A Crime Without Any Legal Punishment.

A Crime Without Any Legal Punishment:

One of the worst crimes, in my opinion, is that an individual lies to himself or herself about something. This is in fact an immense crime, which can cause many problems in different terms for other people in our societies; if we seriously and deeply think about it. Unfortunately, still we don’t have any legal punishment for it; possibly due to too much individual freedom or the reluctance of our contemporary educational, judiciary, political system, or the lack of a proper knowledge with regards to the broad consequences of such a crime or maybe some other factors.  

 M. Sirani                  13.09.2015

Bloody Sunday; A New Definition.

Bloody Sunday; A New Definition:

Bloody Sunday means: Experiencing Murphy’s Law, couple of times in the kitchen on a Sunday following a seductive companion with Devil on Saturday. 

                                       

M. Sirani               13.09.2015

Eyes.

Eyes

Eyes are the only organs in human body that never lie. So, we should carefully protect them with (by) sunglasses always even in the winter-time.

M. Sirani                    13.09.2015

معجزه (Miracle-Persian Version)

معجزه

نه به خاطر گرمای لذت بخش آفتاب تابستان

یا رقص حیرت انگیز برگ‌های رنگارنگ در پائیز

یا شکفتن جادویی شکوفه‌های شرمرو در بهار

یا بارش پر شکوه برف دانه ها در زمستان

چهار فصل را با تمامی‌ وجود میپرستم

فقط بخاطر حضور یکرنگ ‌و یکدل تو

حضورملموس تو در این دیار واهی

اکسیر معجزه آسای حیات ازلیست.

مهران سیرانی         13.09.2015

Miracle.

Miracle

Not because of:

- The pleasurable warmth of sunny days in summer,

- Or the amazing dance of colorful leaves in autumn;

- Or the magical rise of modest blossom in spring;

- Or the majestic downfall of white snow in winter;

I love the four seasons, because of your heartfelt presence.

Your miraculous presence convinces me that I’m still alive.

M. Sirani                      13.09.2015

IF You Haven't, So Far, Been Able to Find a Solution For the Syrian Conflict; That Doesn't Mean Others Can't Do it.

Briefly:

I can use the words and speeches of the leaders of nearly all internal and external actors involved in the Syrian conflict and design a peace plan for Syria in the benefit of vast majority of the Syrian people. The plan would put an end to the Syrian civil war and in the final stage would fundamentally defeat the ISIS in Syria.

Note: All your previous strategy and plan with regards to the Syrian conflict and defeating ISIS have ended up to a total failure and disaster in different terms. In comparison with all resources that you have used during the recent years, you have reached nothing with regards to this conflict. Your current policy will also reach nothing in the future; in fact, you don't have a clear, reliable, reasonable and reachable plan at all neither with regards to the Syrian civil war nor against ISIS. You are just mumbling some dreamy words in your international meeting amid this conflict and wasting your resources on the ground against ISIS without reaching a serious achievement at the end. In addition, you should bear in mind that if this conflict continues further, not only Syria and its neighboring countries, but also the EU will suffer a lot in different terms. To put it simply and short, ISIS will expand the Syrian and Iraqi civil wars into the EU territories, The potentialities and leverages of such a move have arrived into the EU and exist already. Open your eyes and see the realities.



M. Sirani                         13.09.2015

Intensifying Tension In Syria Will Cause Huge Problems for the EU in Different Terms. We Should Put an End to This Conflict; Before it's too late.

In the last couple of days, more Russian planes have landed in Syria. In addition, lifting the sanctions on Iran will offer Iran numerous leverages in various forms and terms to help and support Assad's Regime in the near future. Moreover, this is a fact that without finding a fundamental solution for the Syrian civil war, the U.S.-led coalition will not be able to properly defeat the ISIS and other terrorist groups inside Syria. Furthermore, as the conflict in Syria continues, the neighboring countries and consequently the EU will face a series of deeper and broader problems and complications. The influx of refugees, which has its own complications including in security arena, is just one of these problems. The combination of all noted above, indicates a fact that we should put an end to the Syrian conflict as soon as possible, before the side effects of this conflict would damage many countries furthermore.


