Friday, September 30, 2016
A Warning For International Community: Any Attempt For Establishing A No-Fly-Zone in Syria Would Lead to A Total War in Many Battlefields Beyond the Syrian Borders.
Briefly:
Those, who have visited my blog, would easily understand how do i think & feel about the Iranian Regime; They would simply understand that as an Iranian dissident in exile, i believe that the Iranian Regime should be overthrown. But when it comes to current situation in Syria, i don't let my logical will and wish with regards to the future of Iranian Regime close my eyes to the reality on the ground in Syria.
I follow the news about various events in the Middle East including the Syrian civil war carefully on daily bases. I have been noticed that since couple of months ago up until now, many preparations in various parts of the Middle East and Eastern parts of the EU have been done. All these separate preparations ( in terms of timing and geography) like some separate pieces of a puzzle are gradually sticking together and forming a complete picture about a plan for Syria for me. A prepared No-Fly-Zone plan, which is waiting for a suitable moment, to be quickly performed.
This is a totally wrong plan at this stage and in case of implementation, it would lead to a total war and chaos beyond the geographical borders of Syria; beyond the will, power and authority of any state.
Note: Current Syria is not former Yugoslavia in 1994-5, nor is Iraq in 1990-1, nor is Libya in 2011. AVOID MISCALCULATION AND MIRROR IMAGING.
In terms of power and authority of the central government, some might think that the current Assad's regime is weak and is similar to those political systems in Iraq (1990-91) or Libya(2011). There is no doubt that the civil war has weakened the Regime and Bashar Assad has lost some parts of the country either to ISIS or some rebel groups. But this issue is not the only determinant factor in case of implementation of a No-Fly-Zone. There are many other important factors, which the combination of all of them distinguishes the weak Assad's Regime from those weak political systems.
M. Sirani 30.09.2016
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
The Islamic Regime of Iran is Warning: Hundreds of Thousands Afghan Refugees Sheltered in Iran Are Trying to Reach the EU (Political Extortion).
Briefly:
As i predicted earlier, the USA & EU policy to give nearly $6 billion dollars to Turkey for sheltering the refugees in that country not only is not an effective policy; on the contrary this policy will encourage other states in the region to demand money from the USA & EU in this regard.
The current statement of the Iranian Regime should be understood in this respect. In short, Iran wants money (Political Extortion); otherwise it will open its borders to the large numbers of Afghan refugees to move towards the EU.
(Enjoy the fruit of your Kindergarten Foreign Policy).
M. Sirani 20.09.2016
As i predicted earlier, the USA & EU policy to give nearly $6 billion dollars to Turkey for sheltering the refugees in that country not only is not an effective policy; on the contrary this policy will encourage other states in the region to demand money from the USA & EU in this regard.
The current statement of the Iranian Regime should be understood in this respect. In short, Iran wants money (Political Extortion); otherwise it will open its borders to the large numbers of Afghan refugees to move towards the EU.
(Enjoy the fruit of your Kindergarten Foreign Policy).
M. Sirani 20.09.2016
Monday, September 19, 2016
The USA & EU under the imminent Threat of Radical Islamic Terrorists.
Briefly:
Do the USA & EU have any effective and comprehensive strategy whatsoever with regards to radical Islamic terrorism? The current situation that we all are experiencing, shows not at all; the genius corrupt politicians, policy makers and pundits, who have the power & authority, do not have any plan in this regards after all these years.
M. Sirani 19.09.2016
Do the USA & EU have any effective and comprehensive strategy whatsoever with regards to radical Islamic terrorism? The current situation that we all are experiencing, shows not at all; the genius corrupt politicians, policy makers and pundits, who have the power & authority, do not have any plan in this regards after all these years.
M. Sirani 19.09.2016
Sunday, September 11, 2016
Any Attempt For Establishing A No-Fly-Zone in North Syria Without A Collective Consensus of Assad's Regime, Iran & Russia Means A Declaration of War; A Total War Across the Middle East and Some Parts of Africa.
Briefly:
Needles to explore the negative consequences of such a move in this short note. Because, this is a simple and basic fact and those genius politicians (Living Copier & Paster) in Obama administration and EU countries should have an appropriate knowledge about it.
