIS positions inside Syria without permission from Assad's Regime. In other words, any violation in this matter would be answered by some Russian S-300 or S-400 anti-aircraft systems.
2- The second possibility would be intensifying tension in Ukraine.
In short, this event would intensify the tension not only in Syria but also in other areas in the region between different actors. Such an incident can drag the whole region into a broad and total war. I hope all the policy makers in this matter remember that the First World War was started with a single bullet.
M. Sirani 10.10.2015
Reference:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/611157/Russia-Turkey-jet-plane-shot-down-airspace-Syria-ISIS-Islamic-State
Thursday, October 8, 2015
Hell
Hell
Playing the role of a neutral judgeBetween a rebellious passionate heart
And a stubborn logical mind
Means living in an eternal hell for ever
M. Sirani 08.10.2015
Wednesday, October 7, 2015
Let Me.
Let Me
Let me touch
your warm hands
To feel the
magic power of life
Let me sink in
your sweet eyes
To feel the
endless beauty of the world
Let me kiss your
soft lips
To feel the real
sense of love
Let me hold you
for ever
To feel the real
taste of immortality
M. Sirani 07.10.2015
Une nuit à Paris
Une nuit à Paris
The flying notes
of solo piano,
Were softly floating
in the air.
The shadows of
burning candles,
Were quietly dancing
tango on the walls.
Two exhausted
glasses of wine,
That couldn’t
get enough time to flirt with each other,
Were curiously
watching the scene.
A few innocent
red roses,
Were unfairly sacrificed
everywhere on the floor.
Those were, the
only privileged guests,
Who, were invited
in that secret feast;
Wherein, the
devilish temptation forced two souls,
To imitate the
mating dance of king cobras,
Under a silky
cloud all the night.
Ce fut une soirée
inoubliable à Paris.
M. Sirani
04.10.2015
In Response to Recent Brzezinski's Statement Amid: Russian Naval Base in Tartus is Far from Homeland & Vulnerable; Russia Targeted ISIS Positions With Cruise Missiles From Caspian Sea Today. hahahahahaha
Briefly:
The real fun in Syria has just begun. hahahahahaha
Note: You are losing the battle in Syria & Iraq due to the fact that you didn't have a clear strategy from the beginning and still you don't have any. What you did in the past 4/5 years was just some spontaneous moves & sudden actions (Which i cannot call them tactics), which the result of all of them were wasting time, energy and resources and nothing else.
M. Sirani 07.10.2015
The real fun in Syria has just begun. hahahahahaha
Note: You are losing the battle in Syria & Iraq due to the fact that you didn't have a clear strategy from the beginning and still you don't have any. What you did in the past 4/5 years was just some spontaneous moves & sudden actions (Which i cannot call them tactics), which the result of all of them were wasting time, energy and resources and nothing else.
M. Sirani 07.10.2015
Secretary of State John Kerry Asks for Plans for No-Fly Zone in Syria. (Sweet Dreams).
Briefly:
1- A No-Fly Zone in Syria approved by the UN Security Council?
2- Or a No-Fly Zone approved by NATO or US-led coalition?
3- Or a type of false & fake No-Fly Zone in order to persuade and convince Turkey and other neighboring countries of Syria to keep sheltering the refugees?
The 1 and 2 options are just political jokes; but the third one is achievable.
M. Sirani 07.10.2015
1- A No-Fly Zone in Syria approved by the UN Security Council?
2- Or a No-Fly Zone approved by NATO or US-led coalition?
3- Or a type of false & fake No-Fly Zone in order to persuade and convince Turkey and other neighboring countries of Syria to keep sheltering the refugees?
The 1 and 2 options are just political jokes; but the third one is achievable.
M. Sirani 07.10.2015
Monday, October 5, 2015
Following Russia's Intervention, For Syria Might Be Too Late; But We Can Change the Balance of Power Against the Iranian Regime in the Middle East. International Politics Is Not Always A Dead End Alley.