Note: I have a peace plan for the Syrian conflict and ready to offer my assistance in this matter to a reliable state or the UN.  


M. Sirani                    12.09.2015 

The Busker (Street Performer).

The Busker (Street Performer)

That was all the busker could see.

A misty one way road,

Without any traveler,

In the middle of Nowhere to nowhere;

And the shadow of a cliff, 

Resembled like a high mountain from distance,

That couldn’t echo a single note.

***

All of a sudden, he stopped and silently mumbled:

“An empty one way road doesn’t deserve any song”;

“A small cliff, unable to echo, doesn’t deserve any song”;

And consequently sank in an ocean of silence for a while.

***

How long?

One second, one hour, one day, one week or more?

Still nobody knows.

Did he reach the 10 ^Th dimension or a stage of self-enlightenment?

Or was he confused and lost in the middle of 5^th, 6^th and 7^th dimensions?

Still nobody knows.

Whatever it was;

It was the beginning of an end.
A type of deep transformation.

***

Since then,

No one heard a single sweet note from him.

Except the moon,

That behind the dark clouds,

Secretly shared his songs with some unknown stars;

And the furious ocean,

That by its roaring waves,

Echoed his songs into the coast of Nowhere land.

M. Sirani                    11.09.2015

* Busker: Street performer.

Those, Who Defend The Nuclear Deal with Iran, Should Firstly Wash Their Faces With Cold Water and Secondly Pay Attention to Today's Ayatollah Khamenei Speech.

Needless to explore and explain the speech. Everything in this speech is Chrystal clear and everybody perfectly understands what Ayatollah Khamenei does mean.

Note: Those people, who, intellectually and mentally, are the genuine followers of Chamberlain might not take Khamenei's statement seriously, when he says Israel does not exist until the next 25 years.

Some dreamers still have no idea that they have released an angry, wild and wounded beast from the cage.


M. Sirani                      09.09.2015 

Warning: ISIS is Planning to Expand the Battlefield. The EU Should Be Prepared.

According to the news revealed by Express, ISIS has smuggled thousands of extremists into the EU. I anticipated such a event through a short note just four days ago. Here below is the copy of my short note.


M. Sirani           09.09.2015

Reference:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/555434/Islamic-State-ISIS-Smuggler-THOUSANDS-Extremists-into-Europe-Refugees

Here below is my previous note in this matter.

Warning: Those Genius EU Politicians, Who Say They Are Cutting Food and Shelter for Non-Refugees, Have Absolutely No Clue In What Type of Sh*** Critical Situation the EU Has Been Landing. 

Briefly:

Beyond the power and authority of anyone, the shadow of a huge threat has been arriving within the EU. Then some genius are saying they are cutting the food and shelter for non-refugees. Those genius think the current and future waves of refugees are like those, who arrived within the EU some years ago.  Just 0/05% wrong people among all can cause a huge disaster within the EU.

Some genius EU politicians still don't understand that just 4 terrorists caused the deployment of nearly 80,000 military and security forces across France during Charlie Hebdo attack.

For your own sake: Do not produce jargon; Just Wake Up. Deal with this crisis in an appropriate and professional manner; before it's too late. Otherwise, you will lose badly. As an example, nearly 60 states, some of them European, are the members of US-led coalition and are in a direct war against ISIS, Al.Qaeda, Al-Shebab and other terrorist groups across the Middle East and Africa.

Is it a difficult and impossible task that one or some of these terrorist groups would deploy some small numbers of their members to the EU through these large numbers of refugees? Is it difficult for this hypothetical small numbers to perform some lone wolf attacks within the EU? Should this happen (I hope not) what would be the reaction of public opinion within the EU states with regards to war against ISIS or other terrorist groups?