The US, UK and Germany ground forces, whether in the form of combat, training or logistic forces, have been deployed into Syria since many couple of months ago as far as i know. In addition to this, the Turkish army has recently started an offensive operation inside Syria since couple of days ago. Many shallow minded & illiterate politicians across the region and some western countries including genius H. Clinton have been proposing a No-Fly-Zone in North Syria. The combination of all these moves and talks indicates a fact that it seems the desperate countries want to commit a suicide in Syria. I have written a short note in this matter one month ago. Those who are interested, can visit the following link.
Link: https://irancare.blogspot.no/2016/08/warning-establishing-no-fly-zone-in.html
M. Sirani 11.09.2016
Needles to explore the negative consequences of such a move in this short note. Because, this is a simple and basic fact and those genius politicians (Living Copier & Paster) in Obama administration and EU countries should have an appropriate knowledge about it.
The US, UK and Germany ground forces, whether in the form of combat, training or logistic forces, have been deployed into Syria since many couple of months ago as far as i know. In addition to this, the Turkish army has recently started an offensive operation inside Syria since couple of days ago. Many shallow minded & illiterate politicians across the region and some western countries including genius H. Clinton have been proposing a No-Fly-Zone in North Syria. The combination of all these moves and talks indicates a fact that it seems the desperate countries want to commit a suicide in Syria. I have written a short note in this matter one month ago. Those who are interested, can visit the following link.
Link: https://irancare.blogspot.no/2016/08/warning-establishing-no-fly-zone-in.html
M. Sirani 11.09.2016
Tuesday, August 30, 2016
Warning: Hilary Clinton is Like A Sinking Ship; So, Perform A "Risk Management" Before Supporting Her.
Briefly:
No matter what would be the outcome of upcoming presidential election in the U.S.; no matter Clinton would be the next U.S. president or not, one thing is Chrystal Clear and that is:
Due to continuous Emails and Clinton Foundation scandals, Hilary Clinton is like a sinking ship. She will drag down with herself her wealthy & powerful supporters at national, regional and global levels. As long as Clinton continues with the presidential race, many curious people (Ally & Enemy) around the world would focus on Clinton. As a result, more names and contacts would be released in the public domain. In other words, Clinton scandals would be shared with other wealthy, powerful & famous people around the world. Such an event would ruin the reputation of many people around the world, in addition to Clintons.
Based on brief noted above, it would be wise that both Bill & Hillary Clinton retire themselves from all political activities and enjoy the rest of their lives with couple of hundreds millions dollars, which have been donated to their so-called "Foundation". Otherwise, the international community would face a big problem; due to the fact that Clinton scandals are much worse than Watergate Scandal.
M. Sirani 30.08.2016
No matter what would be the outcome of upcoming presidential election in the U.S.; no matter Clinton would be the next U.S. president or not, one thing is Chrystal Clear and that is:
Due to continuous Emails and Clinton Foundation scandals, Hilary Clinton is like a sinking ship. She will drag down with herself her wealthy & powerful supporters at national, regional and global levels. As long as Clinton continues with the presidential race, many curious people (Ally & Enemy) around the world would focus on Clinton. As a result, more names and contacts would be released in the public domain. In other words, Clinton scandals would be shared with other wealthy, powerful & famous people around the world. Such an event would ruin the reputation of many people around the world, in addition to Clintons.
Based on brief noted above, it would be wise that both Bill & Hillary Clinton retire themselves from all political activities and enjoy the rest of their lives with couple of hundreds millions dollars, which have been donated to their so-called "Foundation". Otherwise, the international community would face a big problem; due to the fact that Clinton scandals are much worse than Watergate Scandal.
M. Sirani 30.08.2016
Saturday, August 20, 2016
Warning: Establishing a No-Fly-Zone in North Syria Means A Dangerous Total War Between Various Actors (Desperate & Chaotic Obama Administration).
Briefly:
The ridiculous part of the story is here. In the beginning of the Syrian civil war in 2011, while Russia and China were not directly involved in this conflict as they are today; while Iran was under the severe sanctions imposed by the International Community, Obama admin did nothing seriously with regards to this conflict. As it appears now, it seems the Obama administration is trying intensify the tension in Syria and consequently facilitate a ground base to establish a no-fly-zone in North Syria somewhere in the near future. Such a move, (in addition to its cost and technical possibility) in case of implementation, will be compatible with H. Clinton's plan for Syria and accordingly might be useful in her presidential race against D. Trump, who is advocating another policy in this matter.