Briefly:
In the past two years, i designed two plans that by performing them we might have decreased the power of Iran in Syria. The first one was following the latest chemical attack in Syria, which took place on 21.08.2015. Tow days after that event i designed the first peace plan for Syria that chemical disarmament of the Syrian regime was part of the plan. I sent the first draft of the plan for most of the Western countries including the UN and the country that i live at the moment. I didn't get any response.
Title: A plan that might save the world from another disaster.
The second plan: I designed it just couple of weeks ago and wrote a short note in this matter and uploaded in my weblog. By performing that plan, we might have change the course of Syrian civil war in a better direction. Again, i didn't get any response.
At the present time: Russia's direct military intervention has changed the course of Syrian conflict in the benefit of Russia and Iran without any doubt. However, we might not be able to seize the power in Syria, but there is other possibility that by performing another plan, we might be highly likely able to change the balance of power in the whole Middle East against the Iranian Regime. I'm ready to share my plan in this matter with a reliable authority or an international institute.
M. Sirani 06.10.2015
In the past two years, i designed two plans that by performing them we might have decreased the power of Iran in Syria. The first one was following the latest chemical attack in Syria, which took place on 21.08.2015. Tow days after that event i designed the first peace plan for Syria that chemical disarmament of the Syrian regime was part of the plan. I sent the first draft of the plan for most of the Western countries including the UN and the country that i live at the moment. I didn't get any response.
Title: A plan that might save the world from another disaster.
The second plan: I designed it just couple of weeks ago and wrote a short note in this matter and uploaded in my weblog. By performing that plan, we might have change the course of Syrian civil war in a better direction. Again, i didn't get any response.
At the present time: Russia's direct military intervention has changed the course of Syrian conflict in the benefit of Russia and Iran without any doubt. However, we might not be able to seize the power in Syria, but there is other possibility that by performing another plan, we might be highly likely able to change the balance of power in the whole Middle East against the Iranian Regime. I'm ready to share my plan in this matter with a reliable authority or an international institute.
M. Sirani 06.10.2015
Some Huge Problems That Zbigniew Brzezinski Didn't Predict.
Briefly: The negative consequences of Fundamentalism Realism.
Zbigniew Brzezinski is one of those scholars, who couldn't predict the negative consequences of nuclear deal with Iran and cooperation with Iran amid war on ISIS.
In the last couple of months, in many occasions, Brzezinski stated that the U.S. should focus on its interests and in the war against ISIS, the U.S. should ally with Iran.
What did Zbigniew Brzezinski miss?
1- The nuclear deal would empower & embolden Iran in different terms; as such the expansionist behavior and activities of Iran in the Middle East and Africa will increase.
2- When it comes to the Middle East and Africa, Iran and the USA have completely different & contradictory Geo-strategical and economic interests: a type of fundamentally Zero-Sum game.
3- Russia is one of the closest allies of Iran. Russia and the USA also have different Geo-Strategical and economic interests particularly, when it comes to the two countries of Ukraine and Syria.
Based on what Brzezinski proposed, thus, the USA should cooperate with Iran and Russia and join these two states in the war against ISIS now. In this respect, the U.S. should totally ignore the interests of itself and its close allies in the Middle East including its NATO partner Turkey!!!!Does such a move compatible with US Geo-Strategical and economic interests in the Middle East in short and long terms?
This is just a tiny contradiction within Fundamentalism Realism (Machiavellian & Morgentahuian approach) of Zbigniew Brzezinski, which drags the USA into nowhere land and more confusional foreign policy around the world including in the volatile region of the Middle East.
