Briefly:
As an Iranian in exile, i'm totally against the Iranian Regime & its proxies. However, based on my analysis about overall consequences & side effects of this plan (Destabilization of Lebanon, South of Syria, etc etc), i have come to some reasonable conclusions as follows.
Based on my analysis, this plan not only do not mitigate & weaken the position of Iran & Hezbollah in both Syria & Lebanon, on the contrary, it would strengthen & empower them in the region. In addition, this plan, in terms of implementation, would cause a huge destruction, large number of collateral damages and hundreds of thousands or probably millions refugees & displaced people around the entire Middle East or maybe more in some parts of Africa as well.
Due to this analysis, i believe as an ordinary human being, this is my responsibility to prevent such a disaster as much as i can. Here below is one of my solutions for preventing such a disaster in the Middle East.
A well- organized & inclusive national rally in the entire Lebanon demanding Hariri's return to the country would to a large extent dismantle the possible plot in Lebanon. This rally should repeatedly continue until S. Hariri would return back to Lebanon & save the country from another useless, bloody & devastating war & civil war.
M. Sirani 12.11.2017
Sunday, November 12, 2017
Saturday, November 11, 2017
Warning: Those, Who Have Planned to Destabilize Lebanon Hoping to Defeat Hezbollah & Undermine Iran's Role in Lebanon, Should Not Once or Twice, But Also Multiple Times Reevaluate Their Plan in This Regard.
Briefly:
Undoubtedly, any attempt in this regard, would cause a broad destruction, couple of hundreds of thousands or probably millions displaced refugees and large numbers of collateral damages. But this attempt not only would not achieve its main objectives i.e. destroying Hezbollah & the influence of Iran; on the contrary would empower & strengthen the position of Iran & Hezbollah at home & abroad. Such an attempt, in addition, would undoubtedly change the face of the Middle East in the benefit of Iran.
Note: A quick review in this blog, clearly shows that I'm among those Iranians in exile, who strongly, reasonably & logically believe that the Iranian regime cannot, will not & shall not accept, tolerate and perform any tangible reform somewhere in the future based on its inherent & structural characteristics. Based on these special inherent & structural characteristics, A simple reform in the Iranian regime would cause the sudden & total collapse of this regime exactly like those "Perestroika & Glasnost" reforms of M. Gorbachev, which led to the total collapse of the Soviet Union & its bloc. As such, in my opinion, this regime should be overthrown without any doubt. But, based on my analysis about various factors with regards to this possible event, i can tell you by high level of certainty that such a plan would end up into a catastrophic fiasco & accordingly, the Iranian regime & its allies would be the final winners of this plot. My suggestion: reevaluate your plan in this regard not once or twice but also multiple times. Because this plan, in terms of implementation, would cost you a lot more than damaging the Iranian regime & its proxies.
M. Sirani 11.11.2017
Undoubtedly, any attempt in this regard, would cause a broad destruction, couple of hundreds of thousands or probably millions displaced refugees and large numbers of collateral damages. But this attempt not only would not achieve its main objectives i.e. destroying Hezbollah & the influence of Iran; on the contrary would empower & strengthen the position of Iran & Hezbollah at home & abroad. Such an attempt, in addition, would undoubtedly change the face of the Middle East in the benefit of Iran.
Note: A quick review in this blog, clearly shows that I'm among those Iranians in exile, who strongly, reasonably & logically believe that the Iranian regime cannot, will not & shall not accept, tolerate and perform any tangible reform somewhere in the future based on its inherent & structural characteristics. Based on these special inherent & structural characteristics, A simple reform in the Iranian regime would cause the sudden & total collapse of this regime exactly like those "Perestroika & Glasnost" reforms of M. Gorbachev, which led to the total collapse of the Soviet Union & its bloc. As such, in my opinion, this regime should be overthrown without any doubt. But, based on my analysis about various factors with regards to this possible event, i can tell you by high level of certainty that such a plan would end up into a catastrophic fiasco & accordingly, the Iranian regime & its allies would be the final winners of this plot. My suggestion: reevaluate your plan in this regard not once or twice but also multiple times. Because this plan, in terms of implementation, would cost you a lot more than damaging the Iranian regime & its proxies.