This is a very dangerous policy; if my assumption and prediction in this regard are correct. Establishing a No-Fly-Zone in North Syria at this stage means the beginning of an endless total war; a total war, which undoubtedly will spread to other areas in the region by all means. Such a horrific event and its devastating consequences will not be a pleasant event for nobody. (By nobody, i mean all the internal, external actors and the poor Syrian people).
Note: I hope those genius in Washington and other capitals involved in this conflict do not start a stupid move like this in Syria at this stage.
M. Sirani 20.08.2016
The ridiculous part of the story is here. In the beginning of the Syrian civil war in 2011, while Russia and China were not directly involved in this conflict as they are today; while Iran was under the severe sanctions imposed by the International Community, Obama admin did nothing seriously with regards to this conflict. As it appears now, it seems the Obama administration is trying intensify the tension in Syria and consequently facilitate a ground base to establish a no-fly-zone in North Syria somewhere in the near future. Such a move, (in addition to its cost and technical possibility) in case of implementation, will be compatible with H. Clinton's plan for Syria and accordingly might be useful in her presidential race against D. Trump, who is advocating another policy in this matter.
This is a very dangerous policy; if my assumption and prediction in this regard are correct. Establishing a No-Fly-Zone in North Syria at this stage means the beginning of an endless total war; a total war, which undoubtedly will spread to other areas in the region by all means. Such a horrific event and its devastating consequences will not be a pleasant event for nobody. (By nobody, i mean all the internal, external actors and the poor Syrian people).
Note: I hope those genius in Washington and other capitals involved in this conflict do not start a stupid move like this in Syria at this stage.
M. Sirani 20.08.2016
Obama Administration Deliberately Handed Over Yemen To The Iranian Regime in Return For the Weak & Useless Nuclear Deal.
Briefly:
Different evidences indicate a fact that that Obama administration has sacrificed many issues and paid the Iranian Regime numerous advantages in different terms in order to make a weak & useless nuclear deal with the Islamic Regime. The chaotic situation in Yemen and superiority of Houthis group backed by Iran in this country is an example in this matter. All these devastating events happen in Yemen, while i warned the international community about Yemen in 2011. How on earth, the administration of Obama as the most powerful country in the world and its numerous strong intelligence and security services didn't have a reasonable and logical analysis with regards to various developments in Yemen throughout all these years is a questionable theme. Based on this brief info, i can say that participation of US army in Saudi Arabia coalition in war in Yemen was just a "Cat & Mouse" game in order to delude Arab countries with regards to the nuclear deal with Iran and the secret details behind the scene of this deal and nothing else.
The map above is part of my essay in this regard.
Title: Iran Should not Get the Nuclear Bomb.
Link: https://irancare.blogspot.no/2014/11/iran-should-not-get-nuclear-bomb.html
M. Sirani 20.08.2016
Different evidences indicate a fact that that Obama administration has sacrificed many issues and paid the Iranian Regime numerous advantages in different terms in order to make a weak & useless nuclear deal with the Islamic Regime. The chaotic situation in Yemen and superiority of Houthis group backed by Iran in this country is an example in this matter. All these devastating events happen in Yemen, while i warned the international community about Yemen in 2011. How on earth, the administration of Obama as the most powerful country in the world and its numerous strong intelligence and security services didn't have a reasonable and logical analysis with regards to various developments in Yemen throughout all these years is a questionable theme. Based on this brief info, i can say that participation of US army in Saudi Arabia coalition in war in Yemen was just a "Cat & Mouse" game in order to delude Arab countries with regards to the nuclear deal with Iran and the secret details behind the scene of this deal and nothing else.
The map above is part of my essay in this regard.
Title: Iran Should not Get the Nuclear Bomb.
Link: https://irancare.blogspot.no/2014/11/iran-should-not-get-nuclear-bomb.html
M. Sirani 20.08.2016
Friday, August 19, 2016
Breaking: It Seems the USA is Removing its Nuclear Weapons From Turkey and Moving Them to Romania.
Briefly: (I emphasize: If this story is true). As a result of "Kindergarten Foreign Policy", It seems Turkey is detaching from the West under the watch and before the eyes of Obama Administration.
There is a rumor in the media that the USA is removing its nuclear weapons from Turkey and is moving them to Romania.
If this story is true, this is a very big development in different terms and has many consequences in various forms, terms and scales.
First and foremost, this development would be a great victory for Russia and Iran. Removing the US nuclear weapons from Turkey after nearly 60-70 years means a lot for both Iran & Russia.