The answer is very simple: The citizens of such a state would force their government to retreat from the war against ISIS. The reason behind such a move is very simple: ISIS cannot compete with the US-led coalition highly sophisticated war planes neither in Iraq nor in Syria. But a terrorist act of a lone wolf within one of the EU countries can do a lot.  To put it simply, ISIS or maybe some other terrorist groups, by such a move would highly likely to expand the battlefield within geographical territory of the EU.  This sudden eruption of large scale refugees might not be a simple and ordinary move. Whether agree or disagree with my short note, we cannot deny the fact that there is some probability in this matter, which should neither be ignored nor underestimated.  

Therefore, i suggest the EU countries should deal with the current refugees crisis immediately and in a very appropriate, humane and professional manner; and be prepared for the next coming waves of refugees. And this is something that all the EU countries should coordinate and cooperate. This is a MUST, simply due to the lack of border guards among EU countries and the notion that a lone wolf act in one country within the EU would automatically impact the other EU states in different terms and forms. We should not forget that each member of the EU might have its own characteristics and rules in different terms, but when it comes to an important issue such as Security, all the members of union should perfectly coordinate and cooperate with each other. Otherwise the whole Union would become vulnerable and the negative consequences would be devastating for all.


Note: Don't misunderstand my short note. This is a fact that vast majority of these refugees are innocent and deprived people, who have been escaping from war zone areas to save themselves and their families. There is absolutely no doubt about it. My warning is about the possibility of a very small group of terrorists among these innocent people.

Once again, I hope my prediction in this matter would not come true; although i highly likely doubt about it based on many reasons, which exploring all of them is beyond the scope of this short note.

M. Sirani                  05.09.2015

Jospeh Nye's Soft Power & The Syrian Conflict

Briefly:

Joseph Nye introduced the concept of Soft Power in his famous book “Bound to Lead: The Changing Nature of American Power” in 1990. It’s really shocking me, when I see after nearly 4/5 years and spending billions of dollars Obama administration and the western countries have not been able to organize a coherent, reliable and united group of Syrian people, who would try to promote democracy and liberal values in Syria. This is really strange and shocking, when we see that nearly 4-5 million Syrian refugees, which have left Syria, are living in the camps located in some countries like Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt and Turkey, which all of them are the close allies of the western countries. In other words, the western countries do not have any barrier or limitation at all, if they want to promote democracy and liberal values among those Syrian refugees. The last effort of Obama administration was spending $500 million dollars and training of a group of nearly 60 Syrian rebels, which in the beginning of their operation, most of them were killed or captured by ISIS and Al-Nusra-Front. So is the devastating case of Afghanistan and Iraq after all these years war. Let be honest with ourselves: Isn’t something really wrong with these genius politicians and decision makers?  Do these people really have enough education, qualification and experience for the job they are doing? Or maybe these people have landed on the Earth from another Galaxy and have absolutely no idea about everything in our planet including the simple concept of Soft Power developed by J. Nye. In a very optimistic scenario, some of your advisers are like tape recorders. They might have the highest educational degrees from best universities with A+ grade in all the subjects; but they have absolutely no idea how to use different theoretical concepts as tool in order to solve a problem. 

Note: With less than $50 million dollars, during one or two years course, i could educate and train nearly 40 to 50,000 Syrian refugees in a way that they would have returned back into Syria and completely dismantled Assad's Regime by the effort and power of themselves without my direct intervention in Syria.   


M. Sirani                    09.09.2015

Are Some Countries Preparing For a Military Intervention Against Assad's Regime in Syria? (Think Twice).

Briefly:

The devastating consequences of such a move even for a first year student in Political Science or International Relations is Chrystal clear. But honestly, sometimes i hear some strange and shallow statements from some politicians, which in fact, it's shocking me. In such a circumstance, we use a special proverb in Iran which says: the idea is very shallow that a cooked chicken in the pan would laugh at it. Based on my own experience, however, i would try to briefly touch some of the main negative consequences of such a move; of course if some actors would try/dare to perform it.

Here below, three main negative consequences of such a move will briefly be explored.