M. Sirani 11.11.2017
Wednesday, November 8, 2017
Warning: Following the Blockade of Yemen, Houthis Might Paralyze the Ship Routes in the Gulf of Aden or Bab-El-Mandeb Strait By Their Missiles & Rockets.
Briefly:
As I Said in 2015, Yemen is A Quagmire Worse Than Afghanistan or Syria. The country is currently suffering from all kinds of disaster such as famine, lake of food, water, medicine & different types of diseases such as cholera. The recent imposed blockade puts the life of millions innocent people at serious risk. This horrific condition would force the Houthis to react in every possible manner they can. I have said this in 2015 & say it again: The Houthis can paralyze the ship routes in the Gulf of Aden, Bab-El-Mandeb Stait & the Red Sea by their missiles & Rockets. We should bear in mind that Bab-El-Mandeb Strait is nearly 30 km wide and is one of the most strategic routes in the world.
Once again, i repeat my previous statement: Yemen conflict would not be solved by military operation.
M. Sirani 08.11.2017
As I Said in 2015, Yemen is A Quagmire Worse Than Afghanistan or Syria. The country is currently suffering from all kinds of disaster such as famine, lake of food, water, medicine & different types of diseases such as cholera. The recent imposed blockade puts the life of millions innocent people at serious risk. This horrific condition would force the Houthis to react in every possible manner they can. I have said this in 2015 & say it again: The Houthis can paralyze the ship routes in the Gulf of Aden, Bab-El-Mandeb Stait & the Red Sea by their missiles & Rockets. We should bear in mind that Bab-El-Mandeb Strait is nearly 30 km wide and is one of the most strategic routes in the world.
Once again, i repeat my previous statement: Yemen conflict would not be solved by military operation.
M. Sirani 08.11.2017
Saturday, November 4, 2017
Petro-Yuan Means The Beginning of the End of U.S. Dollar Supremacy.
Brief:
China will introduce Petro-Yuan as early as the end of this year. This issue will undoubtedly hit the U.S. economy in various terms, forms & scales. In this respect, the U.S. stock market might highly likely be the first victim. The second victim might be U.S. based Cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin. These sectors have unrealistically expanded in the past couple of months.The bubble will explode sooner or later.
Note: We are on the verge of a huge development in economic & financial arena at global level; while today, President Trump asks Saudis to list Saudi Aramco on the New York Stock Exchange.
Saudi Arabia might choose Dual Listing. But the idea that Saudi Arabia put all its eggs in the basket of the USA (Only New York Stock Exchange) like before, is far from the reality. Because Saudis know time has changed; they know also that many other factors around the world have changed. In addition, we should bear in mind that China might force Saudi Arabia to trade the oil with Petro-Yuan. Should this happen, the U.S. economy will suffer a lot.
We are in fact, in the transitional phase of rise & fall of empires.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
China will introduce Petro-Yuan as early as the end of this year. This issue will undoubtedly hit the U.S. economy in various terms, forms & scales. In this respect, the U.S. stock market might highly likely be the first victim. The second victim might be U.S. based Cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin. These sectors have unrealistically expanded in the past couple of months.The bubble will explode sooner or later.
Note: We are on the verge of a huge development in economic & financial arena at global level; while today, President Trump asks Saudis to list Saudi Aramco on the New York Stock Exchange.
Saudi Arabia might choose Dual Listing. But the idea that Saudi Arabia put all its eggs in the basket of the USA (Only New York Stock Exchange) like before, is far from the reality. Because Saudis know time has changed; they know also that many other factors around the world have changed. In addition, we should bear in mind that China might force Saudi Arabia to trade the oil with Petro-Yuan. Should this happen, the U.S. economy will suffer a lot.
We are in fact, in the transitional phase of rise & fall of empires.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Yemeni's Defense Ministry states that "attack was conducted using a Yemeni-made long-range ballistic missile called the Burqan 2H".