The consequences of this move, on the contrary, would be devastating in different terms for USA and EU. Here below, some possible negative consequences of this move would be briefly mentioned.
A- This development shows that all the strategists and policy makers in NATO, USA (Obama administration-J. Kerry & H. Clinton) and EU have not had any correct, reasonable, logical and reliable analysis with regards to various developments in Turkey in the last couple of years until recently, whether its domestic as well as its foreign affairs. If they had, they would have prevented such a disastrous event. This is a big failure mostly for Obama administration & NATO that they haven't done a good observation with regards to all the movements of Erdogan government in the last couple of years.
B- Removing nuclear weapons from Turkey and relocating them in Romania simply & clearly indicates a fact that the situation in Turkey is unstable. Regardless of the reaction of Turkey in this matter, which would be negative definitely, this event shows that NATO is experiencing a powerful earthquake in a way that some powerful external factors have forced USA & NATO to remove the nuclear weapons from the Geo-Strategically important territory of Turkey.
C- The negative consequences of this move are enormous & devastating. This event might highly likely put the EU membership of Turkey at a serious risk. I might say this event would put an end to that process automatically.
D- This event along with many other issues such as EU demands from Turkey, the presence of F. Gulen in the USA, some accusation about the recent military coup in Turkey, etc would highly likely deteriorate the relationship between Turkey and USA-EU in different terms including the situation of more than 3 million refugees, who are sheltered in Turkey. As a consequence, USA-EU and Turkey might not be able to achieve a good deal in this matter. As such, the EU might face a new waves of influx of refugees in the near future.
E- Based on many reasons, which i have briefly explored them in some previous notes, Turkey will highly likely expand its relationship in different terms with Russia & Iran in the region. Such a coalition will change the balance of power in the region to a large extent. This issue is not a pleasant event neither for the USA, nor for the EU nor for the Saudi Arabia nor for Egypt nor for some other Arab countries in the region including Israel.
F- This event will put an end to the dream of an independent Kurdish State at least for some decades to come; due to deeper and broader cooperation between Turkey, Iran, central government in Iraq (which is the puppet of Iranian regime) and POSSIBLY Bashar Assad.
G- This event should teach a good lesson to old-fashioned pundits and politicians in the USA and EU. The lesson is that it is the time that USA & EU should put an end to their 40-45 years old policy amid supporting and promoting various types of Islamic states, Islamic groups, and more generally Islamization in the Middle East and Africa. Because time has changed and any continuation in this matter would be disastrous and devastating first and foremost for the Western countries.
Note: Analyzing this event and its overall consequences is a huge discussion. What i mentioned above is just a brief explanation in this matter. Once again, i emphasize: If this news is true, this is a big fiasco for the USA, NATO and EU; on the contrary is a big win for the Iranian Regime & Russia at regional as well as global level.
M. Sirani 19.08.2016
There is a rumor in the media that the USA is removing its nuclear weapons from Turkey and is moving them to Romania.
If this story is true, this is a very big development in different terms and has many consequences in various forms, terms and scales.
First and foremost, this development would be a great victory for Russia and Iran. Removing the US nuclear weapons from Turkey after nearly 60-70 years means a lot for both Iran & Russia.
The consequences of this move, on the contrary, would be devastating in different terms for USA and EU. Here below, some possible negative consequences of this move would be briefly mentioned.
A- This development shows that all the strategists and policy makers in NATO, USA (Obama administration-J. Kerry & H. Clinton) and EU have not had any correct, reasonable, logical and reliable analysis with regards to various developments in Turkey in the last couple of years until recently, whether its domestic as well as its foreign affairs. If they had, they would have prevented such a disastrous event. This is a big failure mostly for Obama administration & NATO that they haven't done a good observation with regards to all the movements of Erdogan government in the last couple of years.
B- Removing nuclear weapons from Turkey and relocating them in Romania simply & clearly indicates a fact that the situation in Turkey is unstable. Regardless of the reaction of Turkey in this matter, which would be negative definitely, this event shows that NATO is experiencing a powerful earthquake in a way that some powerful external factors have forced USA & NATO to remove the nuclear weapons from the Geo-Strategically important territory of Turkey.
C- The negative consequences of this move are enormous & devastating. This event might highly likely put the EU membership of Turkey at a serious risk. I might say this event would put an end to that process automatically.