1- There is no coherent, united, organized and reliable alternative, which would be able to seize the power following the collapse of Assad's regime and run the country in an appropriate and professional manner. In case of a possible military intervention and consequently the collapse of Assad's Regime, Syria would become a country worse than current Libya, Yemen or Iraq. Wonder why worse than these countries? The answer is very simple. During the nearly 5 years conflict, circa 250.000 Syrian people have been killed and couple of millions Syrian have lost everything they had. Thus, in case of a weak political system or vacuum of power, the whole country would become a disastrous battle field for various religious, ethnic and tribe groups to take revenge at each other or struggle of power.  This is a special characteristics that the two countries of Iraq and Libya didn't have it before the military intervention; although both countries were governed by two dictators.

2- The reaction of Russia: Russia would do whatever it can by all means to preserve its economic and geopolitical interests in Syria. If Russia would not be able to do that, The Kremlin would probably use all its power in order to seize more power in Ukraine and the Baltic States. In those areas, Russia has some powerful leverages and tools much better than the West. Russia can use the Russian citizens of those states in a way that NATO cannot do anything at all about it, as an example.


3- The reaction of the Islamic Regime of Iran: Iran would use all its proxies and Shiite groups across the Middle East and North Africa in order to destabilize the whole region. Whether, we like it or not, we should accept the fact that in case of a possible military intervention in Syria, Iran might not be able to compete with high - tech weapons of the western countries and consequently save Assad's Regime; but Iran can easily create a series of instability and disorder across the Middle East and North Africa through its proxies. To put it simply, such a move would be equivalent to a broad explosion in the whole Middle East and Africa for many years to come.

I hope with this brief information, those policy makers (If any ), who propose a military intervention against Assad's Regime at this stage, think carefully about the negative consequences of such a move.


M. Sirani                          08.09.2015      

Shocking Announcement: David Cameron Says: The UK Will Accept 4000 Syrian Refugees Each Year Up Until 2020; in Total 20,000.

Briefly:

Cameron's announcement is really shocking me. What does D. Cameron think? Does he think that the Syrian civil war would continue up to the next five years without any further complications that he would be able to easily accept 4000 refugees each year without any further problem?

D. Cameron and those who think like him should understand that the Syrian civil war has reached a very critical point and moreover pay attention to some facts as follows:

1- If the conflict in  Syria would continue until the next five years, whether D. Cameron likes or not and beyond his power and authority, the UK will be forced (By the influx of refugees) to accept more than 40,000 refugees each year.

2- If the conflict in Syria would continue until year 2020, not only the whole Middle East, but also the European countries including the UK would face a series of threats and problems in different terms.

Instead of designing unrealistic and dreamy plan, it would be wise to find a fundamental solution for this conflict as soon as possible.


Note: Some western politicians still don't get it that The DAM IS BROKEN. In other words, the current refugees crisis is not just the case of Syrian refugees alone. Most of the marginalized and deprived people even in remote areas around the world have obtained enough information how to save themselves and reach the Europe. I was expecting the current influx of refugees would function like a "Wake UP Call" for some politicians. As it appears, i was wrong.




M. Sirani                   08.09.2015

This is a Fact: We Cannot Defeat ISIS Neither in Syria Nor in Iraq, Unless We Would Find a Fundamental Solution for the Syrian Civil War in Advance.

Briefly: There is a solution for the Syrian conflict.

You are just wasting your time, energy, money and resources in fight against ISIS. And at the end of the day, no matter, how much effort you put in this matter, you don't reach a tangible and effective result. You should, firstly, find a fundamental solution for the Syrian civil war and then deal with ISIS. Otherwise, you reach nothing.