Briefly:
If this claim is true, it means a lot. It means a major shift in the balance of power & a breakthrough in Yemeni conflict. This development is a serious game changer, if this claim is true.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
If this claim is true, it means a lot. It means a major shift in the balance of power & a breakthrough in Yemeni conflict. This development is a serious game changer, if this claim is true.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Those GENIUSES, Who Thought I Was Joking in 2011, Are Now in 2017, Confused How to Deal With Yemeni Quagmire (I Refresh Your Memories).
For refreshing your memories, i suggest to read the following essay one more time with more precision & caution.
Essay: Iran should not get the nuclear bomb.
Link: https://irancare.blogspot.no/2014/11/iran-should-not-get-nuclear-bomb.html
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
China Unveiled Its Magic Island-Maker (Long Term Plan).
Briefly:
As Russia Today news agency (RT) claims the vessel can "smash underwater rocks and then suck out sand, water, and mud, and transfer the substance up to 15 kilometers away. It can dredge up to 6,000 cubic meters (around two and half Olympic swimming pools) an hour from a depth of up to 35 meters"(Rt, 2017).
This vessel is a revolutionary monster & along with Floating Nuclear Power Plant constructed by China (And Russia as well), show that China has a very long term plan in many fronts including building various artificial islands across the globe. We should not be Einstein to predict some of the consequences & overall side effects of this move in different terms, forms & scales in the future.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Reference: Magic Island-Maker (2017) in: https://www.rt.com/news/408794-island-maker-dredger-china/
As Russia Today news agency (RT) claims the vessel can "smash underwater rocks and then suck out sand, water, and mud, and transfer the substance up to 15 kilometers away. It can dredge up to 6,000 cubic meters (around two and half Olympic swimming pools) an hour from a depth of up to 35 meters"(Rt, 2017).
This vessel is a revolutionary monster & along with Floating Nuclear Power Plant constructed by China (And Russia as well), show that China has a very long term plan in many fronts including building various artificial islands across the globe. We should not be Einstein to predict some of the consequences & overall side effects of this move in different terms, forms & scales in the future.
M. Sirani 04.11.2017
Reference: Magic Island-Maker (2017) in: https://www.rt.com/news/408794-island-maker-dredger-china/
Friday, November 3, 2017
Does China Want to Build A Naval Base in Rakhine or A New Artificial Island Close to Rakhine Province in Myanmar At the Cost of 1 Million Innocent Rohingya people?
Briefly:
I don't have access to comprehensive & sensitive data. But my logic tells me that expelling couple of hundreds thousands Rohingya people in a very short period of time is a very big responsibility for every state including Myanmar. Myanmar authority has taken the chance to ruin its reputation in exchange for a very big & juicy project. This might be one of the main reasons of this horrific humanitarian disaster, as Chinese UN envoy invites the international community to be patient with regard to the horrific case of nearly 1 million displaced Rohingya people.
M. Sirani 3.11.2017
I don't have access to comprehensive & sensitive data. But my logic tells me that expelling couple of hundreds thousands Rohingya people in a very short period of time is a very big responsibility for every state including Myanmar. Myanmar authority has taken the chance to ruin its reputation in exchange for a very big & juicy project. This might be one of the main reasons of this horrific humanitarian disaster, as Chinese UN envoy invites the international community to be patient with regard to the horrific case of nearly 1 million displaced Rohingya people.
M. Sirani 3.11.2017
Saturday, October 28, 2017
Warning: Petro-Yuan will Enter the Global Market As Early As End of This Year. This Even Might Highly Likely Hit the U.S. Stock Market.The Bubble Has Expanded Unrealistically in the Past Couple of Months & Weeks.
Bitcoin & some other U.S. based financial entities will be highly likely hit by this event.
M. Sirani 28.10.2017
M. Sirani 28.10.2017
Thursday, October 26, 2017
The Reflection of Thucydides's Peloponnesian War in Current Iraqi Kurdistan.
Briefly:
Kurdish authority has told Iraqi GOV that it is freezing the referendum & independence movement & is ready to negotiate with Baghdad. In response to this call, H. Al- Ebadi in Tehran has said that the Kurds should totally cancel referendum & independence and comply with country's constitution.