D- This event along with many other issues such as EU demands from Turkey, the presence of F. Gulen in the USA, some accusation about the recent military coup in Turkey, etc would highly likely deteriorate the relationship between Turkey and USA-EU in different terms including the situation of more than 3 million refugees, who are sheltered in Turkey. As a consequence, USA-EU and Turkey might not be able to achieve a good deal in this matter. As such, the EU might face a new waves of influx of refugees in the near future.
E- Based on many reasons, which i have briefly explored them in some previous notes, Turkey will highly likely expand its relationship in different terms with Russia & Iran in the region. Such a coalition will change the balance of power in the region to a large extent. This issue is not a pleasant event neither for the USA, nor for the EU nor for the Saudi Arabia nor for Egypt nor for some other Arab countries in the region including Israel.
F- This event will put an end to the dream of an independent Kurdish State at least for some decades to come; due to deeper and broader cooperation between Turkey, Iran, central government in Iraq (which is the puppet of Iranian regime) and POSSIBLY Bashar Assad.
G- This event should teach a good lesson to old-fashioned pundits and politicians in the USA and EU. The lesson is that it is the time that USA & EU should put an end to their 40-45 years old policy amid supporting and promoting various types of Islamic states, Islamic groups, and more generally Islamization in the Middle East and Africa. Because time has changed and any continuation in this matter would be disastrous and devastating first and foremost for the Western countries.
Note: Analyzing this event and its overall consequences is a huge discussion. What i mentioned above is just a brief explanation in this matter. Once again, i emphasize: If this news is true, this is a big fiasco for the USA, NATO and EU; on the contrary is a big win for the Iranian Regime & Russia at regional as well as global level.
M. Sirani 19.08.2016
Sunday, August 14, 2016
An Extremely Delusional and Misleading Assumption About Recent Moves of Turkey.
Briefly:
Some analysts claim that recent reconciliation in various terms between Turkey, Russia and Iran is just some opportunistic tactical moves of President Erdogan to take more advantage from the USA & EU. Such an assumption is delusional, misleading and extremely dangerous for the USA & EU in the long term based on many reasons, which some of them have been mentioned in my previous post.
Note: Once again i repeat my statement: Time has changed; Turkey is moving towards a new direction. But some politicians in the USA & EU do not see this move; because they are watching Turkey in 2016 through some glasses made during the Cold War Era (This is an extremely delusional, misleading and dangerous Mirror Imaging).
M. Sirani 14.08.2016
Some analysts claim that recent reconciliation in various terms between Turkey, Russia and Iran is just some opportunistic tactical moves of President Erdogan to take more advantage from the USA & EU. Such an assumption is delusional, misleading and extremely dangerous for the USA & EU in the long term based on many reasons, which some of them have been mentioned in my previous post.
Note: Once again i repeat my statement: Time has changed; Turkey is moving towards a new direction. But some politicians in the USA & EU do not see this move; because they are watching Turkey in 2016 through some glasses made during the Cold War Era (This is an extremely delusional, misleading and dangerous Mirror Imaging).
M. Sirani 14.08.2016
Saturday, August 13, 2016
Turkey is Rapidly Moving Towards Some Major Changes Including in Its Foreign Policy; The US and EU Should Be Concerned.
Briefly:
Turkey is rapidly moving towards some major changes; it seems the country is passing through a transitional phase in different terms including in its foreign policy. Some issues such as A- Recent Turkish-Russian rapprochement, B- The newly formed Russian-Turkish-Iranian coalition with regard to Syria, C- The scope and level of economic trade between Turkey and Iran-Russia, D- the current tension between USA and Turkey amid F. Gulen and recent military coup in the country, E- the tension between Turkey and EU amid many issues mainly EU membership for Turkey or the visa-free regulation for Turkish citizens, F- the notion that both Iran and Turkey are supporting the Muslim Brotherhood (Contrary to Saudi Arabia & Egypt), G- Iran and Turkey has similar policy (to some extent) with regards to creation of a independent Kurdish State in the region and many other issues, are some important signs that the US and EU should be concerned about them and as a result re-evaluate some of their policies with regard to Turkey. Some of these issues might not create a serious conflict for the USA & EU at this stage. But i'm pretty sure some of them will create a serious headache for the USA & EU in the long terms; of course, if we analyze them in a very professional and appropriate manner. As some examples, the position of NATO and the influx of refugees into the EU should be mentioned in this regard.
Note: To put it simply: Turkey is moving towards a new direction; while the USA and the EU are observing Turkey with some glasses made during the Cold War Era. (Extremely wrong & dangerous mirror imaging).