When it comes to the Syrian civil war: The history of last four years has shown that based on many reasons, this conflict cannot be solved through direct or indirect military intervention or a type of proxy war fueled by one or some external factors. Two simple arguments, which confirms my statement in this matter are as follows: 1- All policies, tactics, and strategies that you have implemented to remove Bashar Assad from the power or defeat the ISIS have totally failed without any single tangible and effective result. 2- The Islamic Regime of Iran defended Assad's Regime by all means, when Iran was under the series of severe sanctions due to its secret nuclear program. Due to the current nuclear deal and consequently lifting the sanctions, Iran would automatically be able to defend Assad's Regime by much more powerful tools and leverages. To put it simply, you couldn't remove Bashar Assad from the power, when Iran was under the pressure of severe sanctions, you will not be able to do this task in the future following the nuclear deal and lifting the sanctions.

Whether we like it or not this is a fact. As such, in order to fundamentally defeat the ISIS and prevent further damages and complications  (e.g. influx of tens of thousands refugees into the Europe, which will highly likely continue in the future) we should find a diplomatic for the Syrian civil war.
This issue is possible.

As i have repeatedly mentioned it in my previous notes, i have a proposal for the Syrian civil war, which not only solve the conflict in a diplomatic and peaceful manner, but also would put an end to ISIS problem in Syria in an appropriate manner.


M. Sirani                    08.09.2015

The EU Has Decided to Accept 120,000 Refugees in the Next Two Years (Reevaluate Your Estimation).

The winter season might reduce the waves of refugees for a while and temporarily. But if the international community would not be able to put an end to the Syrian civil war in the next coming months, the number of refugees, who would move towards the EU, would be much more than EU estimation. Needless to explain, how lifting the sanctions on Iran would intensify the level and scope of conflicts in the Middle East and consequently influx of refugees. As an example, the civil war in Yemen has just begun.


M. Sirani                   07.09.2015

It Would Be Wise to Be Prepared for Some Days Before and After 9/11/2015 Specially Within the EU. (Hope, i'm wrong).

It costs money, but prevention is always cheaper, better and more effective than treatment.


M. Sirani           06.09.2015

The Syrian Civil War Has Reached a Critical Point; We Should and We Can Put An End to the Syrian Civil War.

The Syrian Civil War Has Reached a Critical Point; We Should and We Can Put An End to the Syrian Civil War.

Briefly:

In advance, i have to admit that in the final point of my plan, one or some of the external actors involved in the Syrian conflict might not be satisfied; due to the fact that the result might not be what they had expected in the last couple of years (E.g to establish a puppet state in Syria for their own benefit in different terms). But i'm pretty sure that the final result would be in the favor of vast majority of the Syrian people and can reestablish peace, order and security in the country. Through this plan, the ISIS and some other terrorist groups within Syria will also be defeated. 

Note: This is a fact that all envoys in this matter including the representatives of the UN and the Arab League have repeatedly failed. There is a very low probability that the current UN envoy would also be able to solve the Syrian conflict. Due to these failures and delays after more than four years civil war, the Syrian conflict has been reaching a much more critical point, which has its own new complications in different terms. As an example, one of the new side effect of the Syrian conflict is the influx of tens of thousands refugees towards the European countries. Needless to explore the impact of this event and alike in the near future on the EU. In short, my point is that this is the moment that we should put an end to this conflict. Otherwise, we cannot deal with other negative consequences of this conflict in an appropriate and professional manner not only within Syria, but also in our own countries particularly within the EU and the COST IN DIFFERENT TERMS & FORMS FOR THE EU COUNTRIES WILL BE UNBELIEVABLY VERY HIGH. If the UN or some other reliable EU countries are seriously eager to solve this conflict, i can offer my proposal.

M. Sirani                            06.09.2015

Warning: Those Genius EU Politicians, Who Say They Are Cutting Food and Shelter for Non-Refugees, Have Absolutely No Clue In What Type of Sh*** Critical Situation the EU Has Been Landing.

Briefly:

Beyond the power and authority of anyone, the shadow of a huge threat has been arriving within the EU. Then some genius are saying they are cutting the food and shelter for non-refugees. Those genius think the current and future waves of refugees are like those, who arrived within the EU some years ago.  Just 0/05% wrong people among all can cause a huge disaster within the EU.