Note: The current US administration should avoid purple screaming with regards to Russia's recent intervention in Syria. The administration is harvesting a huge confusion in Syria now, what it has cultivated before. The strategy (if any exists) and tactics of the Western countries in the Middle East is similar to an old Iranian proverb, which says: You cannot seat on two chairs simultaneously for a long period of time; finally, you will fall and lose both chairs. The problem of Brzezinski is the notion that he and those, who think like him, want to have a close and constructive relationship with Arab Leagues and Iran simultaneously and at the same time want to Iran agrees with removal of Bashar Assad & at the same support Arab League in the war in Yemen against Houthis and ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, endless other contradictions in the Middle East. It doesn't work anymore this type of contradictory policy. The world has changed and been changing. You should make up your mind in this battle and clearly say who is your close ally, who is your enemy. You cannot seat in both chairs and have a free ride, due to the fact that in addition to the USA, there are other super & regional powers around the world. Too much Machiavellian policy would end up to losing the orbits. (For your own sake look at Egypt as an example). I can write a long essay in this matter; but honestly, i'm sicking tired of pro bono work and what you are reading in this simple weblog is just a type of hobby in my breaks.
In an article published today Brzezinski says: The US should retaliate and threatens Russia to stop,,,, Russian naval base in Syria is vulnerable and far from homeland,,,,, China stays in sideline,,,,,,. What does that mean? Direct military confrontation with Russia in Syria and at the same time building constructive relationship with Iran and at the same time trying to remove Assad from power, and the same time helping the Arab league in the war in Yemen against Houthis group backed by Iran, and endless further contradictions,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Maybe Mr. Brzezinski is not aware that 1- Russia's recent military deployment to Syria is far beyond just some airstrikes against ISIS, 2- Russia has declared that it is ready to deploy 150,000 ground force to Syria in a short period of time if is necessary, 3- Couple of days ago, Iran has openly and publicly deployed some ground forces to Syria (Thanks to shaky nuclear deal and lifting the sanctions), 4- Some Iranian military generals have yesterday arrived in Syria, 5- China's military advisers have couple of days ago arrived in Syria, 6- Haidar Al-Abadi has supported Russia's military intervention in Syria and has also said that he needs Russia's support in Iraq as well, 7- there is high probability that a huge ground force operation will be conducted in Syria and possibly in Iraq in the next step in the next coming days and weeks and many other issues, which all of them indicate a fact that Russia, China, Iran, Iraq, Syria have decided to put en end to the conflicts in both Iraq and Syria as soon as possible. (You had 4/5 years time and did nothing, nothing, nothing at all except flirting with the Iranian Regime in the public and making love with Iran in the secret and behind the close doors). The game in Syria and Iraq is nearly over in the favor of Iran and Russia, unless a miracle happens.
Traditional schools in IR are Anti-Update. Some scholars are physically living in 2015, but when it comes to mentality, they are living in some decades ago.
M. Sirani 05.10.2015
Zbigniew Brzezinski is one of those scholars, who couldn't predict the negative consequences of nuclear deal with Iran and cooperation with Iran amid war on ISIS.
In the last couple of months, in many occasions, Brzezinski stated that the U.S. should focus on its interests and in the war against ISIS, the U.S. should ally with Iran.
What did Zbigniew Brzezinski miss?
1- The nuclear deal would empower & embolden Iran in different terms; as such the expansionist behavior and activities of Iran in the Middle East and Africa will increase.
2- When it comes to the Middle East and Africa, Iran and the USA have completely different & contradictory Geo-strategical and economic interests: a type of fundamentally Zero-Sum game.
3- Russia is one of the closest allies of Iran. Russia and the USA also have different Geo-Strategical and economic interests particularly, when it comes to the two countries of Ukraine and Syria.
Based on what Brzezinski proposed, thus, the USA should cooperate with Iran and Russia and join these two states in the war against ISIS now. In this respect, the U.S. should totally ignore the interests of itself and its close allies in the Middle East including its NATO partner Turkey!!!!Does such a move compatible with US Geo-Strategical and economic interests in the Middle East in short and long terms?
This is just a tiny contradiction within Fundamentalism Realism (Machiavellian & Morgentahuian approach) of Zbigniew Brzezinski, which drags the USA into nowhere land and more confusional foreign policy around the world including in the volatile region of the Middle East.