M. Sirani 13.08.2016
Turkey is rapidly moving towards some major changes; it seems the country is passing through a transitional phase in different terms including in its foreign policy. Some issues such as A- Recent Turkish-Russian rapprochement, B- The newly formed Russian-Turkish-Iranian coalition with regard to Syria, C- The scope and level of economic trade between Turkey and Iran-Russia, D- the current tension between USA and Turkey amid F. Gulen and recent military coup in the country, E- the tension between Turkey and EU amid many issues mainly EU membership for Turkey or the visa-free regulation for Turkish citizens, F- the notion that both Iran and Turkey are supporting the Muslim Brotherhood (Contrary to Saudi Arabia & Egypt), G- Iran and Turkey has similar policy (to some extent) with regards to creation of a independent Kurdish State in the region and many other issues, are some important signs that the US and EU should be concerned about them and as a result re-evaluate some of their policies with regard to Turkey. Some of these issues might not create a serious conflict for the USA & EU at this stage. But i'm pretty sure some of them will create a serious headache for the USA & EU in the long terms; of course, if we analyze them in a very professional and appropriate manner. As some examples, the position of NATO and the influx of refugees into the EU should be mentioned in this regard.
Note: To put it simply: Turkey is moving towards a new direction; while the USA and the EU are observing Turkey with some glasses made during the Cold War Era. (Extremely wrong & dangerous mirror imaging).
M. Sirani 13.08.2016
Monday, August 8, 2016
Warning: Nuclear Armed Pakistan And the Rise of Various Radical Islamic Groups; A Serious Global Threat Somewhere in the Future.
Briefly:
Any military coup as a solution to avoid such a catastrophic event (Conducted by some "secular army generals"; if exists any in reality) in Pakistan will highly likely fail due to the rapid, deep and broad Islamization within the Pakistani society. Any attempt in this regard will face either A- the same barrier as we saw in recent coup in Turkey or B- will highly likely drag Pakistan into a prolonged and devastating civil war between various groups including Taliban and Haqqani network. The US and EU politicians should pay attention to the current critical situation in Pakistan; understand that we are living in 2016 with new dangerous challenges not in 1970s-1980s during the Cold War and find a appropriate and fundamental solution for this country; before it's too late. Any negligence, miscalculation and delay in this matter will be disastrous in different terms for many people.
M. Sirani 08.08.2016
Any military coup as a solution to avoid such a catastrophic event (Conducted by some "secular army generals"; if exists any in reality) in Pakistan will highly likely fail due to the rapid, deep and broad Islamization within the Pakistani society. Any attempt in this regard will face either A- the same barrier as we saw in recent coup in Turkey or B- will highly likely drag Pakistan into a prolonged and devastating civil war between various groups including Taliban and Haqqani network. The US and EU politicians should pay attention to the current critical situation in Pakistan; understand that we are living in 2016 with new dangerous challenges not in 1970s-1980s during the Cold War and find a appropriate and fundamental solution for this country; before it's too late. Any negligence, miscalculation and delay in this matter will be disastrous in different terms for many people.
M. Sirani 08.08.2016
Sunday, July 24, 2016
A Warning: The Potentially Security Threat of "Pokémon Go" Game At the Age of Terror and Mass Shooting.
Briefly:
I leave aside the overall effects of Pokemon Go game on the mindset of current young generation. This is, in fact, the task of some experts in social psychology or anthropology not mine.
But i think in terms of security and safety, this game has the potentiality to be used in a very negative & devastating manner in the hands of some terrorists or mass shooters.
As an example, a skilled hacker linked to ISIS, Al-Qaeda or any other terrorist groups or a mass shooter or a child abuser might hack the game and lead some selected individual or group/s to a special location for a horrific assassination, hostage taking or a terrorist attack. There is some potentiality in this matter, which should neither be ignored nor underestimated, in my opinion. This is one of the negative side effects of the combination of Virtually & Reality in our daily lives and we should deal with it in a very careful, appropriate and professional manner; before it's too late.
Note: I hope my prediction would not come true but in case of hacking Pokemon Go game and a tragic event after that family/ies of victim/s or a state can simply sue Niantic, iOC or Apple for large amount of money due to this "loophole"; if i may call it.
I leave aside the overall effects of Pokemon Go game on the mindset of current young generation. This is, in fact, the task of some experts in social psychology or anthropology not mine.
