Following the recent incident in Mecca, some Iranian news agencies revealed that some members of IRGC are among the victims or missing Iranian pilgrims in this horrific event. The recent development revealed by Ya Libnan indicates a fact that Iran's former ambassador to Lebanon, Ghazanfar Roknabadi, is among the missing pilgrims as Iran's State TV declared. There is something interesting that according to Saudi Arabia authority an Iranian pilgrim with name and passport of Ghazanfar Roknabadi has not been registered in the airport immigration system. It should be mentioned that as Iran's ambassador to Lebanon, Ghzanfar Roknabadi should have lots of information about Hezbollah, Jihad and some other Islamic radical groups in Lebanon and Syria. The death or missing of Ghazanfar Roknabadai alone, can point the finger at many external actors within the Middle East and beyond.
If these news are correct and some members of IRGC and Iran's former ambassador to Lebanon are among the victims and missing pilgrims of this event, Saudi Arabia, its close allies and possibly Israel should be prepared for imminent retaliation from Iran somewhere in the near future. Rouhani cutting UN trip short and cancelling some of his sideline meetings could be understood in this respect.
The Iran's retaliation would probably take place, when all the Iranian pilgrims and the bodies of victims will return back to the country. The retaliation could occur everywhere e.g. inside Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, Pakistan,Yemen, or Bahrain. There are many battlefields to conduct such a retaliatory attack.
M. Sirani 28.09.2015