The demand of H. Al-Ebadi has put Barzani in a very difficult position with only two limited options as follows.
Option A- Barzani accepts Ebadi's demand & fully retreat. By this move, Barzani will commit political suicide and will ruin its reputation among all Kurds.
Option B: Barzani rejects Ebadi's demand & continues with his demand for Kurdistan. By choosing this move, Kurdistan will face a total war from every angles.
The whole this event is similar to some part of Peloponnesian War of Thucydides. ",,,, Obey our demand or face a devastating defeat,,,,," or in Qasem Soleimani's words to PUK leadership:
“Withdraw or risk losing Tehran as a strategic ally. Abadi has all the regional powers and the West behind him and nothing will stop him from forcing you to return back to the mountains if he decides so,”.
Note: The chance that Barzani will remain in Iraq is very low. Iran & Iraqi GOV will not let him to have a pleasant future In Iraq. He might flee to Israel or one of the western countries for the rest of his life. Wrong move at wrong time at wrong place.
M. Sirani 26.10.2017
Kurdish authority has told Iraqi GOV that it is freezing the referendum & independence movement & is ready to negotiate with Baghdad. In response to this call, H. Al- Ebadi in Tehran has said that the Kurds should totally cancel referendum & independence and comply with country's constitution.
The demand of H. Al-Ebadi has put Barzani in a very difficult position with only two limited options as follows.
Option A- Barzani accepts Ebadi's demand & fully retreat. By this move, Barzani will commit political suicide and will ruin its reputation among all Kurds.
Option B: Barzani rejects Ebadi's demand & continues with his demand for Kurdistan. By choosing this move, Kurdistan will face a total war from every angles.
The whole this event is similar to some part of Peloponnesian War of Thucydides. ",,,, Obey our demand or face a devastating defeat,,,,," or in Qasem Soleimani's words to PUK leadership:
“Withdraw or risk losing Tehran as a strategic ally. Abadi has all the regional powers and the West behind him and nothing will stop him from forcing you to return back to the mountains if he decides so,”.
Note: The chance that Barzani will remain in Iraq is very low. Iran & Iraqi GOV will not let him to have a pleasant future In Iraq. He might flee to Israel or one of the western countries for the rest of his life. Wrong move at wrong time at wrong place.
M. Sirani 26.10.2017
The Primary Goals of Iran & Iraqi Gov in Kurdistan.
Briefly: By a single miscalculated move, Barzani destroyed what the Kurds had achieved throughout some decades struggle. There is some probability that Barzani would flee to either Israel or one of the western countries. Iran & Iraqi Gov would no let him to have a pleasant future in Iraq.
It seems Iraqi Gov & Iran are currently pursuing three goals in Iraqi Kurdistan. These goals are:
A- Removing Barzani from the power & replacing him with a trustworthy person. In this respect, Talibani's son has a good chance.
B- Paralyzing economic Independence of Iraqi Kurdistan. Iraqi Gov & Iran would try to recapture the control of all oil & gas fields in Kurdistan & put an end to couple of years dispute between Iraqi central government and Kurdish authority.
C- Recapturing the border lines between Iraqi Kurdistan & Syria- Turkey in order to: A- impose an idea that Iraqi Kurdistan is located within Iraq; it is an inseparable part of Iraq territory & B- Have full control about import & export to & from Kurdistan.
This policy would be applied to Kurdistan area in Syria as well; maybe not now, but it will be. In this respect, the four states of Iran, Iraq, Syria & Turkey would coordinate & cooperate with each other perfectly.
Note: The U.S. plan that Syrian Kurds would capture oil field in Syria; using its income; consequently weakening Assad's regime; etc etc, will hit the wall.
As i have repeatedly said this before: The U.S. plan to create a semi-federalism political system in Syria (Kurds in North, Shiite people in the Middle along with Assad's supporters & Sunnis in the South/ Weakening Assad's regime/ Creating safe/buffer-zone in the South of Syria for Israel, etc etc- Kissinger's proposal) does not work in Syria based on many reasons. In addition, Iran would not allow such a plan would be implemented.