But i think in terms of security and safety, this game has the potentiality to be used in a very negative & devastating manner in the hands of some terrorists or mass shooters.
As an example, a skilled hacker linked to ISIS, Al-Qaeda or any other terrorist groups or a mass shooter or a child abuser might hack the game and lead some selected individual or group/s to a special location for a horrific assassination, hostage taking or a terrorist attack. There is some potentiality in this matter, which should neither be ignored nor underestimated, in my opinion. This is one of the negative side effects of the combination of Virtually & Reality in our daily lives and we should deal with it in a very careful, appropriate and professional manner; before it's too late.
Note: I hope my prediction would not come true but in case of hacking Pokemon Go game and a tragic event after that family/ies of victim/s or a state can simply sue Niantic, iOC or Apple for large amount of money due to this "loophole"; if i may call it.
M. Sirani 24.07.2016
Saturday, July 23, 2016
Don't Close Your Eyes to Current Arrest and Detaining in Turkey.
Briefly:
There are probably millions Turkish and Kurds (From Turkey), who are living and working in the EU countries. If Erdogan government would continue with such undemocratic policies, there is high probability that tension in Turkey will spillover into other EU countries in different terms, forms and scales, e.g. conflict between different Turkish & Kurdish groups.
M. Sirani 23.07.2016
There are probably millions Turkish and Kurds (From Turkey), who are living and working in the EU countries. If Erdogan government would continue with such undemocratic policies, there is high probability that tension in Turkey will spillover into other EU countries in different terms, forms and scales, e.g. conflict between different Turkish & Kurdish groups.
M. Sirani 23.07.2016
Thursday, July 21, 2016
NATO and EU Should Be Aware That Turkey is Rapidly Moving Towards a Totally Wrong & Destabilizing and Dangerous Direction in Different Terms.
Briefly:
What we are observing currently in Turkey is not some simple and temporarily Politicization & Securitization policy (Copenhagen School) derived from Erdogan & AKP counter-coup measures. This is, in fact, the beginning of an extreme & endless dark era in the history of Turkey. The consequences of this dark era would be devastating in different terms not only for Turkey and Turkish people but also for the EU, NATO and the region.
Note: During an interview with Al Jazeera news agency, R. Erdogan said: there is some probability that a pilot among the coup plotters shot down the Russian jet (This is a simple statement; but it means a lot in reality. NATO & EU should not underestimate nor ignore such alarming signs and statements. In short, Turkey will highly likely shift its direction in various terms including in foreign affairs. The eyes of current Turkish political system are gradually focusing on the East, instead of the West, in my opinion).
M. Sirani 21.07.2016
What we are observing currently in Turkey is not some simple and temporarily Politicization & Securitization policy (Copenhagen School) derived from Erdogan & AKP counter-coup measures. This is, in fact, the beginning of an extreme & endless dark era in the history of Turkey. The consequences of this dark era would be devastating in different terms not only for Turkey and Turkish people but also for the EU, NATO and the region.
Note: During an interview with Al Jazeera news agency, R. Erdogan said: there is some probability that a pilot among the coup plotters shot down the Russian jet (This is a simple statement; but it means a lot in reality. NATO & EU should not underestimate nor ignore such alarming signs and statements. In short, Turkey will highly likely shift its direction in various terms including in foreign affairs. The eyes of current Turkish political system are gradually focusing on the East, instead of the West, in my opinion).
M. Sirani 21.07.2016
Wednesday, July 20, 2016
14 Turkish Navy Ships, without Any Contact With the Headquarter, are Still Missing.
Is Turkey a stable ally for NATO? Can Turkey with such a instability & fragmented society become a member of the EU?
Is Turkey a stable & secure country for protecting the US nuclear weapon on its territory?
M. Sirani 20.07.2016
Reference:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/turkey-coup-attempt-turkish-navy-ships-admirals-military-president-erdogan-a7144141.html
An Alarming Event for the USA, EU and NATO: Incirlik Air Base in Turkey is Still Without Power.
Briefly:
Following the recent military coup, the Turkish authority cut off the power in the Incirlik Air Base due to some security measures. Contrary to many requests of the Pentagon, the Turkish authority has not restore the power yet. This event, even at temporarily scale, is not a simple matter and should be taken seriously based on many reasons.
Erdogan & Akp will highly likely use the following leverages as extortion in order to achieve some goals including the extradition of F. Gulen from the USA.
A- The large numbers of refugees sheltered in Turkey.