Note: The current US administration should avoid purple screaming with regards to Russia's recent intervention in Syria. The administration is harvesting a huge confusion in Syria now, what it has cultivated before. The strategy (if any exists) and tactics of the Western countries in the Middle East is similar to an old Iranian proverb, which says: You cannot seat on two chairs simultaneously for a long period of time; finally, you will fall and lose both chairs. The problem of Brzezinski is the notion that he and those, who think like him, want to have a close and constructive relationship with Arab Leagues and Iran simultaneously and at the same time want to Iran agrees with removal of Bashar Assad & at the same support Arab League in the war in Yemen against Houthis and ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, endless other contradictions in the Middle East. It doesn't work anymore this type of contradictory policy. The world has changed and been changing. You should make up your mind in this battle and clearly say who is your close ally, who is your enemy. You cannot seat in both chairs and have a free ride, due to the fact that in addition to the USA, there are other super & regional powers around the world. Too much Machiavellian policy would end up to losing the orbits. (For your own sake look at Egypt as an example). I can write a long essay in this matter; but honestly, i'm sicking tired of pro bono work and what you are reading in this simple weblog is just a type of hobby in my breaks.
New Development:
In an article published today Brzezinski says: The US should retaliate and threatens Russia to stop,,,, Russian naval base in Syria is vulnerable and far from homeland,,,,, China stays in sideline,,,,,,. What does that mean? Direct military confrontation with Russia in Syria and at the same time building constructive relationship with Iran and at the same time trying to remove Assad from power, and the same time helping the Arab league in the war in Yemen against Houthis group backed by Iran, and endless further contradictions,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Maybe Mr. Brzezinski is not aware that 1- Russia's recent military deployment to Syria is far beyond just some airstrikes against ISIS, 2- Russia has declared that it is ready to deploy 150,000 ground force to Syria in a short period of time if is necessary, 3- Couple of days ago, Iran has openly and publicly deployed some ground forces to Syria (Thanks to shaky nuclear deal and lifting the sanctions), 4- Some Iranian military generals have yesterday arrived in Syria, 5- China's military advisers have couple of days ago arrived in Syria, 6- Haidar Al-Abadi has supported Russia's military intervention in Syria and has also said that he needs Russia's support in Iraq as well, 7- there is high probability that a huge ground force operation will be conducted in Syria and possibly in Iraq in the next step in the next coming days and weeks and many other issues, which all of them indicate a fact that Russia, China, Iran, Iraq, Syria have decided to put en end to the conflicts in both Iraq and Syria as soon as possible. (You had 4/5 years time and did nothing, nothing, nothing at all except flirting with the Iranian Regime in the public and making love with Iran in the secret and behind the close doors). The game in Syria and Iraq is nearly over in the favor of Iran and Russia, unless a miracle happens.
Traditional schools in IR are Anti-Update. Some scholars are physically living in 2015, but when it comes to mentality, they are living in some decades ago.
M. Sirani 05.10.2015
Sunday, October 4, 2015
The International Community Should Aware that Russia's intervention in Syria Means Intensifying Tension in Various Parts of the Middle East.
Needless to explore where, how and when.
M. Sirani 04.10.2015
M. Sirani 04.10.2015
Move Away From Syria (Possibly Iraq in the Next Step as Well); There Might Be Launched A Broad Ground Offensive Operation By Russian And Iranian Forces in the Near Future.
Briefly: (It seems Russia has announced that it is ready to deploy up to 150,000 ground forces into Syria in the near future).
Everybody, who has a little bit knowledge in Peace & Conflict, War, International Relations, Political Science, should understand that a paramilitary group like ISIS and alike cannot be defeated by only airstrikes. Maybe the Western countries (US-led coalition) didn't pay attention to this basic understanding in the past two years war against ISIS, but the Russian and Iranian Strategists and tacticians have a proper knowledge in this matter and do not repeat the same mistake of the US-led coalition in this matter. In addition, both Russia and Iran have enough experience in warfare against paramilitary group like ISIS. In this respect, the two examples of Chechen War and the way that Iranian regime has been able to defeat the armed Iranian dissidents in the past 36 years could be mentioned.