M. Sirani 26.10.2017
It seems Iraqi Gov & Iran are currently pursuing three goals in Iraqi Kurdistan. These goals are:
A- Removing Barzani from the power & replacing him with a trustworthy person. In this respect, Talibani's son has a good chance.
B- Paralyzing economic Independence of Iraqi Kurdistan. Iraqi Gov & Iran would try to recapture the control of all oil & gas fields in Kurdistan & put an end to couple of years dispute between Iraqi central government and Kurdish authority.
C- Recapturing the border lines between Iraqi Kurdistan & Syria- Turkey in order to: A- impose an idea that Iraqi Kurdistan is located within Iraq; it is an inseparable part of Iraq territory & B- Have full control about import & export to & from Kurdistan.
This policy would be applied to Kurdistan area in Syria as well; maybe not now, but it will be. In this respect, the four states of Iran, Iraq, Syria & Turkey would coordinate & cooperate with each other perfectly.
Note: The U.S. plan that Syrian Kurds would capture oil field in Syria; using its income; consequently weakening Assad's regime; etc etc, will hit the wall.
As i have repeatedly said this before: The U.S. plan to create a semi-federalism political system in Syria (Kurds in North, Shiite people in the Middle along with Assad's supporters & Sunnis in the South/ Weakening Assad's regime/ Creating safe/buffer-zone in the South of Syria for Israel, etc etc- Kissinger's proposal) does not work in Syria based on many reasons. In addition, Iran would not allow such a plan would be implemented.
M. Sirani 26.10.2017
Tuesday, October 24, 2017
Warning: The U.S. Republican Party Is In A Very Critical Position.
Briefly:
I was among those few people, who predicted a Republican would be the president (in 2014-2015) and anticipated that D. Trump would become the president (2016) (Various short notes in this blog confirm my statement in this regard).
Based on what i have observed about Trump administration, the policies and the attitude of president Trump himself in the past 10 months, i can argue that the Republican Party is in a very critical position and is left with two options as follows.
A- Following Trump administration's statements & policies with closed eyes without any objection: In this way, the Republican Party would ruin its reputation and would damage the USA in different terms.
B- Standing up against wrong policies & statements of president Trump & his administration: By choosing this option, the Republican Party might be able to save the USA & the Republican Party in different terms.
Note: The biggest problem of president Trump: This is a fact that D. Trump is not an expert in many issues for example International Relations or Micro-Macroeconomics like many other presidents or prime ministers around the world. I don't blame him in this regard. He is expert in another area, which i'm not. The point is that most of the leaders around the world pay attention to their advisers in many areas. But president Trump not. He wants to run the united State & the rest of the world in a way that he was running his business empire. This is a very dangerous trend. This issue would highly likely cause a huge problem at domestic as well as foreign affairs not only for the USA and American people but also for the rest of the world. Due to the fact that the USA is a super power and every move of the USA would impact the remote areas around the world.
President Trump should understand this basic fact: Running a state and running a business empire have many similarities; at the same time there are huge differences between these two concepts. A single mistake in this regard would be catastrophic for many. I have posted the following note multiple times for President Trump on Twitter:
"Running a state is not like running a business empire. They have some similarities. But they have huge differences).
M. Sirani 24.10.2017
I was among those few people, who predicted a Republican would be the president (in 2014-2015) and anticipated that D. Trump would become the president (2016) (Various short notes in this blog confirm my statement in this regard).
Based on what i have observed about Trump administration, the policies and the attitude of president Trump himself in the past 10 months, i can argue that the Republican Party is in a very critical position and is left with two options as follows.
A- Following Trump administration's statements & policies with closed eyes without any objection: In this way, the Republican Party would ruin its reputation and would damage the USA in different terms.
B- Standing up against wrong policies & statements of president Trump & his administration: By choosing this option, the Republican Party might be able to save the USA & the Republican Party in different terms.
