In addition to the possibility of various military, security, economic, political, social and cultural consequenses of detaching Ukraine from Russia, the EU should consider two important issues in the long term.
1- The EU depends on Russia in terms of different forms of energy such as coal, uranium, oil and gas.
2- The future of the New START Treaty. If the West would be able to wean Ukraine off Ruusia, there is high probability that Russia would refuse to renew this Treaty in the future. In this case, the EU would be forced to accept the hegemony of the USA in different terms, mainly based on security concern; the same as it did during the Cold War era.
M. Sirani 01.03.2014
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