What might happen in Syria and possibly in Iraq in the next step?
Based on brief details noted above and due to the fact that Iran has recently deployed some of its ground forces into Syria, there is high probability that in the next couple of weeks (following the broad Russia's airstrikes) we will observe a broad ground offensive military operation against ISIS, Al-Nusra Front, Syrian Rebels and any other group that fight against Assad's Regime. This broad offensive operation will be launched by the joint ground forces of Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, other Shiite groups and if necessary Russia's ground military forces. In case of such a scenario, this military operation will undoubtedly be continued against ISIS positions and alike in Iraq as well.
In short, Russia and Iran have decided to clean up the mess in both Syria and Iraq by all means.
Needless to explore the consequences of such a broad offensive operation not only within Syria and Iraq, but also in the neighboring countries, the Middle East and among US-led coalition.
Note: I might say, the war in Syria and Iraq has been nearly hijacked by Russia and Iran. Russia's military intervention will fundamentally change the course of war in Syria and possibly in Iraq as well in different terms. This event will enforce many unpredictable changes in the Middle East in various forms. As an example, Egypt has supported Russia's intervention in Syria. Thus, avoid purple screaming; you had 4/5 years time and did nothing, nothing at all. Just be prepared for further complications in the region.
M. Sirani 04.10.2015
Everybody, who has a little bit knowledge in Peace & Conflict, War, International Relations, Political Science, should understand that a paramilitary group like ISIS and alike cannot be defeated by only airstrikes. Maybe the Western countries (US-led coalition) didn't pay attention to this basic understanding in the past two years war against ISIS, but the Russian and Iranian Strategists and tacticians have a proper knowledge in this matter and do not repeat the same mistake of the US-led coalition in this matter. In addition, both Russia and Iran have enough experience in warfare against paramilitary group like ISIS. In this respect, the two examples of Chechen War and the way that Iranian regime has been able to defeat the armed Iranian dissidents in the past 36 years could be mentioned.
What might happen in Syria and possibly in Iraq in the next step?
Based on brief details noted above and due to the fact that Iran has recently deployed some of its ground forces into Syria, there is high probability that in the next couple of weeks (following the broad Russia's airstrikes) we will observe a broad ground offensive military operation against ISIS, Al-Nusra Front, Syrian Rebels and any other group that fight against Assad's Regime. This broad offensive operation will be launched by the joint ground forces of Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, other Shiite groups and if necessary Russia's ground military forces. In case of such a scenario, this military operation will undoubtedly be continued against ISIS positions and alike in Iraq as well.
In short, Russia and Iran have decided to clean up the mess in both Syria and Iraq by all means.
Needless to explore the consequences of such a broad offensive operation not only within Syria and Iraq, but also in the neighboring countries, the Middle East and among US-led coalition.
Note: I might say, the war in Syria and Iraq has been nearly hijacked by Russia and Iran. Russia's military intervention will fundamentally change the course of war in Syria and possibly in Iraq as well in different terms. This event will enforce many unpredictable changes in the Middle East in various forms. As an example, Egypt has supported Russia's intervention in Syria. Thus, avoid purple screaming; you had 4/5 years time and did nothing, nothing at all. Just be prepared for further complications in the region.
M. Sirani 04.10.2015
Saturday, October 3, 2015
Exclusive: Arming the Syrian Rebels with Anti-aircraft Missile At This Stage Means Intensifying & Expanding the Battlefield Beyond Syria & Iraq.
Briefly:
To refresh the memory of some: Some of the anti-aircraft missiles that USA gave to Afghan rebels to use them against USSR army in Afghanistan, some years later were used by Taliban against US army.
M. Sirani 03.10.2015
To refresh the memory of some: Some of the anti-aircraft missiles that USA gave to Afghan rebels to use them against USSR army in Afghanistan, some years later were used by Taliban against US army.
M. Sirani 03.10.2015
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