Note: The biggest problem of president Trump: This is a fact that D. Trump is not an expert in many issues for example International Relations or Micro-Macroeconomics like many other presidents or prime ministers around the world. I don't blame him in this regard. He is expert in another area, which i'm not. The point is that most of the leaders around the world pay attention to their advisers in many areas. But president Trump not. He wants to run the united State & the rest of the world in a way that he was running his business empire. This is a very dangerous trend. This issue would highly likely cause a huge problem at domestic as well as foreign affairs not only for the USA and American people but also for the rest of the world. Due to the fact that the USA is a super power and every move of the USA would impact the remote areas around the world.
President Trump should understand this basic fact: Running a state and running a business empire have many similarities; at the same time there are huge differences between these two concepts. A single mistake in this regard would be catastrophic for many. I have posted the following note multiple times for President Trump on Twitter:
"Running a state is not like running a business empire. They have some similarities. But they have huge differences).
M. Sirani 24.10.2017
Thursday, September 21, 2017
The Kurdish Referendum In Iraq Means the Starting Point For a Long Term Multidimensional Conflicts in Iraq & Probably in Syria As Well.
Briefly:
This event will unify the four political systems in Iran, Iraq, Syria & Turkey against all Kurds in the region. In other words, someone like President Erdogan will shake hand to his former enemy Bashar Assad to crush the Kurds. This event might highly likely force Turkey to deploy more troops to Iraq & Syria; a type of military invasion, depends on the scale of tension; if it is needed. This event, in addition, will empower the position of Iran & Russia and on the contrary will weaken the position of NATO in the region. Simply, because it will increase the level of cooperation between Turkey and the East.
Note: Iraq & probably Syria will highly likely become clear examples of "Hobbesian Society: The war of all against all"; a multidimensional conflict.
M. Sirani 21.09.2017
This event will unify the four political systems in Iran, Iraq, Syria & Turkey against all Kurds in the region. In other words, someone like President Erdogan will shake hand to his former enemy Bashar Assad to crush the Kurds. This event might highly likely force Turkey to deploy more troops to Iraq & Syria; a type of military invasion, depends on the scale of tension; if it is needed. This event, in addition, will empower the position of Iran & Russia and on the contrary will weaken the position of NATO in the region. Simply, because it will increase the level of cooperation between Turkey and the East.
Note: Iraq & probably Syria will highly likely become clear examples of "Hobbesian Society: The war of all against all"; a multidimensional conflict.
M. Sirani 21.09.2017
Monday, September 18, 2017
Warning: Like A Black Hole, A Military Confrontation With North Korea Will Suck Many Countries Into the Conflict.
Briefly:
By this, i mean in addition to the USA, South Korea, Japan & North Korea, many other countries will undoubtedly & inevitably involve in such a conflict. If we evaluate various aspects of this conflict, we will come to the conclusion that there are many similar factors between the First World War & a possible war with North Korea.
M. Sirani 18.09.2017
By this, i mean in addition to the USA, South Korea, Japan & North Korea, many other countries will undoubtedly & inevitably involve in such a conflict. If we evaluate various aspects of this conflict, we will come to the conclusion that there are many similar factors between the First World War & a possible war with North Korea.
M. Sirani 18.09.2017
Sunday, September 10, 2017
M. Saakashvili Entered Ukraine. Is This A Starting Point For A Coup Or Beginning A New Civil War in the Western Part of Ukraine?
Briefly:
This is a fact that without some external & internal supporters, M. Saakashvili couldn't & didn't go to Ukraine. Whether this is a temporary event like an attempt for coup to remove P. Poroshenko from the power or a starting point of a long term event like a new civil war in the Western part of Ukraine are hard to predict at this stage. But there is something clear and that is that Ukraine will highly likely experience a series of internal chaos & instability in the next coming days, weeks & possibly months. The emergence of such an event along with today's event indicate a simple fact that current political system in Ukraine has a very shaky & vulnerable foundation. To put it simply, the political system in Ukraine needs some fundamental & constructive reform & adjustment. Otherwise, the instability & chaos in Ukraine will hit the EU & NATO in various terms, forms & scales based on numerous reasons in the future.