Some genius EU politicians still don't understand that just 4 terrorists caused the deployment of nearly 80,000 military and security forces across France during Charlie Hebdo attack.

For your own sake: Do not produce jargon; Just Wake Up. Deal with this crisis in an appropriate and professional manner; before it's too late. Otherwise, you will lose badly. As an example, nearly 60 states, some of them European, are the members of US-led coalition and are in a direct war against ISIS, Al.Qaeda, Al-Shebab and other terrorist groups across the Middle East and Africa.

Is it a difficult and impossible task that one or some of these terrorist groups would deploy some small numbers of their members to the EU through these large numbers of refugees? Is it difficult for this hypothetical small numbers to perform some lone wolf attacks within the EU? Should this happen (I hope not) what would be the reaction of public opinion within the EU states with regards to war against ISIS or other terrorist groups?

The answer is very simple: The citizens of such a state would force their government to retreat from the war against ISIS. The reason behind such a move is very simple: ISIS cannot compete with the US-led coalition highly sophisticated war planes neither in Iraq nor in Syria. But a terrorist act of a lone wolf within one of the EU countries can do a lot.  To put it simply, ISIS or maybe some other terrorist groups, by such a move would highly likely to expand the battlefield within geographical territory of the EU.  This sudden eruption of large scale refugees might not be a simple and ordinary move. Whether agree or disagree with my short note, we cannot deny the fact that there is some probability in this matter, which should neither be ignored nor underestimated.  

Therefore, i suggest the EU countries should deal with the current refugees crisis immediately and in a very appropriate, humane and professional manner; and be prepared for the next coming waves of refugees. And this is something that all the EU countries should coordinate and cooperate. This is a MUST, simply due to the lack of border guards among EU countries and the notion that a lone wolf act in one country within the EU would automatically impact the other EU states in different terms and forms. We should not forget that each member of the EU might have its own characteristics and rules in different terms, but when it comes to an important issue such as Security, all the members of union should perfectly coordinate and cooperate with each other. Otherwise the whole Union would become vulnerable and the negative consequences would be devastating for all.


Note: Don't misunderstand my short note. This is a fact that vast majority of these refugees are innocent and deprived people, who have been escaping from war zone areas to save themselves and their families. There is absolutely no doubt about it. My warning is about the possibility of a very small group of terrorists among these innocent people.


Once again, I hope my prediction in this matter would not come true; although i highly likely doubt about it based on many reasons, which exploring all of them is beyond the scope of this short note.

M. Sirani                  05.09.2015

The Dam is Broken; The Great Global Human March Has just Begun.

Briefly:

What we are currently observing within the EU is just a tip of huge iceberg; the dam is broken.
The EU states should focus on two main issues simultaneously (AS damage control policies) as follows:

1- Deal with the current refugee crisis (and the next waves, which are underway towards the West) in a humane, appropriate and professional manner.

2- A radical change (In different terms) in the foreign policy, with regards to the developing countries.

Needless to explore how some other issues such as economic crisis, environmental degradation and water shortage would impact the refugee crisis. Ignoring one or both issues mentioned above would be equivalent to lots of problems in various forms and terms (including security issue) for the EU countries in the next coming months and years. We should not forget, how just couple of thousands refugees, without touching anything, caused a huge disorder in Hungary. Moreover, we should not forget that most of these refugees are not coming from an ordinary war zone.




M. Sirani                        05.09.2015

The Newly Introduced Hungarian Parliament Law: 3 years Jail for Refugees, Who Pass the Razor Fence. (The Human Stupidity is Infinite as Einstein Said).

Are you still wondering why some western citizens are leaving their countries and joining ISIS and other terrorist groups?


Note: If the Hungarian parliament approved this stupid law, Hungary should be prepared for many unpleasant events. The current waves of refugees have nothing to lose anymore. The EU politicians should understand the situation. With approval of such inhuman laws, you are inflaming a huge tension and conflict within the EU beyond your imagination; you are suddenly igniting huge amount of potential gun powder.



M. Sirani                            04.09.2015