The wrong policies of the USA and some of the European countries have finally forced Russia toward the point of no return in Ukraine. There is high probability that tomorrow the majority of the people in the Crimean peninsula will vote in the favor of self-determination and subsequently Crimea will join Russia.
This event will not be peacefully neither in Crimea nor in other parts of Ukraine. Undoubtedly, we will witness widespread clashes between different ethnic groups across the country. As time goes by and gradually, other cities in Ukraine (Mostly in Eastern part), which the majority of people are pro-Russia, will demand the central Ukrainian authority to join Russia as well.
In short, the whole country will face a chaotic atmosphere in different terms for a while, maybe for the months ahead. The creation of the so-called "National Guard" will escalate the tension further. Such events, which will be probably accompanied with ethnic cleansing, will facilitate an opportunity for Russia to interfere further and deeper in Ukraine's domestic affairs. The combination of all these events will gradually push Ukraine toward further fragmentation beyond the Crimean peninsula, if the UN, USA, EU, and Russia would not be able to find a reasonable and diplomatic solution for this dispute. Whatever the result of this conflict would be, this is the poor Ukrainian people (I mean Both Russian and Ukrainian), who suffer the most.
M. Sirani 15.03.2014
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