B- The importance of using the Turkish territory in war against ISIS.
C- The importance of using the Turkish territory in any type of conflict against Russia.
D- The existence of some US nuclear weapon in the Incirlik Air Base (I hope, I'm wrong in this particular matter).
By this type of move, Turkey can put the USA & the EU at a very critical and difficult position at the present. The consequences of this move are not pleasant neither for USA, nor for the EU nor for the NATO at short and long term.
Note: In my opinion, as inherent characteristics of the rapid Islamization, Erdogan and AKP party are turning Turkey into a revisionist state; a state with some unpredictable, unexpected and adventurous characteristics and behaviors. This should be an alarming sign for the USA, EU and NATO.
M. Sirani 20.07.2016
Following the recent military coup, the Turkish authority cut off the power in the Incirlik Air Base due to some security measures. Contrary to many requests of the Pentagon, the Turkish authority has not restore the power yet. This event, even at temporarily scale, is not a simple matter and should be taken seriously based on many reasons.
Erdogan & Akp will highly likely use the following leverages as extortion in order to achieve some goals including the extradition of F. Gulen from the USA.
A- The large numbers of refugees sheltered in Turkey.
B- The importance of using the Turkish territory in war against ISIS.
C- The importance of using the Turkish territory in any type of conflict against Russia.
D- The existence of some US nuclear weapon in the Incirlik Air Base (I hope, I'm wrong in this particular matter).
By this type of move, Turkey can put the USA & the EU at a very critical and difficult position at the present. The consequences of this move are not pleasant neither for USA, nor for the EU nor for the NATO at short and long term.
Note: In my opinion, as inherent characteristics of the rapid Islamization, Erdogan and AKP party are turning Turkey into a revisionist state; a state with some unpredictable, unexpected and adventurous characteristics and behaviors. This should be an alarming sign for the USA, EU and NATO.
M. Sirani 20.07.2016
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
The USA & The EU should Be Prepared For More Unexpected Surprises From Turkey in the Next Coming Days, Weeks & Months.
Briefly:
The high ranking politicians in the USA & EU should pay attention to a brief warning as follows.
Turkey is neither Iran nor Iraq nor Afghanistan in different terms. An Islamic political system in Turkey means a huge disaster for NATO, EU and USA in different terms.
Note: Leave the joke that "Islam is compatible with democracy and liberal values" to third countries and save Turkey. Otherwise, you lose & regret a lot; much more than you ever imagine. Remind you that we are in 2016 and facing serious and existential threat like "The rise of various radical Islamic groups" across Asia, Africa and the Middle East for many years or possibly decades to come.
M. Sirani 19.07.2016
The high ranking politicians in the USA & EU should pay attention to a brief warning as follows.
Turkey is neither Iran nor Iraq nor Afghanistan in different terms. An Islamic political system in Turkey means a huge disaster for NATO, EU and USA in different terms.
Note: Leave the joke that "Islam is compatible with democracy and liberal values" to third countries and save Turkey. Otherwise, you lose & regret a lot; much more than you ever imagine. Remind you that we are in 2016 and facing serious and existential threat like "The rise of various radical Islamic groups" across Asia, Africa and the Middle East for many years or possibly decades to come.
M. Sirani 19.07.2016
The Possibility of Re-Introduction of Death Penalty & Further Implementation of Regressive & Totalitarian Policy-Regulation in Turkey.
Briefly:
Erdogan and AKP party might probably use some issues such as A- The large numbers of refugees sheltered in Turkey, B- the necessary use of Turkish territory in war against ISIS and in case of any further tension against Russia in order to re-introduce and implement death penalty and further regressive policy and regulation in Turkey. (I'm not perfectly sure; but i think there is some probability that Erdogan would try to take advantage from these issues and impose his ideas.
Note: Such a move will put the west particularly the EU in a very difficult and critical position in different terms mainly in security matter.
M. Sirani 19.07.2016
Erdogan and AKP party might probably use some issues such as A- The large numbers of refugees sheltered in Turkey, B- the necessary use of Turkish territory in war against ISIS and in case of any further tension against Russia in order to re-introduce and implement death penalty and further regressive policy and regulation in Turkey. (I'm not perfectly sure; but i think there is some probability that Erdogan would try to take advantage from these issues and impose his ideas.
Note: Such a move will put the west particularly the EU in a very difficult and critical position in different terms mainly in security matter.
M. Sirani 19.07.2016
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