Monday, May 18, 2015

ISIS is Gaining Ground in Iraq More Than in Syria, Mainly Because, Current Iraqi Government is Not An Inclusive Political System.


This is a very clear and simple fact that the U.S. - led coalition (consists of 60 states, as Mr. Kerry claimed) should carefully pay attention to it. The fact is that the current Iraqi government is not an inclusive political system. In fact, part of the reason that ISIS is gaining ground in Iraq more than a devastating country like Syria, lies in this matter. The lack of inclusivity and various democratic institutions within current Iraqi government , which is the result of increasing level of Iran's influence, push the Iraqi Sunni to join ISIS. To put it simply, there are two major ongoing opposing movements in current Iraq. On the one side, the U.S. - led coalition is performing air strikes against ISIS targets in order to dismantle this terrorist group. On the other side, there are major deprived and marginalized Iraqi people, mostly Sunni people, on the ground, who are desperately joining ISIS  in order to save their lives and change the current unfair status quo. In other words, we are observing two different opposed policies in current Iraq,which are functioning against each other to some extent. As such, the whole effort of the U.S. - led coalition in Iraq would not achieve its targets in an effective and appropriate manner.

In sum, when it comes to fight against ISIS, the international community needs two separate plans; one for Iraq, another one for Syria. That's true ISIS is one group and is active in both countries. But, we should bear in mind that both states of Iraq and Syria have their own special characteristics in different terms. As such, two plans are needed. When it comes to defeat ISIS in Iraq, first and important task is establishing a completely inclusive government structured by democratic institutions. Without fixing this basic and fundamental issue, you cannot / will not be able to defeat ISIS in Iraq never ever. Following this task, you should completely adjust your plan in fight against ISIS. In case of Syria, we are facing another type of problem in this matter. As such, your plan against ISIS in Syria needs a new evaluation. Simply, because you have achieved nothing in the past one and a half years ago in comparison with all resources and efforts that you have used in this matter.


M. Sirani                             18.05.2015

Current Iraqi Government is Not Inclusive.

You Are Shocking Me General Dempsey. 

In an interview which took place Thursday, when the reporter asked General Martin Dempsey about Iran's military operation in Iraq, the Joint Chiefs Chairman responded:

"So far, those operations haven't threatened U.S. troops or their mission" (Yahoo, 2015). 

This statement is honestly shocking me. One might wonder why? This is the story. Everybody knows that the Iranian Regime has completely colonized Iraq since many years ago at least since December 2011, when the U.S. withdrew its troops from Iraq. Since 2013, ISIS has systematically begun to seize the power in Iraq and Syria. To put it simply, ISIS activities in both Iraq and Syria are threatening Iran's interests (in different terms) in both countries. Since August 2014, the USA has formed a coalition (nearly 60 countries as Mr. John Kerry says) and has begun to fight ISIS in Iraq and Syria. I'm wondering: why should the Iranian Regime complain? Why should the Iranian Regime perform any activity against the U.S. troops, when the U.S. troops are fighting ISIS and doing a great favor for the Iranian Regime free of any charge?

Not only Iran but also the Syrian regime are using Buck Passing Strategy and enjoying all the activities that the  USA and its coalition are doing against ISIS in both Iraq and Syria. What else should the Iranian Regime or Assad's Regime wish in this matter General Dempsey?

This is not the end of the story. General Dempsey surprises us with another shocking statement. In this interview, General Dempsey is identifying the Iranian influence in Iraq a positive move, if the Iraqi government remains committed to inclusivity of all different groups inside Iraq. His direct statement is as follows:

"If it is a path that ties the two countries more closely together economically or even politically, as long at the Iraqi government remains committed to inclusivity of all the various groups inside the country, then I think Iranian influence will be positive" (Yahoo, 2015).

This part of General Dempsey's statement is interesting and at the same time shocking from different angles. I'm wondering, do i have to remind the Joint Chiefs of Chairman about the destructive role of the Iranian Regime in Iraq, which directly and indirectly facilitated the best environment for the emergence and presence of ISIS in both Iraq and Syria? Do i have to remind General Dempsey that hegemonic influence of the Shiite regime of Iran led most of the Sunni tribes in Iraq to join ISIS? Or do i have to remind General Dempsey that since 2003 onward, most of the U.S. troops in Iraq were killed by the IRGC, Quds forces and their affiliates such as Mahdi Army or Badr force?

Furthermore, General Dempsey has used the term "inclusivity" as a characteristic of the current Iraqi government, in order to underpin his statement about the positive role of the Iranian Regime in Iraq. I don't want to deeply analyze this part of General Dempsey's statement; although there are many loopholes in this matter as well. But with help of some simple questions, i would try to illustrate my argument.

Dear General Dempsey:

1- Who is the current Iraqi Minister of Transportation? Is Hadi Al- Amiri the current minister or not? Is Hadi Al-Amiri the head of Badr Organization or not? Is the Badr Organization a subset of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) or not?

2- Who is the current Iraqi Interior Minister? Is Mohammed Ghabban  a Shiite politician affiliated to the Badr Organization or not? Needless to say that Interior Ministry is a key security ministry within every political system including current Iraqi government.

3- Who is the current Iraqi Human Rights Minister? Is Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani a Shiite politician affiliated to the Badr Organization or not?

Dear General Dempsey, the Joint Chiefs of Chairman of the strongest country in the world: With just these simple examples, could we identify the current Iraqi government an inclusive political system and furthermore could we identify the overall influence of Iran in Iraq a positive move? Or should we be optimistic about the inclusivity of Iraqi government somewhere in the future?

In sum, i can offer you many other examples and a more deeper academic argument, which the combination of all of them indicates a simple fact that:

The current Iraqi government is not inclusive and never will be a inclusive political system as long as the Islamic Regime governs in Iran.

Note: If you think you can stop Iran's adventurous nuclear activity by handing over Iraq to Iran, you are absolutely and completely in the wrong direction. You will understand my statement, when it's too late. Remember my short note in this matter.

M. Sirani                                   09.01.2015