Note: I can guess, who is/are the possible external actor/s and what they possibly are pursuing in this attempt. But i don't have any credible & reliable evidence to underpin my argument in this regard. I leave this issue aside. Because, I don't like my short note would be labeled with "Conspiracy Theory".
M. Sirani 10.09.2017
This is a fact that without some external & internal supporters, M. Saakashvili couldn't & didn't go to Ukraine. Whether this is a temporary event like an attempt for coup to remove P. Poroshenko from the power or a starting point of a long term event like a new civil war in the Western part of Ukraine are hard to predict at this stage. But there is something clear and that is that Ukraine will highly likely experience a series of internal chaos & instability in the next coming days, weeks & possibly months. The emergence of such an event along with today's event indicate a simple fact that current political system in Ukraine has a very shaky & vulnerable foundation. To put it simply, the political system in Ukraine needs some fundamental & constructive reform & adjustment. Otherwise, the instability & chaos in Ukraine will hit the EU & NATO in various terms, forms & scales based on numerous reasons in the future.
Note: I can guess, who is/are the possible external actor/s and what they possibly are pursuing in this attempt. But i don't have any credible & reliable evidence to underpin my argument in this regard. I leave this issue aside. Because, I don't like my short note would be labeled with "Conspiracy Theory".
M. Sirani 10.09.2017
Tuesday, September 5, 2017
Warning: A Military Confrontation With North Korea:
Briefly:
When a political system is unable to deal with some challenges at home, a war with a foreign adversary would become a tasty option & scapegoat.
I warn you about any military confrontation with North Korea. Such an event will be the most horrific, devastating & destructive historical event since the Second World War in every possible terms for many countries around the world including the USA.
In case of such an event the USA might militarily win the war. But the overall negative consequences of such a war will deeply damage the USA in many fronts. Among the consequences of such a war three events are inevitable.
A- Due to massive destruction & collateral damages, the ordinary people in South Korea & Japan will undoubtedly force their political systems to shut down all U.S. bases and demand the total withdrawal of U.S. troops from their countries.
B- Following this horrific event, Japan and South Korea will develop their own nuclear weapons.
C- The U.S. global supremacy, which has been built based on some victories in the Second World War & Cold War era will be badly crushed for ever following this war. This simply means the beginning of the end of supremacy & domination of the USA in many fronts at regional & global level.
In short, the occurrence of such a disastrous war, many issues around the world at global and regional level will change in an extreme and sudden manner. Most of these changes will not be pleasant for USA & some of its close allies. To put it simply, we will enter a totally new era in many fronts.
Note: What i explored above is just a scratch about this event. The overall negative consequences of such an event in different terms at regional and global level are much deeper & broader.
M. Sirani 05.09.2017
When a political system is unable to deal with some challenges at home, a war with a foreign adversary would become a tasty option & scapegoat.
I warn you about any military confrontation with North Korea. Such an event will be the most horrific, devastating & destructive historical event since the Second World War in every possible terms for many countries around the world including the USA.
In case of such an event the USA might militarily win the war. But the overall negative consequences of such a war will deeply damage the USA in many fronts. Among the consequences of such a war three events are inevitable.
A- Due to massive destruction & collateral damages, the ordinary people in South Korea & Japan will undoubtedly force their political systems to shut down all U.S. bases and demand the total withdrawal of U.S. troops from their countries.
B- Following this horrific event, Japan and South Korea will develop their own nuclear weapons.
C- The U.S. global supremacy, which has been built based on some victories in the Second World War & Cold War era will be badly crushed for ever following this war. This simply means the beginning of the end of supremacy & domination of the USA in many fronts at regional & global level.
In short, the occurrence of such a disastrous war, many issues around the world at global and regional level will change in an extreme and sudden manner. Most of these changes will not be pleasant for USA & some of its close allies. To put it simply, we will enter a totally new era in many fronts.
Note: What i explored above is just a scratch about this event. The overall negative consequences of such an event in different terms at regional and global level are much deeper & broader.
M. Sirani 05.09.2017
Saturday, September 2, 2017
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
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